比利时中央银行货币市场和金融政策工具改革

比利时中央银行货币市场和金融政策工具改革赵天朗比利时货币市场和金融政策工具的改革主要概括起来基于以下两点。第一，为进一步扩大国债发行范围，建立起一个现代化的自动的和高效率的资金市场。第二，为更有效实施货币政策，改革有关的货币政策工具。一、国债市场的改...     

货币市场与资本市场互动效应的政策分析

货币市场与资本市场作为金融市场体系的基本构成要素，是有效发挥市场机制的调控作用、在全社会范围内实现有限的资金与资本要素合理流动、积聚与配置的制度前提，同时，也是实现宏观经济政策由直接调控向间接调控方式转变的市场载体与通道。货币市场与资本市场作为金融市场体系的有机构成，因再者自身市场功能的差异，既相互独立，又彼此关联，相互促进，所以，只有不断完善货币市场与资本市场体系建设，使两者协调统一发展，才能充分发挥宏观经济政策对实体经济的有效调控作用，真正提高经济政策灵活、高效地驾驭宏观经济持续协调运行的政策效力。     

美联储救市为何受到质疑？

美联储目前干预市场的程度从任何角度看都远远超过了过去其他国家中央银行的做法。最近一段时间以来,国际经济界询问的问题仍是美国的信贷危机是否见底了,美国经济是否会很快走出低谷。然而,在中国经济学界不断有声明表示乐观时,欧洲央行主席特里谢却表示最坏的时候似乎还未来到,而美联储的一些举动不     

美联储救市的政策背景、措施及其启示

美联储针对次贷危机以来金融市场遭受的冲击,采取多种手段出手救市,努力恢复市场信心。本文针对美联储频繁出手干预市场,在对抗危机中发挥的中央银行的作用予以分析,并对我国央行如何更有效地履行职能进行探讨。     

美国印钞救市，中国如何面对

美国开动印钞机救市 关联储在当地时间3月18日宣布,将在未来6个月中收购3000亿美元长期国债．并购入7500亿美元抵押贷款支持债券。从而为抵押贷款市场和楼市提供更大支持。这是美联储40年来首次购入国债。     

政策组合拳彰显救市决心

在美国金融业噩耗不断,世界金融市场动荡不安的大背景下,中国股市遭遇连续下挫,跌破2000点大关。为提振市场信心,财政部、央行、证监会连续出台新政,尤其在雷曼兄弟破产消息传出后,政府快速反应,     

Access policy and money market segmentation

Deviations between interest rates paid in the Swiss franc unsecured money market and the respective Libor rate are analysed for a period spanning the financial crisis. First, banks that have access to sources of secured central bank and interbank funding pay less than other banks. Second, foreign banks (not chartered in Switzerland) pay more than domestic banks. Third, both lines of segmentation are economically relevant but limited due to open access to sources of secured funding. Thus, access policy matters for monetary policy implementation and financial stability.     

美联储前瞻性指引对新兴市场国家的溢出效应研究

基于前瞻性指引溢出效应的相关理论,选取17个代表性新兴市场国家为研究对象,运用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型实证分析美联储前瞻性指引对新兴市场国家的溢出效应.结果表明:美联储前瞻性指引在短期内对新兴市场国家金融市场具有一定的冲击,在长期内对新兴市场国家经济增长存在滞后的正向作用.新兴市场国家应采取应对策略,做好风险识别和预警,加强预期管理,增强货币政策协调和合作,有效防范和化解外溢影响.     

Volatility in the federal funds market and money market spreads during the financial crisis

We analyze the role of federal funds rate volatility in affecting risk premium as measured by various money market spreads during the 2007–2009 financial crisis. We find that volatility in the federal funds market contributed to elevated Overnight Index Swap (OIS) spreads of unsecured bank funding rates during the crisis. Using OIS as a proxy for market expectations, we also decompose London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (Libor) into its permanent and transitory components in a dynamic factor framework and show that increased volatility in the federal funds market contributed to substantial transitory movements of Libor away from its long-run trend during the financial crisis.     

区域货币市场监管工作探索

吉林省支农资金的紧张带来了资金的供需缺口,推动地方金融机构通过场外货币市场进行的资金融通业务活跃,而交易动机、流动性管理方式、监管强度不一致等因素,助长了异常交易行为的发生。人民银行长春中心支行立足实践、大胆创新,改进监测方式和监管手段,通过建立风险预警指标体系,对地方性金融机构货币市场业务实施非现场监管,动态监测金融机构流动性状况和市场风险情况,从实践上取得了良好的效果。这些有益的探索和尝试,对开展区域货币市场监管有一定的借鉴意义和参考价值。     

货币政策对银行间市场流动性影响效应的实证研究及启示

银行间货币市场是央行实施货币政策的重要平台,研究货币政策对银行间市场流动性的影响对于完善商业银行日常流动性管理具有重要意义。文章在设定银行间市场流动性测度指标与梳理货币政策工具对市场流动性的影响机制的基础上,分别使用事件分析法和时间序列模型对不同政策工具的影响效应进行实证分析,得出相关分析结论,并总结其对于完善商业银行日常流动性管理的启示。     

Implicit intraday interest rate in the UK unsecured overnight money market

This paper estimates the intraday value of money implicit in the UK unsecured overnight money market. Using transactions data on overnight loans advanced through the UK large value payments system CHAPS in 2003–2009, we find a positive and economically significant intraday interest rate. While the implicit intraday interest rate is quite small pre-crisis, it increases more than tenfold during the financial crisis of 2007–2009. The key interpretation is that an increase in implicit intraday interest rate reflects the increased opportunity cost of pledging collateral intraday and can be used as an indicator to gauge the stress of the payment system. We obtain qualitatively similar estimates of the intraday interest rate by using quoted intraday bid and offer rates and confirm that our results are not driven by the intraday variation in the bid-ask spread.     

Monetary policy and financial stability: What role for the futures market?

This paper examines interactions between monetary policy and financial stability. There is a general view that central banks smooth interest rate changes to enhance the stability of financial markets. But might this induce a moral hazard problem, and induce financial institutions to maintain riskier portfolios, the presence of which would further inhibit active monetary policy? Hedging activities of financial institutions, such as the use of interest rate futures and swap markets to reduce risk, should further protect markets against consequences of unforeseen interest rate changes. Thus, smoothing may be both unnecessary and undesirable. The paper shows by a theoretical argument that smoothing interest rates may lead to indeterminacy of the economy's rational expectations equilibrium. Nevertheless, our empirical analysis supports the view that the Federal Reserve smoothes interest rates and reacts to interest rate futures. We add new evidence on the importance for policy of alternative indicators of financial markets stress.     

美国政策再宽松、美元陷阱与我国中期政策选择

文章在深入分析美国政策再宽松可能带来的美元贬值和通胀风险的基础上,指出了我国经济所面临的增长放缓与美元贬值的内外挑战,并从主动调节经济增速与加快经济结构调整等方面对化解上述困境提出了针对性的政策建议。     

The dynamic relationship among the money market mutual funds,the commercial paper market,and the repo market

In this paper, we present the short-run and the long-run relationships among the financial assets of the money market funds, the commercial paper market, and the repurchase agreement market by undertaking a cointegration analysis of quarterly data over the 1985–2017 period. This was based on the empirical observation that the commercial paper and repo markets account for 50 percent of the assets of money market funds. The evidence suggests that there exists a common long-term cointegrating trend among these three components of the shadow banking system. Any disequilibrium in this long-run relationship among these variables is corrected by movement in the financial assets of money market funds. The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition from the estimated cointegrating relationship shows that the cyclical component of money market funds is large and captures huge swings in these markets during the financial crisis. We also find evidence of change in these dynamic relationships in the post-crisis period, where in addition to the money market funds, the commercial paper market also exhibits a tendency to correct for the disequilbrium.     

关于美国货币量化宽松的传导机理与政策效应的思考

文章对货币量化宽松的传导机理和政策效应进行了思考,指出量化宽松货币政策将通过利率传导、资产结构转变与资产再平衡、信贷可得性、信号显示等渠道对金融市场和实体经济产生积极影响,但也会带来诸如损害经济自发增长、长期通胀压力、道德风险和财经纪律松散等问题。政策制定者应坚持以谨慎的原则进行政策创新和操作,处理好政策的短期效应和长期影响、经济成本和社会收益、国内效果和全球影响之间的关系。