电力市场环境下可再生能源政策制定——借鉴欧盟经验

在低碳经济时代,绿色电力在我国能源供应,特别是电力供应中的地位愈加突出,因而,构建持续、稳定、高效的绿色电力市场,形成科学合理的绿色电力长效发展机制,对于低碳电力市场下,绿色电力的规模化、产业化发展具有重要现实意义。本文立足我国可再生能源发展现状及可再生能源发展目标,在总结欧盟可再生能源发电政策的基础上,重点分析了新型政策工具绿色证书交易机制,并借鉴欧盟经验,提出了中国绿色电力发展的若干建议。     

从国外电力市场发展看我国电力市场化改革

本文通过研究国内外典型电力市场发展模式,对国内外典型电力市场发展的经验与教训进行了总结,对我国电力市场化建设在市场规则设计等方面提出了建议.     

天富热电电力市场分析及预测

随着市场经济的发展,电力需求发生了较大变化,针对石河子电力市场的现状,存在问题进行分析,并对电力市场需求状况进行了预测。本文简要分析了石河子发供电发展现状及用电市场结构,并阐述了石河子电力市场存在的主要问题以及如何开拓电力市场的措施。     

电力市场交易费用研究

通过剖析电力市场中的交易费用的构成,分析电力市场交易费用产生的原因,寻求减少交易费用的一般方法。针对我国目前的电力市场状况和未来的发展方向,强调纵向一体化在电力交易中的重要性,指出建立和发展适合我国电力市场交易模式是减少电力市场交易费用的根本方法。     

中国电力市场建设标准方案研究

文章在充分研究国内外电力市场建设经验的基础上,借助美国SMD的基本思想,总结并提出我国标准电力市场建设的基本要素,并对这六个基本要素的定义和相互关系进行了详细阐述,旨在提出更加清晰、完整的标准化电力市场设计的框架。同时针对我国电力市场发展的现状,为我国电力市场改革的起步模式提出政策建议,为今后电力市场的发展以及标准化建设奠定坚实的基础。     

湖南电力零售市场体系研究

电力是现代社会不可或缺的重要资源,它支撑着工业、商业和居民生活的方方面面.湖南省一直以其丰富的水力资源、煤炭资源和新能源潜力而闻名,电力产业一直处于快速发展的轨道.然而,电力市场的开放与改革使湖南电力市场面临着前所未有的机遇和挑战.近年来,湖南省政府积极响应国家政策,推动电力市场改革,加强电力供应侧结构性改革的力度,同时也启动了电力零售市场试点工作.电力零售市场的建立旨在促进市场竞争、提高服务质量、降低电价成本,并推动电力行业的创新发展.因此,深入研究湖南电力零售市场体系,对于了解其发展现状、问题和未来趋势具有重要意义.     

我国电力市场的风险与对策

文章从理论上分析了电力市场风险的特点，包括客观必然性、偶然性和不确定性，以及可变性。并在此基础上，指出了我国电力市场存在的缺电风险．市场力风险．电力定价风险以及电网安全运行风险。最后针对这些风险，从区域电网建设，电力定价与市场监管，电力市场效率与供给方面，提出了我国电力市场的风险管理对策。     

电力市场技术支持系统的发展和构成

作为技术保证的电力市场技术支持系统必须满足电力市场运营的要求,本文介绍电力市场技术支持系统的发展、特点、原则和构成进行分析和探讨。     

中国电力市场改革目标模式研究

高度集中垄断的管理体制使电力工业运营效率降低、发展缓慢,从而越来越不适应其发展要求,建立电力市场的目的是为了改变原有模式下的缺陷,开放电力市场,引入竞争机制,合理利用资源,提高经济效益和社会效益。本文从市场竞争和选择角度来研究我国电力市场改革的目标模式。     

我国电力市场结构初探

市场结构是决定市场竞争程度的主要因素之一。电力市场结构的研究是我国电力体制改革的焦点和难点。本文讨论了研究电力市场的若干手段和方法,引入了动态市场集中度的概念,提出了电力产品也能够差别化的观点,并初步探讨了我国电力市场结构的大体框架。     

市场环境下我国电源结构调整研究

电源结构是影响电力资源配置的重要因素,其调整方向必须符合经济、社会发展的现状及一次能源资源的结构。本文从我国社会经济发展水平及一次能源资源的特点出发,对影响我国电源结构调整的因素进行了分析,提出了优化电源结构的政策建议。     

Efficiency vs. equity as China's national carbon market meets provincial electricity markets

Emissions reduction in the electricity sector is critical in achieving China's carbon neutrality target. While a national carbon trading market that covers the electricity sector has been established, its effectiveness depends on how this sector evolves into being a more integrated market. This study evaluated the impact of China's electricity market integration on the cost-effectiveness of carbon pricing. An integrated (regional electricity market) and a segmented (provincial electricity market) market scenario were used to identify possible reform paths going forward. Using high-frequency datasets of the five southern provinces in 2018, we assessed the impact of electricity market integration on the abatement potential and cost-effectiveness of carbon pricing. We found that carbon prices need to be as high as 200 yuan/ton to begin achieving overall carbon reduction. In this context, the regional market is more cost-effective in reducing emissions than the provincial one, as the abatement costs are saved by around 60% compared to the latter under the same emission reduction targets. However, the regional market may also raise potential equity issues. The provincial-level distribution of carbon emission reductions, as well as the withdrawal of coal power, are more concentrated in the regional market than in the provincial one, which indicates an inequitable social-economic-environmental impacts of market integration. Our research findings would help to improve policymakers' understanding of the interaction between carbon pricing and electricity market reforms. This would then assist them in coordinating an effective design of both the carbon and electricity markets, in addition to supporting China's carbon neutrality target.     

Short-term forecasting of prices for the Russian wholesale electricity market based on neural networks

The article considers the possibility of using neural networks for the short-term forecasting of electricity prices in the day-ahead market (DAM) based on factors strictly determined for the forecast period. A set of six factors has been determined, which allows an hourly forecast of the DAM price to be constructed for a month in each of the four seasons with a high accuracy. The proposed model shows low average errors in forecasting the price for each hour of the month and in turn allows possible significant price deviations to be anticipated.     

Effectiveness and risk of initial carbon quota allocation principle under the uncertainty of the Chinese electricity market

The carbon market's effectiveness in deep decarburization and energy transition has been widely proven. However, as other industries join the carbon market in China, the uncertainty and impact of it on the power industry are still under explored. Here, we define the industry-wide scenarios which power industry might confront in the carbon market. Then, we compare its economic output, market activity and environmental impact under initial carbon quota allocation principles based on efficiency and grandfather methods by the comprehensive evaluation model of energy and carbon markets combined with inverse DEA method. Our results show that when the power industry is in an advantageous position, the efficiency method is fairer and more efficient than the grandfather method. The potential economic output rate has more than doubled compared to that of the grandfather method. Market activity and emission reduction potential are 7% and 25% more than that in the grandfather principle, respectively. Nevertheless, when the power industry is in a disadvantageous position, the efficiency method leads to an imbalance between power supply and demand in the market and power shortages in 19 regions. Then the trading activity of the power market drops by 12%, resulting in serious economic loss, especially in China's eastern region (−7.29%). The economic risk caused by the grandfather method has been significantly reduced than that of the efficiency method. And there may be greater potential risks under the efficiency method. This study identifies the potential challenges and obstacles of future carbon market and addresses the urgency of policy to tackle this issue to facilitate a carbon market that operates robustly under uncertainty.     

新疆煤电转化与西电东送的SWOT分析

本文利用SWOT分析技术对新疆煤电转化与西电东送面对的机遇、优势、劣势进行了分析,由于新疆的区位条件差异、国家鼓励开发可再生能源政策、火电环境污染等因素将限制新疆实施煤电转化和西电东送,在短期内不可能实施西电东送工程,只能立足于疆内消费,新疆可充分发挥煤炭资源丰富的优势,走"煤―电-高载能产业"一体化道路和"煤―化工"产业道路,同时应充分利用丰富的水能、风能和太阳能资源,积极发展绿色能源,建立西电东送绿色走廊。     

发电量持续下降之谜

由于上一轮中国经济过快增长，中国制造业产能急剧扩张，阻碍中国经济健康增长的产能过剩问题也将依旧持续。多数行业去产能化的2009年，将给发电量增长持续形成下行压力     

广西近代的市场及市场网络

市场及市场网络最能反映一个地区的经济发展状况。从纵向考察,广西近代的市场在数量上持续增长,在分布上也有微妙的变化。从横向考察,广西近代的市场由于规模大小不同、功能各有差异,因此市场所在地也区分为不同的层次,而且这些功能各异、联系密切的市场点构成了广西近代的市场网络。     

广东电力可持续发展研究

电力可持续发展是广东经济持续发展的先决条件和保证。本文简述了全国范围内电力发展出现的问题,针对广东电力发展的现状进行综合分析和预测,提出了广东电力可持续发展的建议。     

The deregulation of Japan's electricity industry

Japan's electricity industry is now in the process of regulatory reform. This industry consists of three sectors: generation, transmission, and distribution. The reform phases out the entry barrier in the first sector, while keeping the latter two as they were with a rate-of-return (ROR) regulation. To simulate this regulatory reform, we employ a computable general equilibrium model, which distinguishes these three sectors and is equipped with the ROR regulation and substitution among various energy sources. Our numerical simulations show a potential for significant welfare improvements and substitution among energy inputs even if the reform scope is limited.