Local House Price Paths: Accelerations,Declines, and Recoveries

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - Mortgage credit risk measurement hinges on the choice of a house price stress path, which is used to project loan losses and determine financial...     

银行业同业存单的发展动力、潜在风险与改革路径

自2013年末央行重启同业存单以来,同业存单市场发展如火如荼,其功能也从推出伊始的主动调节负债流动性,逐渐转变成为银行扩表和套利的重要推手,其背后暗藏着较大的流动性与系统性风险隐患。本文从同业存单发展的市场环境出发,对同业存单的特点、供求主体与市场推动力、同业资金链条和潜在风险隐患进行系统分析;通过对其套利链条拆解和MPA考核体系下的流动性风险隐患评估,发现中小银行在强监管下面临较为严重的监管压力和流动性隐患。本文认为,同业存单只有逐步回归同业存单主动性负债管理功能,强化监管与流动性风险监测,还原业务本源实现风险透明可控,方可实现其规范发展和金融去杠杆,并提出了具体的改革建议。     

Correction to: Local House Price Paths: Accelerations,Declines, and Recoveries

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - The article Local House Price Paths: Accelerations, Declines, and Recoveries written by Alexander N. Bogin, William M. Doerner and William D....     

Expectations, learning and macroeconomic persistence

Monetary DGSE models under rational expectations typically require large degrees of features as habit formation in consumption and inflation indexation to match the inertia of macroeconomic variables.This paper presents an estimated model that departs from rational expectations and nests learning by economic agents, habits, and indexation. Bayesian methods facilitate the joint estimation of the learning gain coefficient together with the ‘deep’ parameters of the economy.The empirical results show that when learning replaces rational expectations, the estimated degrees of habits and indexation drop closer to zero, suggesting that persistence arises in the model economy mainly from expectations and learning.     

Analysis of the learning context, perceptions of the learning environment and approaches to learning accounting: a longitudinal study

This study investigates student approaches to learning over the 3 years of an undergraduate degree course in accounting. The objective of the study was, first, to identify changes in learning approaches over the course duration. Second, the study examined whether any changes in learning approaches were consistent with changes in the context of learning as well as students' perceptions of the teaching/learning environment. The results show that students made greater use of sophisticated learning approaches over time linked to their more favourable perceptions of the teaching/learning environment as they progressed in their course. However, there were no significant changes in learning approach attributable to the learning context. Implications for accounting educators drawn from the findings are discussed.     

金融创新的七个渠道

中国金融业入世过渡期结束后,中外银行将面对面进行竞争,而创新能力的高低将在很大程度上决定两者竞争的胜负。因此,中国银行业必须将培育自主创新的能力提升到战略高度,从以下七个途径入手,大胆借鉴国外经验,以金融创新迎接新竞争。     

IPOs,clustering, indirect learning and filing independently

IPO underpricing has been attributed to valuation uncertainty, which can be at least partially resolved by the indirect learning associated with IPO clustering [Benveniste, L.M., Ljungqvist, A., Wilhelm, W.J., Yu, X.Y., 2003. Evidence of information spillovers in the production of investment banking services. Journal of Finance 58, 577–608]. We examine why firms might choose not to issue their IPOs contemporaneously with clusters of similar firms, forgoing opportunities to learn from their peers. We find that the willingness to file an IPO without the benefit of indirect learning from peer firm IPOs is directly related to insiders’ needs for portfolio diversification and the firm’s need to raise capital.     

美国次贷危机的演进路径分析

美国次贷危机已经愈演愈烈,对于未来的判断越发困难。通过分析美国房价变化趋势及房屋价格下降的结构性原因,本文尝试对次贷危机的内在经济逻辑进行梳理,并就此推导次贷危机中关键性因素之间的相互关系。     

扩大消费:金融作用路径与促进策略

为防止国际金融危机对我国国民经济的冲击,我国政府及时作出了扩内需、保增长、调结构的战略部署,将国民经济的平稳较快发展建立在内需拉动的基础上.投资需求在国家的积极财政政策和宽松货币政策的作用下启动较快,而消费需求由于财政资金的较少直接介入而启动相对缓慢.在此情况下,必须借助金融手段,依靠金融的推动来扩大消费,进而由消费扩大来促进国民经济的平稳较快增长.     

农村支付服务环境的建设目标与实现路径

本文深入分析了我国农村支付服务环境建设的现状和面临的挑战,提出了农村支付服务环境建设的原则和路径,并结合实际从改善农村支付服务布局、加快非现金支付工具推广、扩展支付清算网络覆盖面、丰富宣传形式、加强监督检查及研究实行支付服务优惠价格政策等方面提m政策建议.     

论本币升值对国内物价的影响路径

本币升值可通过实体经济、虚拟经济以及货币政策三个途径影响一国的国内价格;本币升值通过国内物价影响经济稳定存在一个正反馈机制;从短期来看,人民币升值不仅不能抑制国内物价上涨,还可能推动国内物价的上涨。     

Adaptive learning, forecast-based instrument rules and monetary policy

This paper argues that recently popular forecast-based instrument rules for monetary policy may fail to stabilize economic fluctuations. In a New Keynesian model of output gap and inflation determination in which private agents face multi-period decision problems, but have non-rational expectations and learn over time, if the monetary authority adopts a forecast-based instrument rule and responds to observed private forecasts then this class of policies frequently induce divergent learning dynamics. A central bank that correctly understands private behavior can mitigate such instability by responding to the determinants of private forecasts. This suggests gathering information on the determinants of expectations to be useful.     

采煤沉陷区治理的路径分析

文章以＂淮南绿馨园采煤沉陷区综合治理有限公司＂为例,探讨采煤沉陷区①治理模式的内生机理和外部条件,分析治理的难点、对策及一般性规律。以破解资源型城市所面临的资源开发、土地沉陷、后续治理之间的矛盾。     

企业集团整体上市的动因及路径选择

在当前证券市场上，“整体上市”正成为市场各方关注焦点。文章在研究企业集团整体上市动因的基础上，对当前整体上市的主要路径及适用性进行了深入探讨，并提出企业集团整体上市成功与否的六大决定性因素。     

交叉性金融创新的监管套利路径与博弈策略

金融危机以来,"监管套利"被多个国家和国际组织视为引发危机的一个重要因素。当前国内金融监管套利的易发部位和治理难点即存在于跨部门的交叉性金融创新中。本文从金融功能交叉、渠道交叉、政策许可交叉等视角考察了交叉性金融创新对金融机构经营策略、业务形态、交易条件的实质性影响,并由此归纳了监管套利的三类路径和手法特征。同时,通过基于非竞争性金融监管环境和非对称信息条件下的套利行为与监管博弈分析,考察了有效监管的关键性条件,并就减少政策制度重构时滞以及强化金融机构的自我约束机制提出了具体策略建议。     

黑龙江省农村信用社改革发展途径探索

农信社是银行业金融机构服务"三农"的主力军,推进农信社改革既是当前银行业改革的需要,也是农信社发展的需要。黑龙江省正经历从农业大省向农业强省跨越的历史阶段,如何把服务"三农"的"主力军"打造成"生力军",更好地服务于龙江"三农",确保国家粮食战略     

整合资本约束下商业银行发展模式分析

资本约束已成为阻碍我国商业银行发展的重要瓶颈之一,如何突破现有资本发展模式,彻底改变商业银行经营策略。是商业银行亟需解决的问题。坚持在资本硬约束的条件下,处理好质量、效益、速度、规模的关系,大力发展资产业务和中间业务。发展低风险的、资本占用少的业务,优化资产结构和盈利结构,使商业银行走上合理、健康有序的发展模式。     

The relationship between motivation,learning approaches,academic performance and time spent

Previous literature calls for further investigation in terms of precedents and consequences of learning approaches (deep learning and surface learning). Motivation as precedent and time spent and academic performance as consequences are addressed in this paper. The study is administered in a first-year undergraduate course. Results show that the accounting students have a slightly higher score for deep learning compared to surface learning. Moreover, high intrinsic motivation and extrinsic motivation have a significant positive influence on deep learning. Next, deep learning leads to higher academic performance; surface learning on the other hand leads to lower academic performance. The effect of deep learning on performance still holds, when we control for time spent, gender and ability. Consequently we can conclude that a deep learning approach is much more than ‘simply’ spending a lot of time on studying.     

规范化集团化国际化——事务所做大做强的道路探索

当前,行业上下都在积极响应政府主管部门以及中国注册会计师协会作出的促进会计师事务所做大做强的决定。事务所究竟该选择一条什么样的发展道路来做大做强?政府和行业协会如何采取实际的措施推动事务所做大做强?这里以我所在的事务所的发展探索为样本,探讨一下事务所做大做强的道路选择问题。一、规范化是事务所做大做强的基础2004年11月的中注协第四次全国会员代表大会上,金人庆部长代表财政部提出了注册会计师行业未来五年的奋斗目标——“基本形成一套质量和风险控制严格、竞争有力有序的会计师事务所内部管理科学机制”。对金部长的话,…     

沈阳市河流水资源现状及保护管理途径

沈阳市地处北温带,亚洲季风气候区的北缘,受季风影响的温湿和半温湿的大陆性气候。平均降水量为622.5毫米,河流水资源较为丰富。本文以沈阳市为例,介绍了沈阳市的水文概况,河流分布及水量的变化,以及当前河流水资源存在的主要问题并提出了相应的治理措施,对今后河流水资源的治理保护具有一定的现实指导意义。