A Comparative Evaluation and Prognosis of Asia Pacific Bilateral and Regional Trade Arrangements

This paper provides an evaluation of the growing regional and bilateral trade arrangements in Asia and discusses some plausible scenarios for Asian regionalism. Changes in international relations, information communications technology, the knowledge-based economy and deregulation have altered trade modalities in the international political economy. The 'new regionalism' activities in Asia appear to be a response to these international developments and to be complementary to WTO-managed trade liberalisation.     

Forecasting the development of a regional electric power industry and economy: The case of the Republic of Komi

Methodological and modeling tools for the analysis and coordinated forecast of the development of a regional power industry and economy (the Republic of Komi) are considered. The information and model basis of forecast calculations is the regional product production accounts itemized by the cost elements of industrial outputs and the interrelations between the production and consumption of fuel and energy resources. The model is used for multivariate calculations of forecast dynamics and for obtaining a generalizing characteristic of the scenarios under analysis in aggregated indicators of economic growth and the energy efficiency of production.     

衡阳经济发展与区域金融支持略论

区域金融是区域经济的一部分。区域性金融产业的兴起带动了区域经济的发展。近年来,衡阳经济发展较快,这与区域金融支持是分不开的。但是,就目前衡阳金融与经济现状来看,衡阳金融支持经济发展需要还有一段距离。因此,分析了衡阳经济发展现状以及区域金融在支持衡阳经济发展方面的问题,提出了一系列金融支持经济发展的具体对策建议对于促进衡阳经济的发展具有重要意义。     

Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and Trans‐Pacific Partnership: Policy Options of China

As a result of deadlocked multilateral trade negotiations, many countries have embarked on the establishment of bilateral and regional trade agreements. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project database and a computable general equilibrium model, our paper focuses on the impacts of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the Trans‐Pacific Partnership (TPP) on the Chinese economy under three scenarios. The results suggest that when only the TTIP is realized, Chinese economic variables are negatively affected. When both the TTIP and the TPP are realized and China is excluded, the combined damage to the Chinese economy is higher than the damage with the TTIP alone. However, the inclusion of China in the TPP has a positively effect on economic variables in China. This indicates that the impacts of China's participation in the TPP compensate for the negative impacts of the TTIP. Therefore, China should consider being part of the TPP to offset the negative impacts of the TTIP.     

Optimal currency area theory and monetary integration in the Andean and Caribbean regions

In this article, the author analyses the prospects for monetary integration in the Andean and Caribbean regions and stresses the regional specificities that should be taken into account. He points to the necessity to combine economic, political economy and institutional approaches to assess scenarios for monetary integration. The author also argues that the application of optimum currency area theory to regions with specific characteristics (in many respects different from the EU) might produce positive feed‐back effects for the development of OCA theory itself, highlighting specific aspects and implications of the same theory and stimulating theoretical research.     

交通运输对区域经济影响效应的研究进展及展望

交通运输是国民经济发展的命脉,也是区域经济持续快速发展重要的支撑、服务和保障体系的组成部分。本文从区位条件、区域产业结构、区域空间结构、区域市场、区域发展战略、区域合作等方面分析了目前我国交通运输对区域经济影响效应研究的进展,指出交通运输对区域经济影响效应研究中存在的问题,并在此基础上,探讨了我国该领域未来的研究趋向和发展态势。     

Strategic Development Outlook for the Energy Complex of Russia

The article discusses the long-term development of the energy complex and its role in the Russian economy in the context of the restructuring of world energy markets and considering the draft Energy Strategy of the Russian Federation for the period through to 2035. Using the SCANER modelling and information complex, representative scenarios for the evolution of world energy markets have been developed, as well as relevant scenarios for the development of Russia’s economy and energy, including the dynamics of domestic consumption of major fuels and energy in view of energy conservation, as well as effective volumes and directions of basic fuel exports. Based on this, the dynamics of extraction and processing of basic fuels, the use of renewable energy resources, and electricity production by various types of power plants are optimized, and the necessary capital investments and returns on the dynamics of domestic prices for fuel and energy are determined. Changes in the main macroeconomic indicators of the contribution of the energy complex to the development of the Russian economy, corresponding to these scenarios, indicate a possible relatively rapid decrease in its dependence on energy exports.     

区域经济系统协调发展的模式探讨

协调的本质是对系统内部的资源进行合理配置,活动进行有效安排的过程,区域经济系统的协调发展也遵循这样一个过程。文章从区域经济发展战略规划的制定、产业结构的规划调整与政策制度的设计安排等几个方面阐述了实现区域经济协调发展的途径。这是促进区域经济系统内部资源的合理配置和活动有效安排的必要条件,也是影响区域经济系统能否协调发展的根本因素。     

区域经济增长路径选择的再思考——以劳动力为视角

区域经济在国民经济体系中居于十分重要的战略地位，区域经济发展，是一个区域面临的重大经济问题和重大政治问题。如何选择适当的路径以保持区域经济的快速、健康和可持续发展，是我们面临的重大课题。本文从劳动力这一既平凡却又非常重要的基本生产要素的视角，提出根据不同区域的具体实际，从确保劳动力投入、提高劳动力素质、规范劳动力科学流动三个方面阐述区域经济增长的必由之路，提出人力资本已经成为区域经济发展的决定性因素。     

INDONESIAN TRADE LIBERALISATION: ESTIMATING THE GAINS

Indonesia has undergone comprehensive trade liberalisation by participating in multilateral and regional trade arrangements and by conducting unilateral liberalisation. This paper evaluates the different paths of liberalisation the country has followed, and measures their effects on the economy. It considers the impact of several liberalisation scenarios: unilateral liberalisation; regional liberalisation through APEC (Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation) and AFTA (the ASEAN Free Trade Area); and multilateral trade liberalisation through the Uruguay Round (UR). The results show that the full implementation of UR and APEC liberalisation would greatly benefit Indonesia, and that unilateral liberalisation, carried out in conjunction with the UR commitment, would lead to large welfare gains. On the other hand, the creation of AFTA is expected to add little to welfare in Indonesia or in the other ASEAN member countries.     

国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长的VAR模型研究——以广西为例

综合运用脉冲响应及方差分解,对国际产业转移、区域创新绩效与经济发展水平之间的关系进行了研究。结果表明：国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;国际产业转移和区域创新对经济增长存在正向冲击效应,并具有长期持续的积极贡献;且经济增长对区域创新的脉冲响应更为敏感。研究还发现国际产业转移对区域创新水平的提升具有显著短期溢出效应;在长期,经济增长对区域创新水平的贡献率逐渐提高。最后提出了相关对策建议。     

Scenarios of sustainable regional water consumption under climate change

The paper considers the way of building scenarios of regional water consumption with regard for climate change and anthropogenic influences on water objects. Relevant mathematical models and their software support, including data on natural, technical, economic and social factors, are considered. The results of the calculations of a regional scenario are described with special reference to Stavropol krai.     

数字经济与区域创新——基于融资和知识产权保护的角度

数字经济在中国经济中扮演着越来越重要的角色。文章构建了2011-2018年地级市数字经济发展的综合指标,以专利申请数量来量化区域创新产出,从融资和知识产权保护的角度,研究了数字经济对区域创新的影响。研究发现数字经济显著地促进了区域创新。在进行一系列稳健性检验及采用工具变量控制可能存在的内生性问题后,文章的研究结论依然成立。经济学意义上,数字经济发展水平提高1%,区域创新产出增加1.05%。机制检验发现,数字经济通过缓解创新面临的融资约束和提高知识产权保护水平来促进区域创新。进一步研究发现,数字经济对发明型创新、实用型创新和外观型创新都具有显著的促进作用;虽然数字经济的发展水平在东部和非东部地区存在较大的差异,但是数字经济与区域创新之间的关系在东部地区和非东部地区之间并不存在显著的差异。文章关于数字经济与区域创新之间的关系及其背后机制的研究对构建数字经济时代区域创新体系及实现国家创新驱动发展战略具有重要的理论和现实意义。     

论互联网对区域经济发展的影响

Internet is a kind of new technology that has exerted a tremendous influence in the all world since the late stage of the 20th. It has per- meated the all domain of the society and it has changed each field of the world. The paper probes into the theory from influencing angle of internet for regional economy, and it analyses the promoting function of network for regional economy development. It either reflects the times characteristic on regional economy research or affords a new thinking for regional economy research that the research about the relation of internet for regional economy development research.     

经济发展中财源与财政收入背离问题研究

后发展地区在发展经济进程中出现了财源建设与财政收入相背离的现象。也就是说，地方经济发展壮大却没有带来对应的财政收入的增长。这种状况的存在一定程度上对推动地方经济的快速发展产生消极影响，制约了我国经济与社会和谐发展、区域经济协调发展的进程。文章通过对国内外解决财源与财政收入背离问题一些主要做法的分析，提出了进一步缓解财源与财政收入背离现象、实现区域经济协调发展的对策及建议。     

数字经济推动区域经济增长的耦合协调、灰色关联研究——以浙江省为例

数字经济已经成为推动经济社会高质量发展的重要支撑和关键引擎。基于浙江省数字经济和区域经济之间复杂、交叉、多维的互动关系，构建综合评价指标体系，收集2012—2021年的经济数据，运用熵值法计算指标权重，采用耦合协调模型测算二者的耦合度和协调度，之后利用灰色关联模型测算关键因素的影响。结果表明：技术创新对数字经济影响权重最大，发展质量对区域经济影响权重最大；10年间，浙江省数字经济和区域经济均处于高水平耦合阶段，并总体处于稳定上升趋势；96.88%的浙江省数字经济与区域经济指标平均关联度大于0.65，耦合作用较强;高新技术产业增加值占规上工业比重和“三新”经济增加值占GDP比重是关键影响因素。     

Tourism and regional development: The case of South Africa's distressed areas

Uneven development is a long-established feature of South Africa's space economy. Recent policy initiatives have been launched for tourism to be a vehicle for regional development. Against the background of international debates about tourism and regional development, this article examines the tourism economy of South Africa's 23 priority development districts or distressed areas that are the current focus of national policy to redress uneven development. The nature and growth of tourism occurring in these areas is shown to be primarily domestic tourism and concentrated upon visiting friends and relatives travel. The prospects for regional development ultimately hinge upon leveraging potential assets for leisure tourism. Key challenges for incipient tourism-led regional development in South Africa are identified.     

加快赣州市县域经济发展的若干建议

县域经济是指在县级行政区划的地域内统筹安排和优化经济社会资源而形成的开放的、功能完备的,具有地域特色的区域经济,是国民经济的基本单元,在国民经济的发展中扮演越来越重要的角色。本文分析了赣州市县域经济的发展现状、发展中存在的主要问题,最后提出了相关发展建议。     

我国资源型区域经济的转型问题思考

文章结合实践,分析研究了目前我国资源型区域经济转型的相关思路,指出资源型区域经济结构调整不断表现出对于资源部门技术和制度变迁路径的依赖,这已经成为了目前实现经济转型的主要阻碍。在我国经济的转轨过程中,各个区域之间的经济独立性更加的明显,区域经济主体地位也更加的突出,客观上要求我国必须进行适应市场经济体制要求的区域经济转型。对于资源型区域经济的转型来讲,创新能力是走可持续发展和实现区域经济转型的原动力。     

产业集群战略:实现区域经济发展的现实选择

产业集群是一些产业链上相互联系的企业和机构在特定地域形成产业空间集聚,并形成强劲、持续竞争优势的现象.产业集群对区域经济的发展是有很大作用的.产业集群的路子是落后地区跨越式发展的捷径;是区域经济创新系统的一种实现方式;是提升区域竞争力的重要方式.实施我国产业集群发展战略的主要思路是:一把产业集群作为区域经济发展的重要战略措施;二把培育地方特色产业集群作为产业集群的发展模式;三充分发挥政府在产业集群战略中的作用;四促进产业集群与区域品牌融合发展,带动产业集群优化升级.