我国商品房价格的计量经济学分析

文章简要分析了影响中国商品房价格的因素,收集了2009～2011年全国29个省的相关数据,从实证角度进行了计量分析,并基于模型结果提出了政策建议。     

我国商品房价格的计量经济学分析

文章简要分析了影响中国商品房价格的因素,收集了2009～2011年全国29个省的相关数据,从实证角度进行了计量分析,并基于模型结果提出了政策建议。     

对青海商品房价格分析

商品房的价格高低,直接关系到广大消费者的切身利益。深入研究商品房价格的走势,对健康发展房地产业有重大意义。     

商品房空置率过高的价格因素分析

近年业，我国住房制度改革倍受各界瞩目，在房改进程中，政府、企业、城镇居民面临着同一问题，即：在广大居民迫切需要改善住房条件的同时，商品住房售难度大、空置率高，房地产市场沉淀大量资金。本文针对以上述情况，以北京为例，从商品房价构成和居民购房能力的角度进行了分析，力求解决高房价与低收入的矛盾。     

影响哈尔滨市商品房价格因素分析

本文以哈尔滨市商品房市场为调查分析对象,简要说明商品房价格的构成,对影响商品房价格因素进行分析,从而找出影响商品房价格的最主要因素,并且提出相关政策建议。     

基于协整与平稳性的我国商品房价格归因分析

本文选取我国近20年的商品房价格作为研究的样本值,分析了影响我国房价的主要因素;首先对各因素变量进行平稳性检验,运用差分对时间序列的非平稳进行修正以达到平稳状态;接着对各因素变量间进行因果关系检验;在构建模型时依次对模型的多重共线性、自相关性、异方差性进行检验和修正,得到最终模型;最后结合模型对影响我国房价的诱因进行经济意义分析并提出了一些建议。     

房地产宏观调控对湖南省商品房价格的影响分析

本文对当前湖南省商品房价格的特点与走势进行了初步判断,深入分析了房地产宏观调控背景下湖南省房价加速上涨的原因,并提出了相关政策建议.     

对中小城市商品房价格的调查及建议

在2005年一系列调控政策的作用下,全国商品房“热”,特别是大城市商品房"过热"的趋势出现回落。但典型调查发现,中小城市商品房价格依然高启。通过基于深入调查的实证分析和规范分析后,本文试图对于推动和规范中小城市商品房市场发展提出政策性建议。     

Pathways to Homeownership: An Analysis of the Residential Location and Homeownership Choices of Black Households in Los Angeles

Recent studies have documented substantially depressed levels of homeownership among African-American households. While prior analyses have focused largely on racial disparities in household financial characteristics, few studies have assessed the potential role of location choice and locational attributes in the homeownership choice decision. This research applies individual-level Census data from the Los Angeles area to explicitly model the residential location and tenure choice decisions of African-American households. Research findings indicate that there is substantial variation across African-American and white households in the determinants of locational choice among South Central LA, other parts of Los Angeles, and Inland Empire (San Bernardino County) areas. In addition, African-American and white households are found to differ in how location characteristics impact in their tenure choices. Overall, after accounting for location, the empirical analysis served to explain three-fourths of the 23 percentage point gap in homeownership rates between Los Angeles white and black households, whereas models that lack controls for location accounted only for about one-half of the observed gap.     

The Dynamic Impact of Macroeconomic Aggregates on Housing Prices and Stock of Houses: A National and Regional Analysis

This article analyzes the dynamic effects of four key macroeconomic variables on the housing prices and the stock of houses sold on the national and regional levels using a nonstructural estimation technique. The impulse response functions derived from the VAR suggest that macroeconomic variables produce cycles in housing prices and houses sold. The housing market was found to be very sensitive to shocks in the employment growth and mortgage rate at both the national and regional levels. In particular, regional housing prices reflect regional employment growth, as well as national mortgage rates. The study also reveals that the economic variables have a different impact on the dynamic behavior of housing prices and the number of houses sold in different regions at different time periods and that these economic aggregates alone cannot explain the fluctuations in real estate values and construction levels that occurred in some regions.     

Reexamining the Price Effects of Assumption Financing: The Case of Above-Market Interest Rates

Although previous research addresses the price effects of below-market loan assumptions in housing transactions, no direct evidence exists regarding the price effects of above-market loan assumptions. This study develops a hypothesis of strictly nonnegative price effects in assumption financing and empirically documents a positive impact in housing transactions involving above-market loan assumptions. Based on a switching regimes regression analysis of 2,669 single-family house transactions, we find evidence of a significant price premium in moderately priced homes involving above-market loan assumptions but no evidence for a financing premium for more expensive homes. The results suggest that the sources of the premium in the moderately priced home market are the assuming buyer's motivations to minimize transactions costs and to avoid lenders' qualification criteria.     

The Co-op Discount

Cooperative and condominium housing differ in several ways that might be expected to influence their pricing. Most but not all of these differences argue for a higher valuation for condominiums. Hedonic equations estimated on a national sample indicate that the price differential on the average condo/co-op unit in 1987 was 12%. Condos maintain a price premium under a variety of specifications, although its magnitude depends on the bundle of attributes being priced.     

中国城市住房价格动态特征及其影响因素

本文从理论和实证两个层面分析了1997-2007年中国35个大中城市的房价动态特征,并考察了城市因素对房价动态参数的影响。所得主要结论有:中国城市房价具有强序列相关和弱均值回归特征;住房使用成本、地区市场化指数、土地交易价格指数及其变化对序列相关系数有显著影响;真实收入及其变化、建造成本、地区市场化指数对均值回归系数有显著影响;各城市的房价动态参数拟合值几乎全部落入震荡收敛区内,东部城市房价的波动振幅普遍高于中西部城市;1999年后35个大中城市的平均房价波动振幅有逐渐增大的趋势,尤其是2007年的房价波动振幅出现了非正常增长,但波动频率变化幅度不大。     

Housing Cooperatives in Sweden: The Effects of Financial Deregulation

The article focuses on transaction prices for recent movers in cooperative dwellings during the period 1980–1993. Prices increased by 80% in real terms up to 1990, then fell by 35% between 1990 and 1993. A hedonic analysis is used to analyze the impact of changmg macroeconomics and financial deregulation. The financial deregulation, which took place in 1985, seems to have caused increased loan-to-value ratios on the cooperative housing market. Using 1983 as a point of reference, a Tobit analysis reveals that the average LTV ratio in 1990 was 290% higher that year. After 1990 the LTV ratio fell by 45% due to credit constraints.     

基于借款人保护视角的住房按揭贷款业务分析

文章在揭示住房按揭贷款的内涵与本质的基础上,总结出现阶段我国住房按揭贷款业务中借款人面临的主要问题有:开发商虚假承诺为业主办理按揭贷款、商业银行实施强制保险问题、商业贷款与公积金贷款问题、等额本金还款法与等额本息还款法的利息负担等。针对这些问题产生的原因以及影响,文章从保护借款人的角度分别提出相应的对策建议,包括:保费应与贷款余额同步减少,购房者应事前了解商业银行拒贷原因,购房者应结合自身的投资能力选择还款方式,人民银行应进一步明确对提前还贷违约金的规定等。     

银行信贷与房地产价格的关系——中国省级面板数据的实证分析

本文以银行信贷与房地产价格相关理论为基础,利用1999—2008年的省级面板数据,并运用单位根检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型对我国各个地区银行信贷与房地产价格关系进行短期和长期分析。研究发现:我国东、中和西部银行信贷与房地产价格都存在长期因果关系,在短期东部地区银行信贷对房地产价格的影响系数比较大,其次是西部,最后是中部,即在不同的区域条件约束下,银行信贷与房地产价格之间可能并无稳定一致的关系。在此基础上,提出了现阶段我国实施有差异的控制房价的相关政策和建议。     

基于灰色关联分析法的商业银行网点选址研究——以建设银行衡水分行为例

网点作为商业银行为客户提供金融服务的主要渠道,其选址合理性关系到商业银经营效果和竞争力。本文对影响网点选址的因素进行归类,构建分析指标,引入灰色关联方法,对建设银行衡水分行市区16个网点进行选址分析。通过计算各网点的灰色关联度,为网点选址决策提供依据。本文为商业银行网点布局选址提供了新的思路和视角,定量和定性相结合的方法可以成为商业银行网点科学选址的实用工具。