American anticipations: The first of the futurists

This article moves on to examine the emergence of the first predictions in the USA. I.F. Clarke argues that, although the Americans shared a common culture and the same universal technologies with the Europeans, their response to the new potentiality of nineteenth century society took on unmistakeable American shapes. In particular, he restores the long-forgotten futurologist, David Goodman Croly, to his rightful and prestigious place in the catalogue of forecasters and predictors.     

A community of futurists and the state of the futures field

Criticisms of futures studies ought to be evaluated in comparison with those of other fields. For example, compared to the established disciplines, futures studies is less fragmented and has many positive features. Also, controversies among futurists do not mean that futures studies is not a field. Rather, one hallmark of any field of inquiry is that its members constitute a disputatious community. Moreover, futures studies is unified by interlinked and overlapping networks of communications and influences among futurists, a shared transdisciplinary matrix, and the growth of a futurist canon. The future of futures studies is bright, because it is reasonable to hope that futurists will be able to establish the field in most of the world’s colleges and universities.     

A futurist beyond futurists: the a, b, c, d (and e) of Ashis Nandy

Ashis Nandy is one of the most profound and penetrating futurists of our time. His thought has a deep and abiding significance. He has pioneered the notion of the future as an arena of awareness and future studies as a field of dissent. This article provides a distillation of Nandy's thought and relates his work on alternatives, colonialism and dissent to his vision of an open and pluralistic future.     

大米欧佩克的冲动与未来

表面上看,成立“大米欧佩克”的主要背景是全球粮食价格的普遍性上涨,但深入分析后我们发现,0REC呼声高涨的背后实际隐含着的是资源及其利益的博弈。     

论传统期货交易所的公司化改造

近年来，世界上许多重要的、历史悠久的期货交易所发生了重大的组织变革。越来越多的期货交易所从传统的会员制非赢利组织改造成赢利性的股份公司，有的甚至成为上市公司。在本文中，我们主要研究会员制……     

张长春谈基础设施投资的未来之路

国家发改委投资研究所所长张长春在＂CMRC中国经济观察（CEO）＂第28次报告会上说：东部地区铁路投资比重仍较大,但其比例正逐渐降低,十多年来国家加大了西部、     

还能“牛”多久

几位老领导老朋友聚餐,席间自然聊起了许多过去的事情,不用说多是些轶闻趣事,大家时不时的便是一阵阵的开怀大笑,气氛十分热烈。过去的一把手忆起当年的出五关,斩六将,更是喜形于色的了。     

Future risk communication

Science and technology have transformed risks and communications in the last century. Smallpox is gone, and polio is fading fast, thanks to vaccines. Communications, commerce and risk have gone global. Wireless networks, wideband communications and immersive interfaces are already in some homes. In the future, ubiquitous communications aids in the form of smart risk agents could tailor both the medium and the message, placing a risk in context for a specific person. By sensing physical risk characteristics and collecting and synthesizing risk information, weighted by judgments about the sources of that information, and conveying these in the media of choice, a smart agent or active technology could provide the ultimate risk communication. Yet theories of risk communication are in their infancy, with some emphasizing cognition and risk control, others social and affective responses that drive behavioral change. To create moral agents, we need to understand how our own and others’ values and goals arise and change in this increasingly information intense society, and how virtual realities can evoke or displace affect, cognition, and social context—that is, life as we know it. Otherwise, we may cross the divide from informed decision making to persuasion without reason.     

Future generations thinking

Future generations thinking provides a non-Western reading of space, time, nature and self, contrasting itself with the liberal openness of much of futures studies by asserting a non-negotiatable core. This includes a commitment to the family as a basic unit of analysis; inclusion of all sentient beings; belief in the repeatability of time; an inter-generational approach balancing ancestors and future generations; sustainable social and economic practices; a global focus; a spiritual and collective view towards choice and rationality; and the realization of a global ethics beyond postmodernity. In practice, however, future generations thinking often falls short of its claims. Nevertheless, if future generations thinking can become authentically multi-civilizational, it could create a new history for future generations.     

美元的未来

美国经济增长的持续低迷现象短期内难以改变.疫情冲击下美国的超级宽松财政货币政策加大了美国金融体系的潜在不稳定性,将导致美元在未来一个时期持续疲软.在美联储开始加息之前,美元将继续停留在2017年开始的弱势区域,不太可能出现较强的持续反弹.国际社会正在反思现行国际货币体系缺陷并进行改革,在可以预见的未来,最可能的情形是美...     

核电未来

9月14日,夏季达沃斯2011年新领军者年会上,福岛之后的能源安全分会场讨论激烈,而不能放弃核电发展则成为与会代表的共识。从现实的能源需求看,核电依然是多元化的一次能源结构中不可替代的部分,在接受《中国投资》专访时,国家发改委能源研究所原所长、中国能源研究会副