美国利率市场化改革对银行业的影响

本文通过对20世纪80年代美国利率市场化改革背景和过程的分析,重点考察了其对银行资产负债业务、向中间业务转型以及行业集中度的影响。本文研究表明,利率市场化导致存贷利差呈缩窄趋势,但由于贷款占资产比重的提升,改革完成初期对银行净息差冲击较小。但随着利率市场化改革的完善和金融脱媒的深化,净息差仍呈现下降趋势。此外,利率市场化对银行向中间业务转型有明显的促进作用,加强了行业竞争,并提升了行业集中度。     

利率市场化程度与银行业集中度关系研究

目前,我国大多数领域的利率已经实现市场化,利率市场化改革将深刻改变商业银行的生存环境,为商业银行的经营和发展带来空前的机遇和挑战.论本文运用最小二乘回归,就利率市场化水平和银行业集中度之间的关系进行线性回归,发现两者之间存在非常高的负相关性.利率市场化加剧了银行业的竞争,为中小银行的崛起提供了空间,转变了银行业的市场结构,使得银行业更加高效的发展.     

Managing the risk of loan prepayments and the optimal structure of short term lending rates

Loan pricing is an extremely important aspect of bank operations because loans are typically over two-thirds of bank assets. Many researchers have analyzed the theoretical and empirical impact of how different factors should and do affect fixed rate loan rates and loan prepayments. However, a theoretical decision making model for maximizing expected profit in a declining rate environment has not been developed. After describing the conditions for the optimal loan rate, we develop numerical solutions for it under varying conditions. The varying conditions include the trend in interest rates, volatility of interest rates, and loan maturity. We thank Yen Low and Hamed Bagherpour for their assistance.     

Informed trading on debt covenant violations: the long and short of it

We examine whether disclosure of complex information events reduces information asymmetry by investigating the long‐ and short‐term impact of firms' disclosure of debt covenant violations on the probability of informed trading. We argue debt covenant violation disclosures provide informed agents with a long window of opportunity to trade on their private information largely due to the uncertainty arising from the debt renegotiation process. We find the probability of informed trading is greater after the disclosure, particularly when the violation outcomes are unresolved or where there is concern about possible future violations.     

Banking merchants and banking houses: the hidden key to the workings of the Spanish banking system in the nineteenth century

The historical study of the Spanish nineteenth-century banking system has been almost exclusively carried out through a consideration of the experiences of the joint-stock banks. But the very scarce number of these, and their territorial distribution, makes it necessary for us to look for other financial intermediaries who were able to satisfy the demand for banking services in that time and place. We demonstrate that this role was fulfilled by the banking merchants and banking houses operating through individual firms and partnerships. The object of this work is to make their activities better known and vindicate their importance. The sources used for the study are mainly the accounting documents of several banking houses.     

Bayesian comparison of several continuous time models of the Australian short rate

This paper provides an empirical analysis of a range of alternative single‐factor continuous time models for the Australian short‐term interest rate. The models are nested in a general single‐factor diffusion process for the short rate, with each alternative model indexed by the level effect parameter for the volatility. The inferential approach adopted is Bayesian, with estimation of the models proceeding through a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation scheme. Discrimination between the alternative models is based on Bayes factors. A data augmentation approach is used to improve the accuracy of the discrete time approximation of the continuous time models. An empirical investigation is conducted using weekly observations on the Australian 90 day interest rate from January 1990 to July 2000. The Bayes factors indicate that the square root diffusion model has the highest posterior probability of all models considered.     

Theoretical studies of the historical development of the accounting discipline: A review and evidence

Many existing studies of the development of accounting thought have either been atheoretical or have adopted Kuhn's model of scientific growth. The limitations of this 35-year-old model are discussed. Four different general neo-Kuhnian models of scholarly knowledge development are reviewed and compared with reference to an analytical matrix. The models are found to be mutually consistent, with each focusing on a different aspect of development. A composite model is proposed. Based on a hand-crafted database, author co-citation analysis is used to map empirically the entire literature structure of the accounting discipline during two consecutive time periods, 1972-81 and 1982-90. The changing structure of the accounting literature is interpreted using the proposed composite model of scholarly knowledge development.     

银行业养老金融业务发展研究--以吉林省白城市为例

随着我国老龄化社会的加速到来,银行业应该抓住养老金融业务的发展机遇,布局发展战略。本文以吉林省白城市为例,分析欠发达地区养老金融业务市场发展现状,提出发展的对策和建议。     

Impact of the global financial crisis on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds

This study explores the impact of the global financial crisis (GFC) on Islamic and conventional stock and bond indices in 11 Islamic and eight non‐Islamic countries. We find that there are benefits of Islamic stocks during the GFC, particularly during the early stage of the crisis because Islamic institutions are prohibited from holding sub‐prime mortgage securities and derivatives. The strongest benefits of Islamic stocks are in the UK and USA. We conclude that there are benefits of risk reduction and stability for Islamic stocks during a financial crisis, although not necessarily during a global recession.     

我国地方债可持续性研究*--以澳大利亚地方政府融资模式为鉴

在我国金融机构贷款规模收紧、项目投资收益有限、地方政府土地财政模式受到遏制以及举新债偿旧债压力倍增的背景下,地方政府探索新的投融资模式、缓解地方债压力成为当务之急。本文梳理了国内有关地方债的研究成果,介绍了我国地方债的基本情况,分析其可持续发展的隐患,在总结和借鉴澳大利亚地方政府融资经验的基础上,提出了探索发展市政债券市场和创新地方政府融资模式的建议。     

城市商业银行利差管理系统构建与优化探讨

随着利率市场化进程的不断推进,银行面临利差收窄的严峻挑战。相对于国有大银行和股份制银行,城市商业银行受到的冲击更大。由于现在银行的监管环境和经营环境已经发生变化,而净利息收入仍是城市商业银行的主要收入,那么如何对利差进行管理,维持稳定的净利息收入、减缓利差下降速度将是城市商业银行需要关注的重点。     

Volatility of the short rate in the rational lognormal model

A recent article of Flesaker and Hughston introduces a one factor interest rate model called the rational lognormal model. This model has a lot to recommend it including guaranteed finite positive interest rates and analytic tractability. Consequently, it has received a lot of attention among practioners and academics alike. However, it turns out to have the undesirable feature of predicting that the asymptotic value of the short rate volatility is zero. This theoretical result is proved rigorously in this article. The outcome of an empirical study complementing the theoretical result is discussed at the end of the article. European call options are valued with the rational lognormal model and a comparably calibrated mean reverting Gaussian model. unsurprisingly, rational lognormal option values are considerably lower than the analogous mean reverting Gaussian option values. In other words, the volatility in the rational lognormal model declines so quickly that options are severely undervalued.     

金融科技与银行价值链的重塑

金融科技在显著提升银行服务水平和经营效率的同时,也对银行业的竞争环境产生了深刻影响,商业银行在服务场景和渠道、客户信息以及资金等方面的传统竞争优势受到挑战.为快速获取必要的金融科技能力,银行加速推进数字化转型,并在其价值链的多个环节与科技企业开展合作.银行价值链由封闭的自我循环模式转向开放的合作模式,且价值链中的高附加值活动存在向少数企业集中的趋势.银行业的风险特征也由此发生重要变化:传统的战略风险、信用风险、流动性风险、操作风险、法律风险与系统性风险依然存在且变得更加复杂;科技风险、网络风险与数据安全等问题日渐凸显.作为应对,我国应结合银行业的实际情况,对现有银行监管框架和模式进行再评估,督促指导银行在推进数字化转型的过程中密切关注相关风险,进一步加强监管能力建设,以更好地守住不发生系统性金融风险的底线.     

关于欠发达地区银行员工满意度与服务竞争力的研究

随着金融体制改革步伐的加快和市场竞争的日趋激烈,银行与银行之间的竞争由银行之间的外部竞争转变为内部竞争,由客户的竞争转变为员工的竞争,员工满意度已成为决定服务竞争力的最关键因素。本文在对员工满意度的内涵、特征、功能、构成以及与服务竞争力的关系进行阐述的基础上,对欠发达地区行员工满意度现状、原因和产生的影响进行分析,并据此提出提升员工满意度的对策建议。     

The United States treasury review of the multilateral development banks : An economic critique

This paper critiques the 1982 U.S. Treasury Department report that evaluated the multilateral development banks. The focus is on the economic content of the Treasury assessment which is found to be lacking in analytical rigor. Political issues and conclusions are camouflaged under a veneer of economics.     

改进我国银行业人力资本投资与使用的思路设计

我国银行业人力资本投资及使用状况不甚理想,当前应从投资意识、投资方式、个人投资激励机制、人力资本使用等几方面进行改进。     

Anticipating bailouts: The incentive-conflict model and the collapse of the Ohio deposit guarantee fund

The collapse of the Ohio Deposit Guarantee Fund in March 1985 provides a laboratory for examining the financial market's belief in the incentive-conflict model proposed by Kane (1989). Research in this area has yet to examine the stock returns of federally insured institutions during that period in the context of this model. Thus, it has not addressed the question of whether financial market participants recognize the implications of the model; that is, whether they anticipate the bailouts it implies. This paper fills that void.We find that on average, stocks of firms insured by the poorly capitalized FSLIC do reasonably well during the 41-day event window centered on the ODGF's Bank Holiday, while stocks of firms insured by the relatively well-capitalized FDIC do not. More important, differences in abnormal returns of FDIC and FSLIC firms are consistent with a reaffirmation of the incentive-conflict model.     

A Review of Guangxi Banking Industry Reform and Development in 2011 and Prospects in 2012

2011年以来,广西银行业认真贯彻落实国家宏观调控政策,各项业务实现快速发展,信贷增长平稳有序,服务薄弱领域的能力进一步加强,改革取得新进展,发展质量、效益和经营管理水平显著提高,综合实力明显增强。随着2012年自治区深入实施＂翻两番,跨两步,三提高＂的战略目标,辖内银行业面临新的发展机遇。广西银监局将督促和引导银行业金融机构乘势而上,按照科学发展和审慎经营的要求,推进改革创新,不断改进金融服务,提高银行业服务实体经济的能力和水平,促进地方经济与银行业发展实现＂双赢＂。     

银行业集中、竞争与稳定的研究述评

传统的观点认为银行业的集中有助于系统的稳定,这导致众多国家采取各种监管政策来限制竞争。但是,对于银行系统的竞争与集中对稳定性的影响,理论分析与实证研究均给出模糊的结论。本文分析各种度量竞争与稳定的方法,并在对1990~2010年间有关竞争、集中与稳定性的文献进行综述的基础上,提出了相应的政策建议,以期为我国银行业的监管提供启示和借鉴。