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信用风险、评级机构与金融危机的关系 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在此次美国金融危机发生过程中,信用评级机构受到了各方的批评,各方对其在危机中的能力表现提出了质疑,其自身信用也受到极大的挑战。该文从信用风险与金融危机关系的视角出发,评述评级机构在防范信用风险中的作用,通过反思评级机构在此次金融危机中的表现,就我国如何规范、完善评级机构以及防范金融危机提出了建议。 相似文献
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信用评级行业利益冲突问题浅析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
自全球金融危机爆发以来,信用评级行业就被推向了风口浪尖,其存在的利益冲突问题引起市场的极大关注.信用评级行业该何去何从,其利益冲突问题如何缓解,引起了学者和专家的思考.文章旨在从利益冲突问题的起源、凸显的基础和环境、激化的原因以及解决对策4个方面对信用评级行业利益冲突问题展开研究. 相似文献
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在本次金融危机中,信用评级公司没有及时揭示风险,并误导投资者,事后又加剧投资者恐慌,扩大了危机的破坏程度,对金融危机起到了推波助澜的作用.本文通过探讨信用评级机构在美国次贷危机中所扮演的角色,以期对我国信用评级机构的发展与规范带来启示. 相似文献
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主权信用评级是一个国家信用的直观体现,信用评级的调整往往具有助涨和助跌的作用.随着中国对外开放水平的提高,国际金融合作越来越频繁,评级对于国家声誉及中国企业走出去的意义越来越重大.但长期以来中国对主权信用评级缺乏话语权,一些评级机构不负责任的评级往往会造成我国金融市场的动荡.本文旨在探究国际评级机构对我国主权信用评级历次重大调整后我国金融市场的变化情况,以此分析我国金融市场受评级调整后影响程度的趋势.并给出相应的政策建议,以加强国际合作,逐渐打破三大评级机构的垄断,不断增强我国对抗不良评级的能力,维护金融市场稳定. 相似文献
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基于中国债券市场的违约事件,本文在国内外研究基础上,进一步探讨债券违约原因及应如何看待债券违约.接着基于声誉的考虑、理性人假设探讨债券违约对信用评级机构的影响,并就信用评级的局限做了分析,最后对评级机构的应对提出了建议. 相似文献
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美国信用评级业及其未来的监管政策调整 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
美国次贷危机的爆发使得信用评级机构声誉日下,同时也使得美国信用评级业存在的问题进一步暴露.金融创新背景下的美国信用评级业其实存在着许多内在矛盾和困境.因此,以下三个方面将是其监管政策调整的重点: (1)强化竞争机制,调整信用评级现有市场结构; (2)加强信息披露,提高评级活动的可审核性; (3)保证评级活动的独立性,促使评级结果的公正与客观. 相似文献
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We demonstrate that credit rating agencies aggravated the East Asian crisis. In fact, having failed to predict the emergence of the crisis, rating agencies became excessively conservative. They downgraded East Asian crisis countries more than the worsening in these countries' economic fundamentals would justify. This unduly exacerbated, for these countries, the cost of borrowing abroad and caused the supply of international capital to them to evaporate. In turn, lower than deserved ratings contributed – at least for some time – to amplify the East Asian crisis. Although this goes beyond the scope of our paper, we also propose an endogenous rationale for rating agencies to become excessively conservative after having made blatant errors in predicting the East Asian crisis. Specifically, rating agencies would have an incentive to become more conservative, so as to recover from the damage these errors caused to them and to rebuild their own reputation. 相似文献
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The ongoing financial crisis has drawn considerable attention to the role of credit rating agencies in the financial system. We examine how the foreign exchange market reacts to sovereign credit events prior to (2000–2006) and during the crisis (2006–2010). The sample includes a broad set of countries in Europe and Central Asia in order to investigate spillover effects. We find that rating agencies’ signals do affect the own-country exchange rate and we identify strong spillover effects to other countries’ exchange rates in the region. In both cases, the impact of outlook and watch signals is stronger than the impact of actual rating changes. Market reactions and spillovers are far stronger during the financial crisis period than pre-crisis. Negative news from all three major agencies has an impact, whereas only Moody's positive news produces a reaction. Negative news from Fitch tends to have the strongest effect. The findings are important in enhancing understanding of the role of rating agencies and the market response to their signals. 相似文献
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主权信用评级与金融安全 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文分析了金融开放条件下主权信用评级波动对金融市场安全的影响和传递机制,探讨了主权信用评级、国际投资银行以及投资者预期等因素在国际金融危机中扮演的角色,并从加强对外资机构在华信用评级业务范围和评级流程的监督管理、推进中国信用评级机构国际化建设、理顺评级过程中所涉各方利益、探索投资者的法律保障等5个方面,就促进中国主权信用评级公正和稳定提出建议。 相似文献
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This study analyzes the effect of corporate bond rating changes by international agencies on stock prices. This topic has
not yet been analyzed for the Spanish stock market, despite the growing importance of ratings in Spanish financial markets.
On an efficient market, rating changes will only have an effect if they contain some new information. The results from an
event study indicate that rating actions cause significant negative abnormal returns in issuing firms around the date of the
announcement. This evidence indicates an informational effect related to downgrades, which supports the hypothesis that credit
rating agencies provide information that may reduce the asymmetric information problem between firms and investors. In the
case of upgrades, our results are compatible with a redistribution of wealth between bondholders and owners or with the reputation
hypothesis.
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Credit rating agencies often make sharp adjustments in their pronouncements during times of stress in financial markets. These adjustments typically happen with a delay relative to shocks in market prices. Since prices convey information about what market participants are doing and thinking, it is likely that rating agencies take into account market prices when issuing their pronouncements.In order to understand the relationship between credit ratings and financial prices, we develop a model of debt roll-over in which rating agencies incorporate information publicly available in financial markets. We find that (1) rating agencies respond to market prices, i.e. nonfundamental price volatility can shift financing conditions from a low risk spread and high credit rating equilibrium to an equilibrium with high spread and low rating, and (2) rating agencies can anchor expectations about the equilibrium in financial markets, thus serving as an antidote to nonfundamental price volatility. 相似文献
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信用评级机构在次级债危机形成中的角色解析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
由于现代金融体系的全球化,这场涉及美国众多金融机构的次级债危机很快在全球蔓延开来,逐步演变成了一场全球信用危机,而一贯被人们寄予厚望的信用评级机构在这场愈演愈烈的危机中却备受指责.论文重新审视了芙国信用评级机构运营机制的固有缺陷,通过揭示信用评级机构对次级债危机形成的责任,提出我国要以次级债危机为鉴,通过规范信用评级行业的发展,使信用评级机构真正承担金融风险监督者的责任. 相似文献
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由于现代金融体系的全球化,以及参与美国次级债券的投资机构众多,美国次级债危机很快在全球蔓延开来,逐步演变成了一场全球信用危机,而一贯被人们寄予厚望的信用评级机构在这场愈演愈烈的危机中却备受指责.这场全球性的信用危机为我国债券市场信用评级制度的完善提供了有益的启示. 相似文献
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美国信用评级机构反垄断规制研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
安然事件之后,尤其是次贷危机爆发之后,美国信用评级寡头市场结构备受关注,人们认为三大评级机构的垄断势力对信用评级质量下降有着不可推卸的责任。理论界对于信用评级市场是否需要促进竞争和如何促进竞争的问题争论不休。美国政府通过发布规则对改善信用评级的市场结构作出了一些尝试,并取得了一定的效果。 相似文献