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E. Störmer Author Vitae B. Truffer Author Vitae Author Vitae W. Gujer Author Vitae A. Herlyn Author Vitae Author Vitae H. Kastenholz Author Vitae Author Vitae J. Markard Author Vitae Author Vitae A. Ruef Author Vitae 《Technological Forecasting and Social Change》2009,76(9):1150-1162
The sustainable transformation of infrastructure sectors represents a challenge of prime importance worldwide. Due to long life times of infrastructures, strategic decision making has to explicitly consider uncertainties in context conditions, value considerations and available technological alternatives. However currently, strategic infrastructure planning is often carried out in a very narrow perspective. The present paper argues that foresight informed strategic planning, allows addressing trade-offs related to context uncertainties, value conflicts and sustainability deficits in a structured way. The paper introduces a specific procedural proposal, the Regional Infrastructure Foresight method (RIF) and illustrates its potential virtues through an application to urban water management planning in a Swiss region (Kiesental). 相似文献