中国信托公司的财富管理业务

过去十多年间,信托公司在丰富金融市场、促进实体经济、探索金融创新等方面发挥了积极作用。当前因业务结构单一、融资功能滥用、监管套利等问题,行业的转型发展成为监管和市场高度关注的热点。本文指出,财富管理业务是契合中国信托公司商业逻辑、具有广阔前景的重要发展方向。     

国内券商财富管理业务转型的机遇、挑战与策略

随着我国居民财富的持续积累,高净值人群的财富增长较快,财务管理业务增长强劲,受到国内金融机构的青睐,纷纷开启财富管理转型.在行业竞争加剧及监管趋严的态势下,如何实现财富管理业务转型,是国内券商面临的战略难题.文章基于国内券商业务发展面临的现实困境,分析了券商向财富管理业务转型的机遇与挑战,提出了"一个中心、二个要素、三个主体、四个体系"的国内券商财富管理转型的个人见解和思路.     

以财富管理为着力点服务浙江经济转型升级

浙江省经济转型将迎来巨大的财富管理需求,这为银行业发展财富管理业务提供了良好契机.同时,开展财富管理银行业务也是商业银行打破同质化竞争、辅助产业资本走出去、实现自身战略转型的必由之路.在浙商业银行实现财富管理转型,必须从传统的资金提供者向综合金融服务商转变,可以从产品创新、品牌塑造、新兴产业、中小企业、信息技术和风险控制六个方面入手.同时,政府和监管机构也应加快完善法律法规,鼓励金融创新,搭建行业交流平台.     

构建适应经济转型的评估监管体系

机构的质量控制是当前资产评估行业监管转型的“着力点”。作为专业服务行业协会,必须抓住市场转型服务升级这个理念,在经济转型和产业升级进程中,以市场释放的新能量为契机,理顺机构自我规范和行业自律监管的关系,构建适应市场经济转型的评估监管体系势在必行。本文通过对行业监管中存在的问题分析,围绕转型期政策导向变化给行业监管带来的挑战和机遇,提出建立监管防控风险体系的构想。     

银行财富管理“这十年”

<正>从2012年到2022年的十年间,我国银行财富管理业务正以前所未有的“加速度”向前奔跑。从2012年到2022年的十年,国内财富管理行业经历了从零到整、从粗放增长到回归本源、转型升级的历程。伴随着相关政策的相继出台,监管体系日益完善,大资管行业混业竞争格局已经形成。银行作为我国金融体系中的核心角色,这十年来,其财富管理业务也正在以前所未有的“加速度”向前奔跑。     

利得“中场转身”

随着监管政策的逐渐规范，信托行业“刚性兑付”神话破灭，专业的财富理财机构正快步进入“中场洗牌”阶段，利得集团亦于此时选择战略转型。     

嘉华财富:在长跑中胜出

随着中国私人财富规模迅速膨胀,高净值人群财富管理目标、资产配置和服务需求日益多元化,越来越多的人由自主操作转向以专业金融机构为中心进行财富管理。而各类金融机构纷纷抢滩中国财富管理业,试图从中分取一杯羹,由此国内财富管理行业呈现出井喷行情。回顾刚刚过去的2012年,中国金融业的各个分支都在这一问题上表明了态度——混业经营模式下,财富管理的大时代已经到来,"转型"成为了2012年金融业的关键词。第三方理财行业也不例外,尽管有着监管的盲区,他们也在大潮中有着清醒的认识。     

日本运用型信托公司经营模式透析

自2021年年初以来,随着行业严监管政策的加码、房企信托融资渠道的不断降温,我国信托发行整体呈现收缩态势,信托行业面临的转型压力日益严峻.在监管推动的资产管理、财富管理、服务信托等业务方向上,信托公司既无先发优势、也无竞争优势,还存在一定程度的不平等竞争环境;每一类业务的转型成本都很高,且短期内均支撑不起信托公司的现有...     

陆桂娟:政策带来发展机遇,风控与盈利相互促进

从财富管理的政策监管视角看,首先,从整个监管政策来讲,私人银行业务,包括资产管理业务未来将面临重要的发展机遇,监管机构正在酝酿、探讨和落实针对私人银行业务发展的管理办法,包括从业人员资格认证等行业规范。其次,     

第三方财富管理行业的经营现状、风险及应对

<正>我国第三方财富管理机构近年来发展迅速。相较于传统资产管理机构,第三方财富管理机构仍普遍存在风控体系不够完善、经营独立性不足、资产质量不高、传统业务模式需要转型升级等问题。要进一步完善监管体系,加强投资者保护,引导第三方财富管理机构明确行业定位、提升风控能力,持续推动我国第三方财富管理行业合规健康发展。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.