The Changing External Exposure of Australian Industry

This article examines changes in trade‐related external exposure for Australian industry from 1990–91 to 2000–01, using primary and composite measures that capture the effects of exports, imports and imported inputs. The primary measures show that export market share for all exporting industries increased, but import market share increased at an equal or greater rate both overall and in most industries. Input value import shares also increased across virtually all industries. Two composite measures are calculated, the Index of Effective Exposure (IEE) and an extended IEE incorporating import market shares. The extended IEE shows that the net external exposure of Australian industry has been increasing over the decade, particularly in the Manufacturing and Mining Divisions. The net exposure of Australian manufacturing industries is lower than expected compared to the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and Japan, but the rankings of manufacturing industries in each country are similar and becoming more so.     

The Changing Face of Economics: Conversations with Cutting Edge Economists

How we treat each other says a lot about us. It will, most likely, determine the future of our organization. Femecon is a haven for many women scholars in a male-dominated field. May it remain so.     

The Australian Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity

This study examines the empirical relation between the yield spread of the term structure of interest rates and future economic activity in Australia. Results indicate that the term spread has significant power to predict real GDP growth but not nominal GDP growth. The term spread has more power in forecasting cumulative future growth than marginal growth in periods ahead. Around one-third of the variance of two year GDP growth can be explained by the term structure one to two quarters ahead. Explanatory power begins to decline beyond two to three years into the future whatever the combination of the long and short term yields used to measure the spread. The term spread has more explanatory power than the most widely used leading index for forecasting economic activity when forecasting cumulative GDP growth beyond two quarters.     

The Changing Position of the Rural Sector in the Australian Economy since 1945

This article was prepared by Dr A. W. Smith and Rhonda Smith. It is a substantially revised version of a section of a paper presented to the 21st Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural Economics Society held in Brisbane in February 1977. The authors are grateful to Alistair Watson, Roy Powell and Louise Barton for comments on earlier drafts     

政策论坛：澳大利亚食品杂货业中的竞争问题

在澳大利亚，行业中的竞争问题通常按照1974年颁布的《交易惯例条例（TPA）》来执行。为达此目的，TPA明文禁止：     

The 'Peter Pan' of Australian Economic Policy Research

The classic book by J.M. Barrie finishes with Peter Pan inviting the audience to believe in fairies lest more fairies die. Bob Gregory almost invariably invites his audience to believe in economic research – his infectious enthusiasm for ideas is part of it, but he also invites the audience/reader to suspend disbelief, and to accompany him on a journey in hyper-reality of economic research. The analogy of Bob to Peter Pan is developed by reference to my collaborations with Bob during and after my doctoral thesis. Unless social science research creatively explores possibilities with imagination, the overall quality of research dies.     

中心城市政府经济职能转变的框架选择

中心城市对区域经济发展起着至关重要的作用，这就要求政府职能范围应按区域内外、地区性生产力布局、市场环境的制度保证和法律支持构筑大系统政府管理体系。根据经济地理优势和区域中心城市综合竞争优势的特点，构筑政府管理区域经济的模式；适应经济发展的需要，改善制度结构，实现制度创新；发展电子政务，实现公共服务社会化，发挥电子政务和政务超市的作用。