共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Shinhua Liu 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2008,34(1):77-91
Theories predict that launching index futures could affect the price informativeness for the underlying stocks. We test this
hypothesis by taking advantage of the introduction of the Nikkei 225 futures contracts in Singapore on September 3, 1986.
Employing two alternative statistical methods applied to both daily and weekly data, we find that, following the listing of
the index futures, returns become significantly more random and less predictable for the underlying stocks, even after controlling
for concurrent marketwide shifts. These findings suggest improved price informativeness for the underlying stocks, which is
further corroborated by their higher trading volume following the event.
相似文献
Shinhua LiuEmail: |
2.
This paper examines the transitory price effects of index futures trading extension on the underlying stock market. Based
on the model formulation of George and Hwang (1995) and Amihud and Mendelson (1987) and using the Hong Kong data, we find that the extension of futures trading hour helps to reduce the opening pricing errors
and change the correlations between daytime and overnight stock returns. Our finding adds to the literature that the trading
behavior of derivatives has a significant influence on the transitory price changes of the underlying cash products.
相似文献
Louis T. W. ChengEmail: |
3.
Christoph Hinkelmann Steve Swidler 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):37-52
This paper examines the use of futures contracts to hedge residential real estate price risk. We examine whether existing
futures contacts can effectively be used to offset volatility in national house prices. Little evidence of any simple systematic
relation between national prices and futures prices is found. Since house prices are not easily replicated with a portfolio
of existing futures contracts, a further implication is that the Chicago Mercantile’s introduction of a financial asset whose
value reflects house prices will help complete the market. Nevertheless, the success of the CME’s new derivative contracts
may be limited in light of state and regional house price correlations.
相似文献
Steve Swidler (Corresponding author)Email: |
4.
Pricing futures on geometric indexes: A discrete time approach 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Arie Harel Giora Harpaz Jack Clark Francis 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(3):227-240
Several futures contracts are written against an underlying asset that is a geometric, rather than arithmetic, index. These
contracts include: the US Dollar Index futures, the CRB-17 futures, and the Value Line geometric index futures. Due to the
geometric averaging, the standard cost-of-carry futures pricing formula is improper for pricing these futures contracts. We
assume that asset prices are lognormally distributed, and capital markets are complete. Using the concepts of equivalent martingale
measure and the risk-neutral valuation relationships in conjunction with discrete time methodology, we derive closed-form
pricing formulas for these contracts. Our pricing formulas are consistent with the ones obtained via a continuous time paradigm.
相似文献
Jack Clark FrancisEmail: |
5.
Henryk Gurgul Paweł Majdosz Roland Mestel 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2007,21(3):353-379
This study provides empirical evidence of the joint dynamics between stock returns and trading volume using stock data of
DAX companies. Contemporaneous as well as dynamic interactions are investigated for a period from January 1994 to December
2005 on a daily basis. Our results suggest that there is almost no relationship between stock return levels and trading volume
in either direction. We find that trading volume is contemporaneously positively related to return volatility. In addition,
we establish that lagged return volatility induces trading volume movements. Finally, we examine dependencies in the tails
and find no significant support for the hypothesis of the independence of the maximal values of absolute returns and trading
volume.
相似文献
Roland Mestel (Corresponding author)Email: |
6.
Benjamas Jirasakuldech Robert D. Campbell Riza Emekter 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,38(2):137-154
We examine the dynamic behavior of Equity Real Estate Investment Trust (EREIT) volatility in a GARCH context 1972–2006 using
monthly EREIT returns, and comparing volatility performance for “early” Equity REITs 1972–1992 with that of “modern” EREITs
1993–2006. Consistent with findings for conventional firms, we find that EREIT conditional volatility is time-varying, persistent,
and predictable. There is a positive relationship between expected return and expected risk in EREIT stocks pre-1993, but
the relationship disappears after 1993. We find no evidence that negative shocks affect EREIT volatility differently from
positive ones in either time period. Different from reported results for conventional firms, we find that changes in the conditional
volatility of fundamental macroeconomic variables have strong explanatory value for future changes in EREIT volatility. Finally,
comparing EREIT volatility performance with volatility in the Russell 2000 Index, a proxy for small stocks, we find that EREIT
volatility behaves differently from that of small stocks in many respects, indicating that risks in the small stock index
cannot effectively proxy for risks in the EREIT market.
相似文献
Riza EmekterEmail: |
7.
In Joon Kim In-Seok Baek Jaesun Noh Sol Kim 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,29(1):69-110
This paper investigates the role of stochastic volatility and return jumps in reproducing the volatility dynamics and the
shape characteristics of the Korean Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) 200 returns distribution. Using efficient method of
moments and reprojection analysis, we find that stochastic volatility models, both with and without return jumps, capture
return dynamics surprisingly well. The stochastic volatility model without return jumps, however, cannot fully reproduce the
conditional kurtosis implied by the data. Return jumps successfully complement this gap. We also find that return jumps are
essential in capturing the volatility smirk effects observed in short-term options.
相似文献
Sol KimEmail: |
8.
The main purpose of the study is to explore the dynamic relationship among the TAIEX spot, futures, and options markets by
proposing an innovative multivariable GARCH-M MSKST (Multivariate Skewed-Student distribution) model. In addition to the considerable
feedback effects of these three markets in terms of return transmissions, a significant bidirectional relationship is also
found in volatility transmissions between futures and spot markets, and unidirectional spillover occurs from futures to options
markets. Specifically, futures are found to exert the most influence on spot and options, and play an important role in disclosing
information and pricing discovery to the other two markets. Comparing the magnitude of the effect the positive and negative
basis has on spot prices, it is evident that positive basis has a greater impact on the spot market than negative basis does.
Of interest, our study shows that positive basis has even more effect than negative basis does on the conditional variance
of return on spot and futures.
相似文献
Kai-Li WangEmail: |
9.
This paper examines the relationship between the volatility implied in option prices and the subsequently realized volatility
by using the S&P/ASX 200 index options (XJO) traded on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) during a period of 5 years. Unlike
stock index options such as the S&P 100 index options in the US market, the S&P/ASX 200 index options are traded infrequently
and in low volumes, and have a long maturity cycle. Thus an errors-in-variables problem for measurement of implied volatility
is more likely to exist. After accounting for this problem by instrumental variable method, it is found that both call and
put implied volatilities are superior to historical volatility in forecasting future realized volatility. Moreover, implied
call volatility is nearly an unbiased forecast of future volatility.
相似文献
Steven LiEmail: |
10.
Is the January effect still alive in the futures markets? 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
The January effect concerns the fact that small capitalization stocks have historically outperformed large capitalized stocks
in January. We analyze evidence as to whether this anomaly can be exploited in the futures markets as a speculative investment
or to add risk-adjusted value to portfolio performance. We find that the January effect is still alive in the futures markets
on the Value Line minus S&P 500 spread trade, but that the marginal liquidity of the Value Line stock index futures contract
has made it very risky to exploit the effect. Historically from 1982/3 to 2004/5, the trade has been profitable. This anomaly
was also exploitable through a Russell 2000 minus S&P 500 spread trade from 1993/4 to 2004/5.
相似文献
William T. ZiembaEmail: |
11.
Interday and intraday volatility: Additional evidence from the Shanghai Stock Exchange 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
After examining both the interday and intraday return volatility of the Shanghai Composite Stock Index, it was found that
the open-to-open return variance is consistently greater than the close-to-close variance. Examining the volatility of interday
returns and variance ratio tests with five-minute intervals reveals an L-shaped pattern, or more precisely, two L-shaped patterns, starting with a small hump during both the morning and the afternoon sessions, with the morning session
having a much higher interday volatility than the afternoon session. This L-shaped interday volatility is supported by the similarly shaped intraday volatility pattern. This result suggests that the
high volatility of intraday returns for the market open is not entirely due to the trading mechanisms (call auction in the
market opening) but also due to both the accumulated overnight information and the trading halt effect. The five-minute breaks
after the auction and blind auction procedures are the two major driving forces which exaggerate the high intraday volatility
observed at the market open.
相似文献
Gary Gang TianEmail: |
12.
Carole Comerton-Forde James Rydge Hayley Burridge 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,29(4):395-413
On 25 March 2002, the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd (HKEx) introduced an opening call auction. This trading mechanism
is designed to facilitate price discovery in the presence of asymmetric information at the market open, increasing opening
price efficiency. The design of the HKEx differs significantly from opening auctions in other markets. Contrary to previous
research, the results indicate a decrease in market quality following the introduction of the opening call auction. This decline
is largest in the less actively traded stocks.
相似文献
Carole Comerton-FordeEmail: |
13.
Joseph T. L. Ooi Jingliang Wang James R. Webb 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,38(4):420-442
The volatility of a stock returns can be decomposed into market and firm-specific volatility, with the former commonly known
as systematic risk and the later as idiosyncratic risk. This study examines the relevance of idiosyncratic risk in explaining
the monthly cross-sectional returns of REIT stocks. Contrary to the CAPM theory, a significant positive relationship is found
between idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-sectional returns. This suggests that firm-specific risk matters in REIT pricing.
The regression results further show that once idiosyncratic risk is controlled for in the asset-pricing model, the size and
book-to-market equity ratio factors ceased to be significant. The explanatory power of the momentum effect remains robust
in the presence of idiosyncratic risk.
相似文献
James R. WebbEmail: |
14.
S. K. Wong K. W. Chau C. Y. Yiu 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,35(3):281-293
How shocks in one market influence the returns and volatility of other markets has been an important question for portfolio
managers. In the finance literature, many studies found evidence of volatility spillovers across international markets, as
well as between spot and futures markets. Although real estate is often regarded as a good vehicle for diversification, the
dynamics of its volatility transmission have been largely ignored. This paper provides the first study to examine volatility
spillovers between the spot and forward (pre-sale) index returns of the Hong Kong real estate market through a bivariate GARCH
model. Transaction-based indices were used so that our volatility modelling was free from any smoothing problem. Our results
showed that real estate returns exhibited volatility clustering, and the volatility of the forward market was more sensitive
to shocks than the spot market. Moreover, volatility was mainly transmitted from the forward market to the spot market, but
not vice versa.
相似文献
S. K. WongEmail: |
15.
Mark Bertus Harris Hollans Steve Swidler 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,37(3):265-279
Until the recent introduction of real estate futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), there have been few opportunities
to manage house price risk. This paper examines whether house price risk can be effectively hedged in Las Vegas, one of the
CME contract cities. The analysis considers hedging from the viewpoint of real estate investment groups, mortgage portfolio
investors, builder/developers and individual homeowners. For investment groups and mortgage holders holding a mix of new and
existing home assets, CME futures would have reduced house price risk by more than 88% over the 1994–2006 period. Similarly,
homeowners implicitly hedging price volatility of existing homes also would have fared well over the sample period. However,
builder/developers worried about new home price appreciation would have been much less successful in managing their risk.
One important caveat, minimum variance hedge ratios change over time and may cause hedge performance to suffer.
相似文献
Steve Swidler (Corresponding author)Email: |
16.
We investigate the volatility impacts of the full commission deregulation in Japan in October 1999, and find that the deregulation
overall tends to significantly increase price volatility in the Japanese equity market, using alternative model specifications
and control variables. This finding contrasts with previous evidence that implies a positive relation between transaction
costs and price volatility, while consistent from the converse with the hypothesis proposed by Stiglitz (1989) and Summers and Summers (1989). Our results suggest that imposing higher transaction costs might still be a feasible policy tool for stabilizing the market
by curbing short-term noise trading.
相似文献
Zhen Zhu (Corresponding author)Email: |
17.
Liquidity commonality and spillover in the US and Japanese markets: an intraday analysis using exchange-traded funds 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Vinay Datar Raymond W. So Yiuman Tse 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(4):379-393
This article examines the intraday returns and liquidity patterns of the Standard & Poor’s Depositary Receipts (SPY) and the iShares
Morgan Stanley Capital International Inc. (MSCI) Japan Index Fund (EWJ). These exchange-traded funds seemingly have very different holdings, namely, US stocks and Japanese stocks. Our findings
suggest that some commonality exists in the returns and liquidity of these apparently different assets. First, there are intraday,
daily and monthly patterns in the measures of liquidity for both funds. Second, the measures of liquidity are correlated across
these two assets. Third, there is evidence of intraday spillover in the mean, volatility and depth from the SPY to the EWJ,
but daily spillover is not observed. Our study extends two evolving strands of the literature: the integration of world markets
in terms of returns behavior, and the other strand suggests that liquidity may have a systematic, or market-wide, component.
This paper provides direct evidence of the integration between the US and Japanese markets because contemporaneous trading
prices for the US (SPY) and Japanese (EWJ) indices are employed.
相似文献
Yiuman Tse (Corresponding author)Email: Email: |
18.
John E. Core Wayne R. Guay Scott A. Richardson Rodrigo S. Verdi 《Review of Accounting Studies》2006,11(1):49-70
We examine whether managers’ trading decisions (both at a firm and personal level) are correlated with trading strategies
suggested by the operating accruals and the post-earnings announcement drift (SUE) anomalies. We discuss advantages and disadvantages
of the use of managerial trading activity to infer managers’ private valuation about their own securities. Our results provide
corroborative evidence for the accruals anomaly, i.e., managers’ repurchase and insider trading behavior varies consistently
with the information underlying the operating accruals trading strategy. On the other hand, we do not find corroborative evidence
for the SUE anomaly.
相似文献
Rodrigo S. VerdiEmail: |
19.
Apostolos Dasilas 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2009,23(1):59-91
This paper examines the ex-dividend stock price and trading volume behavior in the Greek stock market for the period 2000–2004.
We use both standard event-study methodology and cross-sectional regression analysis in assessing the ex-dividend stock price
anomaly. We find that stock prices drop less than the dividend amount. By examining abnormal returns as well as abnormal trading
volume around the ex-dividend day, we find strong evidence of short-term trading, which is consistent with the presence of
dividend-capturing activities around the ex-dividend day. The results from the cross-sectional regression analysis confirm
that the short-term trading hypothesis explains the ex-dividend day stock price anomaly in Greece.
相似文献
Apostolos DasilasEmail: |
20.
Pantisa Pavabutr Sukanya Prangwattananon 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(4):351-371
This paper explores the impact of an exogenous tick size reduction on bid-ask spreads, depths, and trading volume on the Stock
Exchange of Thailand (SET). On November 5, 2001, the SET implemented a tick size reduction on stocks priced below THB 25.
Even though trading on SET is largely dominated by retail investors, the tick reduction produces similar empirical results
found in markets where institutional investors are more dominant. Tick reduction on the SET is associated with declines in
spreads, and quoted and accumulated market depths. The study finds no significant change in trading volume due to the reduction.
相似文献
Sukanya PrangwattananonEmail: |