共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Jie Zhu 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2009,23(3):243-269
This paper introduces a two-component volatility model based on first moments of both components to describe the dynamics
of speculative return volatility. The two components capture the volatile and the persistent part of volatility, respectively.
The model is applied to 10 Asia-Pacific stock markets. Their in-mean effects on returns are tested. The empirical results
show that the persistent component is much more important for the volatility dynamic process than is the volatile component.
However, the volatile component is found to be a significant pricing factor of asset returns for most markets. A positive
or risk-premium effect exists between the return and the volatile component, yet the persistent component is not significantly
priced for the return dynamic process.
相似文献
Jie ZhuEmail: |
2.
Don Bredin Gerard O’Reilly Simon Stevenson 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,35(3):315-331
We investigate the influence of unanticipated changes in US monetary policy on Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT’s).
Although a number of studies have investigated the issue of interest rate changes, the effect of unanticipated changes has
not previously been addressed in terms of possible effects on both REIT’s returns and volatility. The results show a strong
response in both the first and second moments of REIT returns to unexpected policy rate changes. The results for the impact
of the shock on both mean and volatility of returns is consistent with results from studies addressing broader equity markets.
However, we find evidence both against behavioral changes in volatility coincident to US monetary policy decisions and asymmetric
responses to the monetary policy shock.
相似文献
Simon Stevenson (Corresponding author)Email: |
3.
Henryk Gurgul Paweł Majdosz Roland Mestel 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2007,21(3):353-379
This study provides empirical evidence of the joint dynamics between stock returns and trading volume using stock data of
DAX companies. Contemporaneous as well as dynamic interactions are investigated for a period from January 1994 to December
2005 on a daily basis. Our results suggest that there is almost no relationship between stock return levels and trading volume
in either direction. We find that trading volume is contemporaneously positively related to return volatility. In addition,
we establish that lagged return volatility induces trading volume movements. Finally, we examine dependencies in the tails
and find no significant support for the hypothesis of the independence of the maximal values of absolute returns and trading
volume.
相似文献
Roland Mestel (Corresponding author)Email: |
4.
Evidence of feedback trading with Markov switching regimes 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Previous research has concluded that the degree of return autocorrelation observed in index returns varies linearly with the
volatility of the series, and that feedback traders are at least partly responsible for this phenomenon. Using daily Australian
bond and equity market returns, we test this conclusion directly by using a Markov switching model for changing variance that
explicitly allows the autocorrelation of returns to vary with the volatility regime. We find evidence that a significant proportion
of investors in both the Australian equity and bond markets are positive feedback traders and are responsible for the observed
increase in negative autocorrelation in index returns during periods of high and increasing volatility.
相似文献
Robert W. FaffEmail: |
5.
In Joon Kim In-Seok Baek Jaesun Noh Sol Kim 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,29(1):69-110
This paper investigates the role of stochastic volatility and return jumps in reproducing the volatility dynamics and the
shape characteristics of the Korean Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) 200 returns distribution. Using efficient method of
moments and reprojection analysis, we find that stochastic volatility models, both with and without return jumps, capture
return dynamics surprisingly well. The stochastic volatility model without return jumps, however, cannot fully reproduce the
conditional kurtosis implied by the data. Return jumps successfully complement this gap. We also find that return jumps are
essential in capturing the volatility smirk effects observed in short-term options.
相似文献
Sol KimEmail: |
6.
Mine Ertugrul Özcan Sezer C. F. Sirmans 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):53-80
This paper studies the determinants of corporate hedging practices in the REIT industry between 1999 and 2001. We find a positive
significant relation between hedging and financial leverage, indicating the financial distress costs motive for using derivatives
in the REIT industry. Using estimates of the Black–Scholes sensitivity of CEO’s stock option portfolios to stock return volatility
and the sensitivity of CEO’s stock and stock option portfolios to stock price, we find evidence to support managerial risk
aversion motive for corporate hedging in the REIT industry. Our results indicate that CEO’s cash compensation and the CEO’s
wealth sensitivity to stock return volatility are significant determinants of derivative use in REITs. We also document a
significant positive relation between institutional ownership and hedging activity. Further, we find that probability of hedging
is related to economies of scale in hedging costs.
相似文献
C. F. SirmansEmail: |
7.
Value relevance of value-at-risk disclosure 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
Chee Yeow Lim Patricia Mui-Siang Tan 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,29(4):353-370
The SEC issued FRR No. 48 in 1997 to enhance public disclosure of firms’ exposures to market risk. We examine whether the
quantitative value-at-risk (VAR) estimates disclosed by 81 non-financial firms during the period 1997–2002 are value-relevant
using the earnings-returns relation. The empirical results indicate that high VAR is associated with weaker earnings-returns
relation. Further analysis shows that VAR is positively and significantly associated with future stock return volatility.
Our evidence suggests that investors perceive the earnings of firms with substantial market risk exposure to be less persistent,
and adjust the future abnormal earnings for the higher risk exposure. Thus, this results in a lower expected rate of return.
相似文献
Chee Yeow LimEmail: |
8.
Martin Hoesli Colin Lizieri Bryan MacGregor 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(2):183-206
Historic analysis of the inflation hedging properties of stocks has produced anomalous results, with stocks often appearing
to offer a perverse hedge. This has been attributed to the impact of real and monetary shocks to the economy, which influence
both inflation and asset returns. It has been argued that real estate should provide a better hedge: however, empirical results
have been mixed. This paper explores the relationship between commercial real estate returns and economic, fiscal and monetary
factors and inflation for US and UK markets. Comparative analysis of general equity and small capitalization stock returns
is carried out with inflation divided into expected and unexpected components. The analyses are undertaken using an error
correction approach. In the long run, once real and monetary variables are included, asset returns are positively linked to
anticipated inflation but not to inflation shocks. Adjustment processes are, however, gradual and not within period. Real
estate returns, particularly private market returns, exhibit characteristics that differ from those of stocks.
相似文献
Bryan MacGregorEmail: |
9.
We advance the real-option-based empirical analysis of commercial real estate investment in three respects. First, we test
several real option implications for real estate construction that have not been examined in the commercial real estate investment
literature. In particular and in line with the predictions of real option models, we show that the effects of real interest
rate and the expected demand growth on hurdle rent become more negative when the market volatility is greater. Second, we
use a cointegrating vector of office employment and office stock to provide a better control of the demand for new construction
than traditional indicators based on real estate prices and vacancy rates. Third, whereas the existing studies focus on the
U.S. commercial real estate markets, we study two major office markets in Asia, namely Singapore and Hong Kong. We rely on
the local stock market in the two city states to derive forward-looking measures of office demand growth expectations.
相似文献
Maarten Jennen (Corresponding author)Email: |
10.
Jaroslaw Morawski Heinz Rehkugler Roland Füss 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2008,22(2):101-126
This paper addresses the question of whether shares of public real estate companies should be treated as real estate or as
equity investments. Because theoretical considerations do not suffice for making such a classification, we empirically investigate
correlation structures and cointegration relationships of private and public real estate and equity markets for the United
States and the United Kingdom. Our results suggest that public real estate stocks show similarities to the general stock market
with regard to short-term return co-movements. For long-term investment horizons, the interdependence between direct and securitized
real estate is much stronger. However, in the latter case, real estate stocks substantially lead the private property markets.
相似文献
Roland FüssEmail: |
11.
The main purpose of the study is to explore the dynamic relationship among the TAIEX spot, futures, and options markets by
proposing an innovative multivariable GARCH-M MSKST (Multivariate Skewed-Student distribution) model. In addition to the considerable
feedback effects of these three markets in terms of return transmissions, a significant bidirectional relationship is also
found in volatility transmissions between futures and spot markets, and unidirectional spillover occurs from futures to options
markets. Specifically, futures are found to exert the most influence on spot and options, and play an important role in disclosing
information and pricing discovery to the other two markets. Comparing the magnitude of the effect the positive and negative
basis has on spot prices, it is evident that positive basis has a greater impact on the spot market than negative basis does.
Of interest, our study shows that positive basis has even more effect than negative basis does on the conditional variance
of return on spot and futures.
相似文献
Kai-Li WangEmail: |
12.
Kim Hiang Liow Kim Hin David Ho Muhammad Faishal Ibrahim Ziwei Chen 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,39(2):202-223
We study international correlation and volatility dynamics of publicly traded real estate securities using monthly returns
from 1984 and 2006. We also examine, for comparison, the correlations among the corresponding stock markets. A multivariate
dynamic conditional correlation model captures the time-varying correlation within the full period. We confirm lower correlations
between all real estate securities market returns than those between the stock market returns themselves. Some significant
variations and structural changes in the correlation structure happened within the sample period. We detect a strong and positive
connection between real estate securities market correlations and their conditional volatilities. We also find the international
correlation structure of real estate securities and the broader stock market are linked to each other. Our results have economic
motivations regarding the potential integration of international real estate securities markets and the possibility of including
information on changing correlations and volatilities to design more optimal portfolios for international real estate securities.
相似文献
Kim Hiang LiowEmail: |
13.
This paper examines whether the mispricing of accruals documented in equity markets extends to bond markets. The paper finds
that corporate bonds of firms with high operating accruals underperform corporate bonds of firms with low operating accruals.
In the first year after portfolio formation, the underperformance is 115 basis points using an accrual measure that includes
capital investments and 93 basis points using an accrual measure that is based only on working capital investments. The Sharpe
ratios of the zero-investment bond accrual portfolios are comparable to those of the corresponding zero-investment stock accrual
portfolios. The results are also robust to risk adjustments based on both a factor model consisting of the Fama and French
(J. Financial Econ 33 (1993) 3) stock and bond market factors and a characteristics model based on bond ratings and duration. Cross-sectional Fama–MacBeth
regressions that use individual bond data and control for stock and bond issuances in addition to ratings and duration also
confirm the time-series portfolio findings. Overall, our results reveal an accrual anomaly among bonds similar to that observed
among stocks.
相似文献
Bhaskaran SwaminathanEmail: |
14.
S. K. Wong K. W. Chau C. Y. Yiu 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,35(3):281-293
How shocks in one market influence the returns and volatility of other markets has been an important question for portfolio
managers. In the finance literature, many studies found evidence of volatility spillovers across international markets, as
well as between spot and futures markets. Although real estate is often regarded as a good vehicle for diversification, the
dynamics of its volatility transmission have been largely ignored. This paper provides the first study to examine volatility
spillovers between the spot and forward (pre-sale) index returns of the Hong Kong real estate market through a bivariate GARCH
model. Transaction-based indices were used so that our volatility modelling was free from any smoothing problem. Our results
showed that real estate returns exhibited volatility clustering, and the volatility of the forward market was more sensitive
to shocks than the spot market. Moreover, volatility was mainly transmitted from the forward market to the spot market, but
not vice versa.
相似文献
S. K. WongEmail: |
15.
This study examines empirically the extent to which the frequency of interim financial reporting affects stock price volatility
over the course of the fiscal year in four countries with different interim reporting regimes: the United States and Canada
with quarterly reporting, and Great Britain and Australia with semi-annual interim reporting. It is hypothesized that, in
the tradeoff between timeliness and predictive value of the interim reports, semi-annual interim reporting will lead to lesser
price volatility after accounting for other potential influences. These expectations are supported in the results found. Moreover,
additional tests conducted on American ADRs of British and Australian companies show that those firms have higher volatility
than comparable purely domestic firms on their home stock exchanges.
相似文献
Robert H. WernerEmail: |
16.
Benjamas Jirasakuldech Robert D. Campbell Riza Emekter 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,38(2):137-154
We examine the dynamic behavior of Equity Real Estate Investment Trust (EREIT) volatility in a GARCH context 1972–2006 using
monthly EREIT returns, and comparing volatility performance for “early” Equity REITs 1972–1992 with that of “modern” EREITs
1993–2006. Consistent with findings for conventional firms, we find that EREIT conditional volatility is time-varying, persistent,
and predictable. There is a positive relationship between expected return and expected risk in EREIT stocks pre-1993, but
the relationship disappears after 1993. We find no evidence that negative shocks affect EREIT volatility differently from
positive ones in either time period. Different from reported results for conventional firms, we find that changes in the conditional
volatility of fundamental macroeconomic variables have strong explanatory value for future changes in EREIT volatility. Finally,
comparing EREIT volatility performance with volatility in the Russell 2000 Index, a proxy for small stocks, we find that EREIT
volatility behaves differently from that of small stocks in many respects, indicating that risks in the small stock index
cannot effectively proxy for risks in the EREIT market.
相似文献
Riza EmekterEmail: |
17.
Joseph T. L. Ooi Jingliang Wang James R. Webb 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,38(4):420-442
The volatility of a stock returns can be decomposed into market and firm-specific volatility, with the former commonly known
as systematic risk and the later as idiosyncratic risk. This study examines the relevance of idiosyncratic risk in explaining
the monthly cross-sectional returns of REIT stocks. Contrary to the CAPM theory, a significant positive relationship is found
between idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-sectional returns. This suggests that firm-specific risk matters in REIT pricing.
The regression results further show that once idiosyncratic risk is controlled for in the asset-pricing model, the size and
book-to-market equity ratio factors ceased to be significant. The explanatory power of the momentum effect remains robust
in the presence of idiosyncratic risk.
相似文献
James R. WebbEmail: |
18.
In this paper we test the theory according to which multimarket contact is a crucial factor hampering competition among firms,
because it lowers the incentive to behave aggressively in one market if there is fear that rivals retaliate in other common
markets. We consider the Italian banking industry in the period 2002–2005, employing both market-level and firm-level data.
The empirical evidence supports theory predictions, since profitability is positively related to the average number of contacts
among banks, and appear to be higher for those credit institutions experiencing more links. This result has also policy implications,
given the increasing consolidation (and hence the growing number of interactions in local markets) that has characterized
this sector in the last years.
相似文献
Paolo CoccoreseEmail: |
19.
This paper examines the relationship between the volatility implied in option prices and the subsequently realized volatility
by using the S&P/ASX 200 index options (XJO) traded on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) during a period of 5 years. Unlike
stock index options such as the S&P 100 index options in the US market, the S&P/ASX 200 index options are traded infrequently
and in low volumes, and have a long maturity cycle. Thus an errors-in-variables problem for measurement of implied volatility
is more likely to exist. After accounting for this problem by instrumental variable method, it is found that both call and
put implied volatilities are superior to historical volatility in forecasting future realized volatility. Moreover, implied
call volatility is nearly an unbiased forecast of future volatility.
相似文献
Steven LiEmail: |
20.
Lawrence D. Brown Marcus L. Caylor 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(2):129-144
Using a unique dataset provided by Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS), we relate 51 governance provisions to firm operating
performance as proxied by return on assets and return on equity. We identify six corporate governance provisions that are
significantly and positively linked to return on assets, return on equity or both using at least two of our six regressions.
We examine nine governance provisions that have been recently mandated by the three major U.S. stock exchanges, and we find
none of them to be significantly and positively related to firm operating performance. Our results reveal that the governance
provisions recently mandated by the U.S. stock exchanges are less closely linked to firm operating performance than are those
not so mandated.
相似文献
Marcus L. CaylorEmail: |