INEQUALITY COMPARISONS IN A MULTI‐PERIOD FRAMEWORK: THE ROLE OF ALTERNATIVE WELFARE METRICS

This paper considers the use of alternative welfare metrics in evaluations of income inequality in a multi‐period context. Using Norwegian longitudinal income data, it is found, as in many studies, that inequality is lower when each individual's annual average income is used as welfare metric, compared with the use of a single‐period accounting framework. However, this result does not necessarily hold when aversion to income fluctuations is introduced. Furthermore, when actual incomes are replaced by expected incomes (conditional on an initial period), using a model of income dynamics, higher values of inequality over longer periods are typically found, although comparisons depend on inequality and variability aversion parameters. The results are strongly influenced by the observed high degree of systematic regression toward the (geometric) mean, combined with a large extent of individual unexpected effects.     

A NEW INDEX TO VALUE IN-KIND BENEFITS

In this paper we present a new approach to valuing in-kind benefits and a new index for that valuation. This approach is both individual (or family) specific and assigns a value to benefits for all those eligible for them, whether or not the benefits are actually used. The value is based on observed characteristics of the individual (and family) and location-specific factors likely to influence the value. The index is created for individuals and can be aggregated to obtain a family-specific value. An example of health insurance is used to demonstrate the approach. It is found that the value that single women with children place on health insurance depends on their own health status, the health status of their children, and their poverty status, among other factors.     

FROM PRIVATE BANKING TO CENTRAL BANKING: INGREDIENTS OF A WELFARE ANALYSIS*

An earlier analysis of Cavalcanti and Wallace showing that the set of allocations achievable using outside (government) money is a subset of those achievable using inside (private) money is extended. Here, the class of outside‐money allocations is enriched by allowing the planner to make transfers in the form of outside money. At the same time, punishments for defection are weakened. It is shown that the subset result continues to hold, although for a different reason than in the Cavalcanti and Wallace analysis.     

FROM INDIVIDUAL TO AGGREGATE LABOR SUPPLY: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS BASED ON A HETEROGENEOUS AGENT MACROECONOMY*

At the aggregate level, the labor‐supply elasticity depends on the reservation‐wage distribution. We present a model economy where workforce heterogeneity stems from idiosyncratic productivity shocks. The model economy exhibits the cross‐sectional earnings and wealth distributions that are comparable to those in the micro data. We find that the aggregate labor‐supply elasticity of such an economy is around 1, greater than a typical micro estimate.     

A SIMPLIFIED MODEL FOR SOCIAL WELFARE ANALYSIS: AN APPLICATION TO SPAIN, 1973–74 TO 1980–81

Most of the literature on income distribution has concentrated on inequality. In this paper we introduce a concern for efficiency in a social welfare model. We propose a simple but useful specification which combines three features: (i) the selection of measurement instruments in the relative and the absolute case on the grounds of their properties for applied work; (ii) a procedure to make welfare comparisons across households with different needs, in a model in which equivalence scales depend only on house-hold size; and (iii) the use of household specific statistical price indices to make intertemporal comparisons in real terms. The methodology is applied to the study of the role of prices and demographic effects in the evolution of the standard of living in Spain from 1973–74 to 1980–81.     

土地资源永续开发利用评价指标体系研究

土地资源是人类赖以生存的基础，是最基本的生产资料，其永续利用是实现社会可持续发展的基础。本文分析了土地资源的基本属性、土地资源永续开发利用的概念和内涵，土地资源永续开发利用评价指标体系组建的必要性、基本原则、总体框架和衡量参数。     

ESTIMATING A DYNAMIC SPATIAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL TO EVALUATE THE WELFARE IMPLICATIONS OF REGIONAL ADJUSTMENT PROCESSES: THE DECLINE OF THE RUST BELT

This article develops and estimates a new dynamic spatial equilibrium model to study the regional transition dynamics and its impact on individual and aggregate welfare. The model consists of a multiregion, multisector economy comprised of overlapping generations of individuals with heterogeneous skills and mobility costs. The empirical findings suggest that a large fraction of the decline of the Rust Belt can be attributed to the reduction in its region‐specific comparative advantage in the goods‐producing sector. This decline generated significant differences in welfare across regions. Policy experiments show that such inequality can be significantly reduced through place‐based policies.     

购买力平价非线性检验方法的进展回顾及其对人民币实际汇率的应用

单位根检验下实际汇率通常的非平稳性与购买力平价相矛盾,然而考虑到国际套利交易成本,实际汇率可能遵循某种非线性均值回复行为。本文对近年来国际上对实际汇率的非线性均值回复领域的研究进行了回顾和总结,并选取带有约束的ESTAR模型对人民币实际汇率的非线性行为进行了实证分析,对其均值回复速度进行了估计,并给出了购买力平价下的均衡汇率。结果支持了人民币与美元的购买力平价关系。     

A REVISIT TO THE STATIONARITY OF OECD INFLATION: EVIDENCE FROM PANEL UNIT‐ROOT TESTS AND THE COVARIATE POINT OPTIMAL TEST*

This paper re‐examines the stationarity of inflation rates in 19 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development countries with the use of cross‐sectional information. We employ the panel unit‐root tests that allow for cross‐sectional dependency and the covariate point optimal test. These tests have high power in common due to the exploitation of cross‐sectional information, and they can assist mutually to draw a concrete conclusion on inflation dynamics for all series in the panel. Our empirical results show that allowing for cross‐sectional dependency rejects the null hypothesis that all series in the panel have a unit root, implying that there is at least one stationary series in the panel. With the help of the results of the covariate test, we can distinguish the panel into a group of stationary and a group of non‐stationary series. For robustness, the two groups of series are re‐confirmed by the panel tests. Our results reveal evidence of mean reversion in inflation for 15 of 19 countries, which is significantly stronger as compared to that obtained by the state‐of‐the‐art univariate unit‐root tests.     

USING THE P90/P10 INDEX TO MEASURE U.S. INEQUALITY TRENDS WITH CURRENT POPULATION SURVEY DATA: A VIEW FROM INSIDE THE CENSUS BUREAU VAULTS

The March Current Population Survey (CPS) is the primary data source for estimation of levels and trends in U.S. earnings and income inequality. However, time-inconsistency problems related to top coding lead many CPS users to measure inequality via the ratio of the 90th to the 10th percentile (P90/P10) rather than by more traditional summary measures. With access to public use and restricted-access internal CPS data, and by applying bounding methods, we show that using P90/P10 does not completely obviate time-inconsistency problems, especially in capturing household income inequality trends. Using internal data, we create consistent cell mean values for all top-coded public use values that, when used with public use data, closely track inequality trends in earnings and household income using internal data. But estimates of longer-term inequality trends with these corrected data based on P90/P10 differ from those based on the Gini coefficient. The choice of inequality measure still matters.