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1.
We model a common pool resource game under environmental uncertainty, where individuals in a symmetric group face the dilemma of sharing a common resource. Each player chooses a consumption level and obtains a corresponding share of that resource, but if total consumption exceeds a sustainable level then the resource deteriorates and all players are worse-off. We consider the effect of uncertainty about the sustainable resource size on the outcome of this game. Assuming a general dynamic for resource deterioration, we study the effect of increased ambiguity (i.e., uncertain probabilities pertaining to the common resourceʼs sustainable size). We show that whereas increased risk may lead to more selfish behavior (i.e., to more consumption), increased ambiguity may have the opposite effect. 相似文献
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本文采用VAR模型研究了我国交易所和银行间国债市场的信息溢出效应.笔者提出以往文献对两个国债市场信息溢出的结论过于简单化,实证验证了两个市场信息溢出时既具有差异性又具有同质性,哪种性质占主导取决于新信息的来源.笔者发现当新信息来源于国债市场内部,两个国债市场会表现出差异性,溢出效应为负向,即银行间国债市场的上升预示着交易所国债市场的下降.当信息来源于国债市场外部,两个国债市场之间则先表现出同质性,溢出效应为正向;随后差异性占主导,两个国债市场之间发生信息负向溢出或资本的流动. 相似文献
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ABSTRACTThis study assesses the impact of the Brexit probability on both the UK and on international financial markets, for the first and the second statistical moments. As financial markets are by nature highly interlinked, one might expect that the uncertainty engendered by Brexit also has an impact on financial markets in several other countries. We first estimate the time-varying interactions between UK policy uncertainty, which to a large extent is attributed to uncertainty about Brexit and UK financial market volatilities. Second, we use two other measures of the perceived probability of Brexit before the referendum, namely daily data released by Betfair and results of polls published by Bloomberg. Based on these data sets, and using both panel and single-country SUR estimation methods, we analyse the Brexit effect on levels of stock returns, sovereign CDS, 10-year interest rates in 19 predominantly European countries, and those of the British pound and the euro. We show that Brexit-induced policy uncertainty will continue to cause instability in key financial markets and has the potential to damage the real economy in both the UK and other European countries. The main losers outside the UK are the ‘GIIPS’ economies: Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain. 相似文献
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This article surveys the asymmetric spillover effects between the mainland China-based Shanghai Composite Index (SCI) and the Hong Kong based Hang Seng Index (HSI) using a quantile lagged regression model. Compared to previous studies, this article, based on data before and after the 2008 global financial crisis, presents a more detailed analysis, as we investigate the spillovers in terms of returns, volatilities and exchange rates between the renminbi (RMB) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) throughout the entire conditional return distribution, including the central quantiles, which are closely related to the normal circumstances, and the extreme quantiles, which correspond to the bear and bull markets. First, we find that the return spillovers from its lagged returns or from the other index not only vary across time but also depend on stock state. Second, while return volatility may boost the stock market in a bull market, it accelerates the decline in a bear market. Third, the depreciation of the RMB relative to the HKD does not significantly affect current returns for the HSI, while it negatively affects current returns for the SCI in a bad state after the crisis. The findings presented in this article will facilitate investors’ understanding of the two stock markets. 相似文献
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健康的不确定性与预防性劳动力供给——来自中国农村地区的经验证据 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
文章采用理论分析和实证研究相结合的方法,在经济学效用函数理论框架内考察健康不确定,巨对中国农村非农劳动力供给行为的影响.理论分析表明,在健康存在不确定性的情况下,农村非农劳动力供给存在预防性劳动力供给现象,拥有医疗保险可以显著降低预防性劳动力供给.采用CHNS数据的实证研究结果支持预防性劳动力供给的理论推断. 相似文献
7.
\"公地悲剧\"是产权不清的情况下\"公地\"资源配置失效,被过度使用而枯竭的过程。近年来,该理论被广泛应用于环境科学、经济学、社会学、政治学等领域。本文分析了新疆耕地数量变化与粮食安全、耕地质量变化与生态环境建设、耕地开发利用变化与地区发展战略等情况,从新疆特殊的自然环境条件、管理审批权限、水土资源开发配置、农户农耕理念等方面出发,论述了\"有主之地\"的耕地也存在\"公地悲剧\"现象。 相似文献
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构建权重矩阵来衡量研发外溢是最常用的衡量间接研发资本的方式,常用的是基于贸易额、专利信息和投入产出信息等来构建权重矩阵,但其中存在较多争议的是基于专利信息所构建的权重矩阵。通过对有关文献进行梳理,以及其所对应的衡量方式进行综述,发现以往对研发外溢的衡量主要侧重于宏观层面,如国家或行业层面,但对企业研发外溢的衡量较少,因此,对企业研发外溢的衡量是后续研究的主要侧重面。 相似文献
9.
相互制保险在我国农业保险中的适用性分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
相互制保险公司是保险企业的主流组织形式之一,在国际保险市场上占有重要地位.分析了相互制保险的独特优势,并结合我国农业保险发展的实际情况,对相互制保险在我国农业保险发展中的适用性进行了深入的探讨. 相似文献
10.
Caroline Orset 《Economics of Innovation and New Technology》2013,22(8):780-801
Recent environmental policies favour the polluter pays principle. This principle points out the pollutant financial liability for the eventual incidents induced by his activities. In this context, we analyse the decision of an agent to invest in new industrial activities, the consequences of which on human health and the environment are initially unknown. It is not possible for him to delay investing, but the agent has the opportunity to acquire information and to reduce the cost of an accident. This allows the agent to reduce uncertainty regarding dangers associated with the project and to limit potential damages that it might cause. However, the agent's chosen level of these actions may be considered as insufficient and not acceptable by society as response in the face of a possible danger. Precautionary state regulation may then be introduced. We appreciate that this regulation may slow down innovation and may favour innovation in countries with less safety requirements. We find that the agent may get around the goal of the regulation by ignoring the information on the dangerousness of its project. We then propose some policy tools which stimulate innovation and impose a certain level of risk considered as acceptable for society to the agent. Finally, we use a numerical analysis based on the Monsanto Company for studying the agent's behaviour with different regulatory frameworks. 相似文献
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A fundamental problem for an economy based on a common property resource is the absence of a market to trade the resource. This implies that private costs will be below social costs. This paper investigates possible government interventions that correct for such distortions in a neoclassical growth model with a production externality in harvesting. The model predicts that the welfare of the representative household increases considerably when a Piguovian tax is implemented. The policy that replicates the command optimum is highly complex and changes over time. On the other hand, a large share of the maximum welfare increase is internalized by introducing a constant quantity tax, suggesting that the potential of such policies is high. 相似文献
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以商务部公布的会计信息质量检查公告及证监会处罚公告检查结果作为研究背景,选取2003—2012年会计师事务所的客户量及综合收入为研究数据,从激励和惩罚两个机制对数据进行实证研究,并从信息论、监督论和保险论3个方面描述了独立审计的功能。通过市场整体对被处罚会计师事务所的反应情况得出结论,认为在我国资本市场中,独立审计社会信用惩罚机制发挥着有效与失效并存的作用。 相似文献
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Dyah Wulan Sari 《Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy》2019,38(4):299-310
This study investigates the potential horizontal and vertical spillovers from FDI towards firms’ efficiency level on Indonesian manufacturing industries, using firm‐level panel data. The result suggests that positive evidence of horizontal spillovers arise instantaneously, but the impacts of vertical spillovers appear a year later. These indicate that foreign competitors cause local firms more efficient in the same industry. Furthermore, after one period of time MNCs running their business in Indonesia, they bring positive impacts on downstream markets but deteriorate manufacturing industries in the upstream markets. Therefore, the Indonesian government must ensure that overall benefits from promoting FDI must overweight their negative impacts. 相似文献
14.
John R. Munkirs 《Journal of economic issues》2013,47(2):469-475
The Russian economy faces serious challenges when it comes to such issues as legitimacy of property and protection of property rights. This paper considers institutional aspects of raiding, including the role of Commercial Arbitration Courts and bankruptcy procedures in Russia. It concludes that raiding in Russia has a predatory character not because raiders prey on the weakest, failing, bankrupting businesses, but because they attack healthy and profitable enterprises, firms in temporary financial distress. Raiders use unclear ownership structure of attractive firms and buy necessary decisions from corrupt bureaucrats instead of waiting for a financial crisis to come. 相似文献
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在金融混业经营的环境下,银保合作得到了较快发展,但在其快速发展过程也出现了很多问题。银保合作对其参与主体(银行、保险公司、客户)有着不同的影响,银保合作中存在的从业人员保险理念不足、产品单一等突出问题,分析总结后提出相应的发展建议:提升理财专员服务水平、积极开发新产品等等。 相似文献
16.
Martin Byford Sinclair Davidson 《Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy》2013,32(4):417-425
Financial regulation has the perverse effect of reducing incentives for depositors to monitor the risks banks take. We propose a rating scheme – the Financial Stability Rating – that would work similarly to other product ratings to inform depositors of the risks they face. Our proposal entails greater disclosure of information that is already in the hands of the prudential regulator. There would be no additional regulatory burden on either financial institutions or the regulator. By linking our rating to a formal deposit insurance scheme, depositors would have both the incentive and ability to make informed decisions about the risk return profile of their deposits. 相似文献
17.
Diane D. Wilson 《Economics of Innovation and New Technology》2013,22(3-4):235-252
The paper reviews the empirical evidence on the contribution of IT investments to economic growth and discusses the need for further research to explain the chain of causation linking the cumulative effects of IT expenditures on vertical and horizontal market structures within specific industries and the factors which influence or mediate the direction and magnitude of these effects. Two hypotheses are discussed as polar explanations for why IT capital productivity increased significantly after such a long period of stagnant and, in some industries negative, growth prior to 1987. 相似文献
18.
Jim Y. Jin 《Journal of Economics》1998,68(2):137-152
This paper examines two questions in asymmetric Cournot and Bertrand oligopoly with a demand shock. Under which conditions is information sharing a subgame-perfect equilibrium? What is the welfare effect when firms are better off? Given these questions, the normal assumptions in the earlier literature can be relaxed in three ways: demand functions can be asymmetric; a demand shock can affect firms differently; distributions of the demand shock and information signals can be arbitrary. Under these general assumptions, the answer to the first question is: every firm's response to the demand shock is stronger when all firms have perfect information than when one firm does so alone; the answer to the second question is: social welfare increases in Cournot competition, and consumer surplus decreases in Bertrand competition. 相似文献
19.
价格离散、信息搜寻与团购行为 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
团购行为是当今消费行为学中的一个重要现象,源自市场和产品信息不对称的双重因素是导致消费者行为变化的根本原因。基于产品信息的价格函数模型,分析团购有利于消费者实现信息共享,减少搜寻成本,降低与企业间的信息不对称,减少消费行为的不确定性,从而获得更大的消费效用的结论。 相似文献
20.
Robert Maderitsch 《Applied economics》2013,45(44):4714-4727
This article analyses return spillovers from the USA to stock markets in Asia by means of quantile regressions. Traditional studies consider spillovers as effects of the conditional means of foreign returns onto the conditional means of chronologically succeeding domestic markets’ returns. We, by contrast, study the full range of quantiles of the conditional distribution of the domestic markets’ returns. This enables us to document the detailed structure of spillovers across return quantiles. Generally, we find spillovers from the USA to Asia to be negative. Specifically, however, we reveal an asymmetric structure of spillovers with an increasing negative magnitude from lower to upper return quantiles. Theoretically, this pattern is consistent with an asymmetric overreaction of traders in Asia to news from the US market. Extensions from the baseline model further suggest the presence of contagion throughout the financial crisis of 2007–2008 as well as of calm-down effects over weekends. 相似文献