森林游憩环境恢复性评价影响机制研究

对环境恢复性评价的影响机制进行研究,以吉林龙湾群国家森林公园为例,尝试构建森林游憩活动中气候舒适度感知对环境恢复性评价的影响,以及二者与游客满意度和游后行为关系的结构方程模型。研究发现:气候舒适度感知正向影响环境恢复性评价,二者皆正向影响游客满意度;气候舒适度感知和游客满意度对游后行为同样有正向影响,但环境恢复性评价对游后行为不具有正向影响。因此,提高森林公园的气候舒适度和环境恢复性能更好地帮助人们恢复身心。依照研究结果,以气候舒适度及环境恢复性两个角度为公园的管理提供了相应措施及建议。     

基于客源地多重区位的民宿游客忠诚度调节机制

旅游决策是旅游地理学的重要研究领域,而客源地对旅游决策的影响是人地关系的重要体现。基于阳朔民宿旅游者问卷调查数据,综合运用结构方程模型分析了民宿游客忠诚度的影响机制,重点探讨客源地区位结构的调节作用。结果表明：(1)体验质量增强了民宿游客的感知价值,且体验质量和感知价值提高了游客满意度。民宿物理环境和游客满意度均提升了忠诚度。(2)感知价值在体验质量与满意度之间发挥了部分中介作用。满意度在感知价值—忠诚度、物理环境—忠诚度、社会互动—忠诚度关系中均发挥了完全或部分中介作用。(3)客源地区位结构在民宿游客忠诚度形成机制中发挥着重要的调节作用。政区距离正向调节社会互动—满意度的关系,而文化距离负向调节社会互动—满意度的关系。区域距离正向调节满意度—忠诚度的关系,经济距离负向调节社会互动—感知价值的关系。     

非旅游要素对城市旅游的影响关系:感知、满意与忠诚——以长沙市为例

文章提出城市非旅游要素对城市旅游影响的研究主题,选择游客感知视角,以优秀旅游城市长沙作为研究区域和500份国内游客的调查问卷作为数据来源,构建结构方程模型(SEM)对游客的城市非旅游要素感知与满意度、忠诚度之间相互影响关系进行检验。结果显示:(1)游客城市感知对游客满意度的影响路径系数为0.913;(2)城市旅游的游客满意对游客忠诚的影响路径系数为1.121;(3)城市非旅游感知对游客满意度的影响路径系数均值为0.9498,而城市旅游感知的影响路径系数均值为0.8765。结果表明:(1)城市非旅游要素感知对游客满意度具有显著影响,但对游客忠诚度没有直接影响;(2)城市旅游的游客满意度对游客忠诚度具有重大影响,比城市感知对游客满意度的影响更加显著;(3)城市旅游中,游客的非旅游要素感知比旅游要素感知对游客满意度的影响作用更为显著。因此,我国城市旅游发展管理中应该特别重视游客对城市非旅游要素的感知和游客满意度的提高,以有效增强游客的城市旅游忠诚度。     

乡村民宿旅游地游客忠诚度影响因素及作用机制——基于ABC态度模型视角的实证分析

基于ABC态度模型,构建乡村民宿旅游地游客忠诚度结构关系模型,以野溪铺村和锡福村为案例地,运用验证性因子分析方法,探讨乡村民宿旅游地游客忠诚度影响因素及作用机制。结果表明:(1)乡村民宿旅游地游客忠诚度影响因素和作用机制符合ABC态度模型,是认知—情感—行为序列的连续过程。(2)影响因素分四个方面:在直接影响因素中,感知价值、旅游涉入、品牌体验、品牌个性及满意度均对游客忠诚度有显著的正向影响;在间接影响因素中,感知价值、旅游涉入、品牌个性、品牌体验等均通过满意度间接影响忠诚度,品牌体验、满意度在品牌个性对忠诚度中起部分中介作用得以证实;在总效应中,满意度对忠诚度影响最大(0.465),对品牌体验影响最小(0.185);在二维影响因素中,情感价值和成本价值、自我表现性、真诚的和关爱的、行为体验因子对忠诚度正向影响更为显著。(3)作用机制方面,推力因素和拉力因素相互作用及二者对忠诚度的影响构成乡村民宿旅游地游客忠诚度推力机制和拉力机制,态度认知成分通过情感成分影响行为成分构成忠诚度传导机制。     

目的地旅游供给游客感知评价与行为态度的比较研究——以西安市为例北大核心CSSCI

入境游客作为目的地旅游供给的消费者与体验者,其对目的地旅游供给的感知评价,对准确把握区域旅游供给情况,及促进区域旅游供给宏观调控具有重要参考价值。本文基于旅游系统理论、游客感知理论,采用西安市2013年与2015年入境游客的一手调查数据,通过构建入境游客结构方程感知模型,对入境游客目的地供给感知与行为进行比较分析。研究发现:(1)入境游客对西安旅游供给的感知评价整体上持认同态度,旅游供给指标路径系数均在0.6以上;(2)入境游客对西安旅游信息与营销、旅游餐饮住宿与城市人文环境因子感知程度最强,路径系数均保持在0.7以上,对城市自然环境因子感知程度最弱,路径系数保持在0.5左右,旅游安全因子上升程度最大,提高了0.16;(3)目的地旅游供给感知与游客满意度及重游意愿均存在正相关关系,入境游客目的地旅游供给感知满意度对重游意愿的影响值为0.357、0.226。研究结果对把握入境客源市场需求特征,加深对西安市旅游供给结构的认识,以及实施旅游供给侧改革调控具有一定的理论与实践参考价值。     

顾客参与对顾客感知虚拟价值的影响研究

本研究将广义虚拟经济的二元价值容介态理论引入到顾客价值的研究框架中,将顾客感知价值分为实体价值(即实用价值)和虚拟价值(即享乐价值),构建了参与情境下对不同的顾客感知价值类型的影响差异模型。研究结果表明:(1)顾客参与的三个维度:信息分享、责任行为和人际互动都对实用价值有显著正向的影响;(2)信息分享、责任行为和人际互动都对享乐价值有显著正向的影响;(3)实用价值和享乐价值都对顾客忠诚有显著正向的影响。     

乡村文旅融合对游客满意度的影响研究——基于场景理论的实证分析

文章基于场景理论,构建乡村文旅融合下的旅游满意度模型,验证了乡村旅游期望值、乡村文旅融合质量感知、乡村公共服务质量感知、感知价值和游客满意度之间的结构关系,研究认为游客期望值和乡村公共服务质量感知是影响乡村文旅融合质量感知的重要因素,乡村文旅融合质量感知、乡村公共服务质量感知、乡村旅游感知价值对游客满意度有正向影响.并从资源、产品、产业、事业四个层次和空间场景、活动体验、村民驱动、产业联动四个角度提出乡村文旅融合提升游客满意度的路径,以期通过乡村文旅融合提升游客满意度.     

体验营销对消费者购买意愿的影响——以3G业务为例

在回顾体验营销相关研究的基础上,分析了在电信行业中体验营销模式对消费者购买意愿的影响路径。以Schmitt的五维体验战略模块和理性行为理论为基础,构建了体验的5个维度影响消费者购买意愿的理论模型,并对该模型进行了实证分析与检验。研究结果表明:体验的五维战略模块分别对消费者的购买态度和主观规范具有显著的正向影响;购买态度(认知、情感)对购买意愿具有显著的正向影响,主观规范通过影响情感态度来间接影响购买意愿,这与基于传统的理性行为理论模型所得到的结论——主观规范直接影响行为意愿的结论有所差异。     

城市公园游客参与、解说满意度与 环境教育评估关系研究——以福州市 晋安公园为例

教育功能作为城市公园功能组成的重要部分,随着 人们日益增长的文化需求,城市公园环境教育的地位日益凸 显。为探究城市公园环境教育评估、游客参与以及解说满意度 之间的关系及作用机制,构建了三者之间的路径模型,以福州 市晋安公园为例,在对294位游客问卷调查的基础上,进行结 构方程验证。结果表明：1)修正后的模型中,建立关系指标 与游客参与相关性最强,有形性对解说满意度的影响最大,认 知层面最能反映环境教育评估;2)游客参与对解说满意度具 有显著正向影响,解说满意度对环境教育评估存在显著正向影 响,游客参与对环境教育评估有显著正向影响;未来公园在进 行环境教育功能提升时,应当将游客参与度以及解说系统满意 度纳入考量。     

淘宝网络购物平台顾客满意度影响因素研究——基于ACSI理论模型

以淘宝网顾客满意度作为切入点,在国内外相关研究基础上分析了国内外关于顾客满意度的研究现状,根据淘宝购物平台自身的特点,并基于ACSI理论模型,构建了假设模型.研究淘宝购物平台顾客感知质量、感知价值、感知便利、在线服务、感知风险、物流配送、售后服务七个因素对顾客满意度的影响,提出模型假设,设计调查问卷得到原始数据.利用结构方程模型将得到的顾客满意度数据进行处理映射假设模型并得到路径图,数据结果显示顾客感知质量、顾客感知价值、顾客感知方便、顾客所感知的在线服务、顾客售后服务均对顾客满意度有正向影响;配送服务对顾客满意度的影响不显著.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.     

Information infrastructure: Who builds broadband networks?

This paper examines the essential difference between the U.S. and Japan, when one considers information infrastructure. There are seven perception gaps between the U.S. and Japan concerning Information Infrastructure policies. These gaps must be understood in order to compare the countries' governmental policies in this area. In looking at the present circumstances, the essential question to answer concerns who is to build, own and operate the network(s) of the infrastructure. Liberalization is certain to be a central factor in the ongoing telecommunications debates. Now that customers have had a taste of the liberalized market-place, the movement toward more open markets will be difficult to stop. When considering options, it is necessary to pay close attention to standardized network access and the increasingly important role software plays. These issues are causing us to take a new approach to the traditional role played by regulators. They also force a closer look at the appropriate structure of utility companies. This paper addresses the above issues in hopes of stimulating dialog on the new telecommunications infrastructure paradigm.     

Nonlinearity in Stock Exchange Markets: The Case of Bist 100 Indices

In this paper,using data for the Bist 100 index,we investigate the presence of nonlinearities by employing several nonlinearity tests.The Brock,Dechert,and Sche...     

Solidified Branding Function: How the Urban Brand Affects a Small Town’s Development? Case Study of Wangqingtuo,Tianjin, China

Chinese small towns are usually developed with single core industry,and the urban brand is the identity of a town that formed with the development of its indust...     

海岛地区产业演替及资源基础分析--以舟山群岛为例

改革开放以来,舟山市产业构成发生了显著变化,其经济发展过程可以划分为三个阶段。1992年前,是以产业结构渔业占绝对地位的单一结构阶段;1993—1998年,以旅游业为主的第三产业快速发展阶段;上世纪末以来,又进入了新一轮的经济发展时期,即工业产值比重快速增加阶段。根据海岛的自然资源基础和特点,在新世纪的经济发展过程中,舟山市应定位为生态型的港口旅游城市。以港口及临港工业为主导,以海岛旅游和海洋经济为特色,大力发展第二产业和第三产业。海岛地区的主导产业应体现海岛资源优势及区位优势,以集群性环保型产业为主。同时由于海岛地区淡水资源缺乏,主导产业也应着重选择低耗水型产业。