浅析“合同制”农村小额信贷抵押模式创新

农村地区农户"贷款难"的问题一直制约着农村金融的发展。其中,农户由于缺乏充足的抵押品,使其信用风险大大增加,从而不能从村镇银行获得小额贷款来满足生产生活需求。本文通过对传统农村小额信贷抵押品的现状分析,结合城镇化进程下的新农村建设,进一步提出了新型的"基层劳动力合同"抵押贷款模式,该模式将农户、大型企业、村镇银行、政府四方相结合,致力于四方达到共赢。最后,文章对该模式进行SWOT分析,为农村小额信贷市场抵押品创新提供新的思路。     

满意度视角的农村普惠金融信贷服务问题研究——以普惠金融改革试验区福建样本为例

通过运用因子分析法测评农户金融素养,运用有序多分类Logistic回归分析普惠金融信贷服务满意度的影响因素。研究发现：8成以上的农户对普惠金融信贷服务比较满意;经营非农业为主农户的金融素养高于经营农业为主农户;全额获贷、续贷、信用贷款与普惠金融信贷服务满意度呈正相关关系;金融素养、贷款利率、经营非农业为主农户的家庭年收入与普惠金融信贷服务满意度呈负相关关系。基于此,建议应通过多元化的金融服务举措,精准有效对接不同类型农户的融资需求,提升农村普惠金融服务水平。     

“背包银行”模式促进农村金融信贷服务研究——基于寿宁县农村信用合作联社的实证分析

长期以来,农村金融信贷服务是金融服务的薄弱环节,新时期涉农金融机构员工"背包银行"面对面服务则为解决广大农村特别是边远地区农户的融资难问题提供了新途径。文章以宁德市寿宁县农村信用合作联社开展的"背包银行"服务为研究样本,通过建立多元线性回归模型,实证检验"背包银行"金融服务代表性指标与涉农贷款余额之间的关系,并就优化"背包银行"服务模式,深入发展农村普惠金融提出对策建议。     

移动支付在我国普惠金融实践中的应用研究

移动支付已彻底改变了中国人的生活方式,农村移动支付发展缓慢却影响了我国普惠金融事业的深入推进。银行和农户之间信息不对称是农户贷款难的根本原因,而借鉴"微粒贷"成功经验,发展农村移动支付、开放共享移动支付大数据是实现银行、农户、互联网金融公司三方共赢,破解农户贷款难问题的捷径。     

关于村镇银行支付系统业务发展的思考

村镇银行的诞生、发展以及其服务于农村、农业、农民的属性,使其成为建设和完善农村支付结算环境的重要力量.村镇银行规模小,机制灵活,依托现有银行金融机构,立足城镇,辐射农村,在服务“三农”方面发挥了重要作用.改善村镇银行支付清算途径,实现支付系统业务全面可持续发展,也是普惠金融工程的一部分.     

农户小额信用贷款和农户联保贷款发展中的问题与建议

农户小额信用贷款和农户联保贷款(以下简称"农户贷款")是农村信用社扎根农村社区的重要方式,是国家为实现金融支持"三农"发展的重要举措。但是,在实际经营中,农户贷款的覆盖率呈现出先增后降的趋势,质量变化呈现出先降后增的趋势,农户信用评定制度不完善、经营成本高、信贷约束机制与激励机制不配套等问题制约了农户贷款的健康发展。从防范金融风险和切实保证农村信用社改革成果等方面考虑,都应该引起关注。     

基于灰色评价方法的农村普惠型金融机构评价体系构建

农村普惠型金融机构的正常运行受到各方面因素的影响,需要各种因素相互协调。本文以普惠型金融用户申请小额贷款、普惠型金融机构对农户申请进行审批、普惠型金融农户小额贷款使用、普惠型金融农户归还贷款过程为主线,用灰色评价的方法研究农户从申请贷款到贷款使用再到贷款偿还过程中各个环节的影响因素对农村普惠型金融的综合作用。研究发现普惠型金融机构对农户申请进行审批得分最高,其次是普惠型金融农户申请小额贷款,再次是普惠型金融农户归还贷款,最后是普惠型金融农户小额贷款使用。资格初审小组能力成为影响普惠型金融机构对农户申请进行审批的主要方面,普惠型金融农户申请小额贷款,各评价指标平分秋色;普惠型金融农户归还贷款中,农户经营状况、金融机构惩罚制度所占比重较高;普惠型金融农户小额贷款使用更多的是由农户的经济条件决定。     

金融支持“三农”经济发展的探讨——以陇南为例

<正>贷款难、贷款贵仍然是"三农"在当前融资方面遇到的主要问题。同时,金融机构在农村网点少、服务能力弱是当前"三农"在享受基础金融服务方面面临的主要现状。过去,在政府和银行业金融机构的共同努力下,金融给农民脱贫致富和生产生活条件改善、农业产业化发展和农村经济社会发展起到了有力的推动作用。政府通过财政贴息、组建担保机构等方式推动大量政策性惠农贷款发放,银行通过小额农户信用贷款、联合担保贷款等产品发放了大量涉农贷款。2016年陇南市新增涉农贷     

关于村镇银行可持续发展的若干思考

正近年来,为了解决农村地区金融机构覆盖率低、金融供给不足、竞争不充分等"金融抑制"问题,在中国银监会调整放宽银行业金融机构准入政策的引导下,以村镇银行为代表的新型农村金融机构获得迅速发展。截至2013年年末,全国已组建村镇银行1071家(不含分支机构),遍及全国31个省,覆盖1083县(市),农户贷款和小企业贷款分别达1455亿元和1 825亿元,合计占比达到90%。村镇银行的兴起,有效缩小了城乡金融服务差距,提升了农村地区金融服务水平。但从整体看,村镇银行还处于发展初级阶段,还面临着制约发展的诸多问题,亟需在实践中研究解决之策。     

平凉地区推广小额信用贷款和创建信用村镇工作的调查和思考

推广农户小额信用贷款和创建信用村镇工作,是实践"三个代表"重要思想,为农民办好事、办实事的重要举措.今年以来,平凉地区把如何提高农民收入,加快农村发展,作为支农的重要课题,大力推广农户小额信用贷款和创建信用村镇工作.截至10月末,全区133家农村信用社全部开办农户小额信用贷款,累计发放231456笔,金额34063万元.     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…