共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Giovanni Ganelli 《Open Economies Review》2008,19(2):241-259
This paper studies the domestic and international effects of “public competition policies” aimed at improving the efficiency
of public spending. Such measures are modeled as an increase in the price elasticity of public consumption. The paper finds
that public competition policies significantly affect macroeconomic interdependence across countries, both through the impact
of the international elasticity of substitution and of mark-up effects. The paper also develops an extension in which fiscal
shocks are stochastic. In welfare terms, countries with a larger government sector have an incentive to promote global public
competition policies regardless of whether fiscal policy is modeled as deterministic or stochastic.
相似文献
Giovanni GanelliEmail: |
2.
Marcelo Sánchez 《Open Economies Review》2008,19(3):371-390
We examine the implications of monetary union for macroeconomic stabilization in catching-up participating countries. We allow
member states’ supply conditions to differ, especially with regard to sectoral characteristics. Sectoral productivity shocks
of the type associated with the Balassa–Samuelson effect tend to hamper the stabilization properties of a currency union.
In the face of aggregate supply disturbances, the stabilization costs of renouncing monetary autonomy diminish with a steeper
supply curve (as induced by higher trade openness) and—barring idiosyncratic shocks—with a larger reference country size,
more homogeneous supply slopes and a higher preference for price stability.
相似文献
Marcelo SánchezEmail: |
3.
Floating exchange rates are said to introduce volatility into the foreign exchange market that could deter trade flows. Previous
research employed aggregate import and export trade data and provided mixed results. In this paper we disaggregate the trade
data between the U.S. and the emerging economy of India and use the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction
modeling to show that in 40 industries that trade between the two countries, exchange rate volatility has negative and positive
effects in 40% of industries, in the short run. These short-run effects, however, do not last into the long run in many cases.
相似文献
Mohsen Bahmani-OskooeeEmail: |
4.
This paper studies to what extent the diversity of exchange rate regimes within Mercosur exerts an influence on the feasibility
of a monetary union in this area. A semi-structural vector autoregression model is built for each country, including a set
of international and domestic variables. Based on impulse response functions and forecast error decomposition, we conclude
that differences in exchange rate regimes explain significantly the divergences of economic dynamics triggered by foreign
or domestic shocks. Second, we decompose the structural innovations generated by each country model into unobservable common
and idiosyncratic components, using a state-space model. This last exercise, intended to assess the degree of policy coordination
between the Mercado Común del Sur members, did not disclose any common component for the structural innovations generated
by the three national models.
相似文献
Alain Sand-Zantman (Corresponding author)Email: |
5.
This paper empirically investigates the demand for international reserves (and foreign exchange reserves) during fixed and
floating exchange rates periods in three developing countries: Kenya, Mexico and Philippines. Based on theoretical models,
three factors are identified as important for the demand of international reserves and foreign reserves: average propensity
to import, volume of imports and variability of reserves. The paper employs the cointegration methodology and error correction
method to investigate the relationships. Cointegration tests results indicate a reliable long-run stationary relationship
between the international reserves (and foreign exchange reserves) and the stated explanatory variables across countries and
sub-periods of fixed and clean float. The error correction results indicate causality from the explanatory variables to the
reserves during both the short and long run. This is true during both the fixed and the floating periods.
相似文献
Mohammad Hasan (Corresponding author)Email: |
6.
Santiago Budría 《Atlantic Economic Journal》2008,36(3):261-274
This paper explores asset returns in a production economy with habit forming households. We show that a model with capital
adjustment costs and relative habits is consistent with salient financial facts, such as the equity premium, the market price
of risk, and the riskfree interest rate. These predictions are not at odds with good business cycle predictions. In the model,
economy investment is strongly procyclical and more volatile than output, which in turn is more volatile than consumption.
Moreover, consumption growth is positively autocorrelated and negatively (positively) correlated with future (past) stock
returns.
相似文献
Santiago BudríaEmail: |
7.
This paper estimates forward-looking and forecast-based Taylor rules for France, Germany, Italy, and the euro area. Performing
extensive tests for over-identifying restrictions and instrument relevance, we find that asset prices can be highly relevant
as instruments in policy rules. While asset prices improve Taylor rule estimates, different assets prove most relevant across
countries and this result could be seen as complicating the tasks of the European Central Bank. Encompassing tests show that
forecast-based outperform forward-looking Taylor rules. A policy implication is that central banks ought to release their
own forecasts and the basis upon which they are generated.
相似文献
Martin T. BohlEmail: |
8.
Caroline Schmidt 《Open Economies Review》2007,18(3):347-367
In this paper, it is argued that the observed high positive correlation between national savings and investment which is found
in the data can in part be explained by shocks to monetary policy. This hypothesis, which is established by reviewing some
empirical findings, is tested in a two-country DSGE-model framework in the tradition of the New Open Economy Macroeconomics.
The simulation results obtained support the idea that shocks to monetary policy might contribute to the explanation of the
Feldstein-Horioka puzzle.
相似文献
Caroline SchmidtEmail: |
9.
Policy coordination in East Asia and across the Pacific 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
In this paper, we construct a macro-econometric model that describes the economic activity in the Asia-Pacific area and provide
quantitative insights into the recent policy debates on monetary and currency coordination among the East Asian economies.
The model includes a wide variety of monetary and currency policy rules that the East Asian economies adopt and allows for
one country's policymaking to have substantial effects on foreign countries. We apply the model to three current policy issues:
(1) the desirability of currency basket pegs in East Asia, (2) the anticipated effects of China's currency policy reform,
and (3) the non-negativity constraint on Japanese nominal interest rates. The simulation analyses show the external economy
effects of policy rules quantitatively and suggest the difficulty of monetary and currency policy coordination among the East
Asian economies.
相似文献
Koichiro Kamada (Corresponding author)Email: |
Izumi TakagawaEmail: |
10.
In a fixed exchange rate regime, an exchange rate change can be a swift way to change the real exchange rate in the short
run. Fiscal policy also affects relative prices, and fiscal policy response to various types of shocks can therefore be crucial
for the credibility of an exchange rate peg. We develop a model within which fiscal policy plays a crucial role for ensuring
the viability and thus credibility of an exchange rate peg. We use the insights of this model to take a closer look at Denmark,
which has successfully pursued a fixed exchange rate policy since 1982.
相似文献
Torben M. AndersenEmail: |
11.
Mathias Hoffmann 《Open Economies Review》2008,19(2):183-201
The bulk of evidence on the lack of international risk sharing is based on regressions of idiosyncratic consumption growth
on idiosyncratic output growth. This paper argues that the results from such regressions obtained from international data
are, however, not directly comparable to those based on regional data: the standard practice of running such regressions on
international data fails to account for persistent international differentials in consumer prices, whereas—implicitly—most
of the literature based on regional data has accounted for these differences. When risk sharing regressions are set up in
conceptually the same way in international and regional data sets, the estimated coefficients are also very similar. To explore
this result further, we adapt the variance decomposition of Asdrubali et al. (Q J Econ 111:1081–1110, 1996) to allow for deviations from purchasing power parity across countries. While quantity (income and credit) flows are the
dominant channel of risk sharing among regions, relative consumption and output price (internal terms of trade) fluctuations
account for the bulk of the deviation from the complete markets outcome in international data. To the extent that persistent
differences in consumer prices are an indication of goods market segmentation, our findings provide empirical evidence for
the proposition by Obstfeld and Rogoff (NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, 2000) that segmented international goods markets rather than asset market incompleteness may account for the (apparent) lack of
risk sharing between countries.
相似文献
Mathias HoffmannEmail: URL: www.iew.uzh.ch/itf |
12.
Marcel Mérette Evangelia Papadaki Jorge Hernandez Yu Lan 《Atlantic Economic Journal》2008,36(2):195-209
In this paper, we develop a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to shed quantitative light on the implications of a
scenario of deeper economic integration between Canada and the United States, where the barriers for foreign direct investment
are preferentially eliminated. Our model distinguishes between the activities of domestic and foreign-owned firms at the microeconomic
level, both in terms of demand and production characteristics. Overall our findings suggest that further investment liberalization
between the two countries will accelerate the shaping of Canada’s industrial structure, as manifested by recent trends.
相似文献
Yu LanEmail: |
13.
This paper compares the importance of precautionary and mercantilist motives in the hoarding of international reserves by
developing countries. Overall, empirical results support precautionary motives; in particular, a more liberal capital account
regime increases international reserves. Theoretically, large precautionary demand for international reserves arises as a
self-insurance to avoid costly liquidation of long-term projects when the economy is susceptible to sudden stops. The welfare
gain from the optimal management of international reserves is of a first-order magnitude, reducing the welfare cost of liquidity
shocks from a first-order to a second-order magnitude.
相似文献
Jaewoo Lee (Corresponding author)Email: |
14.
Kristin Langwasser 《International Economics and Economic Policy》2009,6(2):115-133
Although the euro area is not one of the major players in current global imbalances, the rebalancing of the current global
imbalances is coupled with a significant appreciation of the euro against. In this paper, I present estimations of trade equations
for individual euro area countries using a vector error correction model. Each euro area member has got a different trade
elasticity, in the short as well as in the short run. Results show that exchange rate innovations affect individual euro area
countries at different rates, complicating the response of the euro area’s one-size-fits-all monetary policy.
相似文献
Kristin LangwasserEmail: |
15.
FDI and the relevance of spatial linkages: do third-country effects matter for Dutch FDI? 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
The aim of this paper is to test for the relevance of spatial linkages for Dutch (outbound) foreign direct investment (FDI).
We estimate a spatial lag model for Dutch FDI to 18 host countries. After controlling for fixed effects, we find for our sample
period 1984–2004 that third-country effects matter. Apart from our benchmark spatial lag model, we also estimate various alternative
models by looking at European host FDI countries only, by dividing FDI into industry and services FDI, and by estimating a
spatial error model.
相似文献
Harry GarretsenEmail: |
16.
In this paper we apply a static version of a New Keynesian macromodel to a monetary union (see Bofinger et al., J Econ Educ,
37:98–117 (2006), Walsh, J Econ Educ, 33:333–346 (2002)). We show in particular that a harmonious functioning of a monetary
union critically depends on the correlation of shocks that hit the currency area. Additionally a high degree of integration
in product markets is advantageous for the ECB as it prevents national interest rates from driving a wedge between macroeconomic
outcomes across member states. In particular small countries are in need for fiscal policy as an independent stabilization
agent with room to breath.
相似文献
Eric Mayer (Corresponding author)Email: |
17.
Sowing the seeds for the subprime crisis: does global liquidity matter for housing and other asset prices? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Ansgar Belke Walter Orth Ralph SetzerJr. 《International Economics and Economic Policy》2008,5(4):403-424
We assess the relationship between global liquidity and two important classes of asset prices on a global scale. For this
purpose, we estimate a variety of VAR models for the global economy using aggregated data which represent the major OECD countries.
According to the impulse responses obtained a positive shock to global liquidity raises the global house price index and later
on via commodity prices also the global GDP deflator to the same extent. Hence, we conclude that there are subsequent spill-over
effects from house prices to the overall price level. However, we are not able to find any empirical evidence in favor of
the hypothesis that stock prices significantly react to changes in global liquidity.
相似文献
Ralph Setzer Jr.Email: |
18.
A small open economy model with an endogenous time preference is used to study the current account dynamics when consumption
exhibits durability. There is a unique level of instantaneous utility and stock of durables that must be maintained in the
steady state. A terms of trade deterioration requires a net asset accumulation and a fall in consumption expenditures along the adjustment path. Nevertheless, the fall in consumption
expenditures leads to a fall in the stock of durables, which has to be corrected somewhere along the adjustment path, and
which may lead to a non-monotonic adjustment of the current account (J-curve).
相似文献
Arman MansoorianEmail: |
19.
A present-value model of less developed countries’ (LDC) debt is developed to understand the factors that affect the discount
on the secondary market. LDC debt trades at a substantial discount on the secondary market. This paper investigates the determinants
of the discount for a sample of 13 countries over a 9 year period. The findings show that debt–exports, foreign currency reserves–imports
and total debt service to exports ratios are significant determinants of the secondary market prices of LDC debt. The discount
is higher in countries where debt–exports ratios are higher and is lower for those with lower foreign currency reserves–imports
ratios. Concentration of debt with money center banks has a positive and significant effect on the secondary market price
of debt.
相似文献
Ayla OgusEmail: |
20.
Building on the celebrated Keynes–Ohlin debate and on Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (Rev Econ Stat 86:841–857, 2004), the paper
investigates the transfer problem for the Euro area vis-à-vis the rest of the world. The analysis is developed in a theoretically
and statistically consistent way and is intended as a contribution to the empirical literature on EMU. The main result of
the paper is that the accumulation of net foreign asset in the Euro area is consistent with real exchange appreciation, largely
through the relative price of nontradables rather than through the terms of trade.
相似文献
Paolo Paesani (Corresponding author)Email: |