The trade impact of European Union agricultural preferences

We assess the impact on agricultural trade of European Union (EU) trade policies, using a gravity model based on disaggregated trade flows from 161 developing countries (DCs) to 15 EU member countries. We use a sample selection framework to account for potential selection bias of positive trade flows and provide an explicit measure for relative preference margins. From a policy perspective, our results debunk some of the most widespread criticisms of preferential policies: EU preferences matter and have a positive impact on DCs agricultural exports at both the extensive and intensive margins, although with significant differences across sectors.     

Predicting the pattern of international trade in the neoclassical model: a synthesis

I propose a framework that takes a set of conceivable outcomes as the primitive and a prediction is defined by identifying a subset on the set of conceivable outcomes. This notion of predictability serves as an organizing principle for characterizing pattern of trade predictions in single economy and integrated equilibrium formulations of the neoclassical trade model. I identify allocative efficiency as the unifying subset selection criterion for the different formulations of the neoclassical trade model, ranging from Ricardo’s (in Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, reprinted by J. M. Dent, London, in Everyman’s library, 1817) original comparative advantage formulation to the multi-cone Heckscher–Ohlin specification with multiple countries, goods and factors. I am grateful to comments from Jim Anderson, Chris Starmer, Catia Montagna, Peter Neary, two anonymous referees, as well as participants at the June 2007 GEP Conference on ‘New Directions in International Trade Theory’. I am grateful for financial support from NSF research grant SES-0452991 and from Leverhulme Trust Programme grant F114/BF.     

服务地方经济的国际贸易本科应用型人才培养模式构建探讨

人才培养模式是在教育思想指导下,按照特定的培养目标和人才规格,以相对稳定的教学内容和课程体系实施人才培养的总和。分析了服务地方经济的国际贸易本科应用型人才培养模式的构建思路,并构建了服务地方经济的国际贸易本科应用型培养模式,最后提出了国际贸易本科应用型培养模式的保障措施。这对培养服务地方经济的国际贸易应用型人才具有重要的意义。     

人民币升值对我国外贸业的影响

中国自2005年7月21日实行新一轮的人民币汇制改革以来,货币一直处于升值的状态,对国民经济产生各种影响,外贸经济也不例外。中国自改革开放以来,对外贸易一直保持高速增长,而且连年保持着贸易顺差。人民币的升值将对我国外贸进出口的总额及其结构产生一系列影响。所以,对人民币在进出口贸易中给我国带来的有利和不利影响进行分析极其必要。