论保险费率市场化

保险费率是保险商品的价格 ,从理论上讲 ,价格应该通过市场形成和调节 ,即实行保险费率市场化 ,保险监管机关不应过多干预 ,但是从影响费率和费率厘定的因素、我国保险市场发展现状以及费率市场化所需要的条件来看 ,我国目前的保险费率市场化时机还不成熟 ,费率市场化应是我国保险业今后一个时期的努力方向     

对我国保险费率改革的思考

对我国保险费率改革的思考刘子操迄今为止，人们对保险费率制订方面存在的问题讨论较多也较充分，而对保险费率的改革方向及目标模式却言之较少也显薄弱。笔者不揣浅陋，对我国保险费率的改革作一些探索，愿它成为同仁们点射的靶子，以期把讨论引向深入。一、保险费率合理...     

中国国情下的保险费率监管模式选择及影响分析--来自车险市场的经验证据

我国保险监管朝着“放开前端、管住后端”的模式发展,保险费率市场化改革的呼声始终较高。文章以财险市场中市场份额最大的车险为研究对象,基于2001－2014年样本分析了费率市场化与费率水平合理性之间的关系。研究发现,我国车险市场的实际费率水平明显低于理论费率;费率监管的严格程度的确会影响费率水平的合理性,其中适度监管模式下的费率水平最为合理。文章进一步深入探究了费率水平合理性对偿付能力的影响机制,发现费率差异的波动性会通过净利润而间接影响偿付能力。费率差异的波动性越小,净利润越高,偿付能力越强,因此应慎重选择费率监管制度。文章建议我国保险市场应采用适度监管的费率制度,完全放开的费率市场化略显激进,不适合当前国情。这样不仅能使费率水平更加合理,还不会威胁保险公司的偿付能力,从而使保险市场更加健康稳步的发展。     

车险费率市场化探析

我国机动车辆保险的条款与费率在2003年月1月1日以前,一直由政府主管部门统一制定,各保险企业严格执行,这种严格管制的做法带来许多弊端。实际上,车险费率市场化可以改变严格管制带来的种种不足之处,可以促进保险产品的多元化发展而且有助于保险市场的有序、健康发展。但是,通过对保险市场运行状况的考察,可以看出车险费率市场化不能做到一步到位。因此,目前我国保险市场尚不成熟,尚不具备费率市场化的全部条件。     

车险费率的市场化

一、车险费率市场化的概念车险费率市场化不是指费率自由化。市场化的基本原则是保险费应当与保险标的所面临的危险程度相适应，其核心内容是指细分市场风险，并依据赔付率的状况来厘定费率，使费率更贴近市场的需求。１．定价的原则。保险公司在制定车险费率时，应充分考虑保险车辆的风险因素、被保险人的安全记录和自身的管理情况，兼顾“从车”和“从人”因素，充分体现费率厘定的公平、公正、客观原则。２．均衡价格的制定。保险公司费率厘定的目标是开发一种使保险人在进行业务竞争的同时获取合理的经营利润的费率结构。费率应稳定、敏…     

论保险费率细分的公平与效率问题

随着我国保险费率市场化的正式施行，不断完善费率细分将是各保险公司进行产品创新和提高竞争力的主要手段。然而，关于保险费率细分引致的公平与效率问题已在理论界引起广泛争论。本试图从保险人与被保险人的权利与义务对等和被保险人之间公平负费两个方面分析费率细分的公平问题；从保险人经营绩效和社会总福利水平两个层面按成本与收益对比的原则论述费率细分的效率问题。     

加快发展保险中介业助推费率市场化改革

费率市场化改革的实质是要建立价格规律配置保险资源的市场机制。推动费率市场化改革,应加快保险中介市场发展,完善保险产业链分工,进一步发挥保险中介在费率市场化改革中的作用。发展保险中介行业,要发挥市场和政府“两只手”的力量,按照专业化、规模化、规范化、国际化的思路,多方面采取对策,推动其健康稳定发展。     

浅谈时间因素对我国机动车辆保险费率厘定的影响

机动车辆保险作为我国财产险中最重要的组成部分,20多年来一直是产险公司第一大险种,但出于各种复杂的原因,机动车辆保险市场的利润率一直处在低位.如何提高这一市场的利润空间不仅是各财险公司需要迫切解决的问题,也是机动车辆保险进一步市场化不容回避的问题.本文基于时间因素对我国机动车辆保险费率厘定进行实证研究,拟从机动车辆费率厘定的角度探讨解决这一问题的方法.     

PICC保险费率市场化离我们还有多远

为加速保险费率市场化的进程，中国保险监督管理委员会于今年１０月１ 日在广州进行车辆险费率市场化的改革试点，整个保险界十分关注这次改革，并对未来整个市场的改革做出各种的猜测和打算。 ２００１年 １２月 １１８，我国终于走完了长达１５年的漫长之路；正式成为了ＷＴＯ的成员。保险业作为入世谈判的一个热点和焦点；在招致国外投资者青睐的同时，也引起国人的极大关注。保险费率市场化的试点工作正是在这一特殊的背景下被椎向市场的。虽然从试点到全面推广还要经过一个过程，但是我们认为加强这个问题的研究已为时不早。 一、费率…     

我国存款保险费率厘定研究

随着中国利率市场化步伐的加快,建立存款保险制度成为深化金融体制改革的重要环节。这是因为,建立存款保险制度,将有利于利率市场化改革和金融资源的有效配置。而在存款保险制度的设计中,保险费率的确定至关重要。本文分析了国外的存款保险制度费率的影响因素,对中国的存款性金融机构的存款构成进行了分析,并建立了相关模型,用于对未来有关存款数据进行预测。在此基础上,对存款保险费率进行优化模拟,即在不同费率下,分析存款保险制度的影响因素变化情况,进而获得中国在存款保险制度建立初期适宜采用的费率应在0.08%至0.09%之间这一结论。     

财险公司防范利率风险的策略研究

财险公司在防范利率风险时,需要采用对利率变动反应灵敏的策略。大多数的研究都不太重视这个问题,认为财险公司可以通过再保险安排来解决利率风险问题。本文利用期望效用理论证明了财险公司不能依靠再保险来防范利率风险。而后．通过一个算例直观地说明了利率变动与财险公司保费策略之问的关系．并结合我国的保险实践提出了解决方案。     

道德风险存在下董事责任保险市场的保费水平分析

本文通过对董事责任保险市场的介绍,指出在董事责任保险市场中存在着严重的道德风险问题,通过对市场中保险双方行为的博弈分析,得到在道德风险存在下的保费变动范围,并指出防止或减轻董事责任保险市场中道德风险的方法.     

Understanding Exchange Rate Movements during the 2008 Financial Crisis

During the 2008 financial crisis, many advanced economies, whose banking systems suffered significant capital losses, experienced large and rapid exchange rate depreciations followed by prolonged and gradual appreciation in subsequent periods. In order to understand one possible explanation of these observed exchange rate movements, we develop a simple model of a highly leveraged banking sector in which banks obtain part of their funding from abroad. A fall in bank net worth leads to foreign lenders demanding a higher risk premium on credit supplied to domestic banks. This higher risk premium can be met if the exchange rate experiences an appreciation along the adjustment path, since this raises the value of the bank's earnings in terms of the foreign currency for every period that the foreign risk premium is elevated. In order for the exchange rate to appreciate by a large amount along the adjustment path, it must initially become undervalued – relative to its long-run level – so that in equilibrium the market is willing to bid up its value in subsequent periods. This thus gives rise to the large initial depreciation of the exchange rate followed by its prolonged and gradual appreciation.     

中国寿险需求实证分析

本文对国内外的寿险需求分析研究进行了简单综述，在此基础上抽取全目30省市1998—2003年的数据．采取面板数据模型就收入、通货膨胀、社会保障、银行利率、死亡率等寿险需求影响因素与保费收入相关性作了Granger因果性检验分析。     

The wealth effects of premium subsidies on moral hazard in insurance markets

Insurance premium subsidies are present in many insurance markets. The Swiss government, for example, paid out CHF 4.26 billion or 0.72% of the Swiss GDP for health insurance premium subsidies in 2011. Analyses of premium subsidies have often highlighted that the increased insurance demand due to premium subsidies increases the effects of moral hazard in the market. Other consequences of premium subsidies, however, have mostly been neglected by the literature. We show in our theoretical model that the wealth effects of premium subsidies decrease the sensitivity of the insured towards the monetary consequences of losses. This leads to less prevention efforts by the insured and thus increases moral hazard in the market. The effect is preserved if the subsidy is financed through proportional taxation. Using two alternative models, we show that providing state-dependent subsidies can either increase or reverse this effect, depending on which state subsidies are paid. We argue that whether demand effects or wealth effects of premium subsidies will dominate the insured׳s behavior depends on the market structure.     

基于风险补偿的企业债券定价研究

在有效市场中,企业债券的超额收益是对其所面临的风险可能导致损失的补偿,企业债券的理论价格是表征资金时间价值的无风险收益率和风险溢价的函数。根据市场无风险收益率、违约风险溢价,以及流动性风险溢价所遵循的随机波动方程,并考虑债券的违约回收率,本文构建了基于风险补偿的企业债券理论价格模型,并对2006年第3季度至2010年第1季度中国债券市场中32只企业债券的实际价格和理论价格进行了实证检验。研究发现,绝大多数企业债券的实际价格与理论价格差异不大,但少数中长期债券的实际价格系统性地低于理论价格;公用事业类企业债券的价格对市场信息不够敏感;我国债券市场上存在较多的套利资金。最后从所做的研究中,得出了完善我国债券市场的一些启示。     

Military spending and the black market premium in developing countries

Researchers who have been concerned with the economic implications of military spending have mostly concentrated on its impact on economic growth, corruption, real exchange rate and inflation. In this paper we investigate the impact of military spending on black market premium, an area that has not been tackled so far. After adding a measure of military spending to a well established model of black market premium form the literature, we estimate the model by pooling annual data over the 1985 – 1998 period across 61 developing countries. Results from five panel specifications provide considerable evidence that higher military spending leads to higher black market premium.     

Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland

This article investigates the impact of long-term interest rates on macroeconomic variables in a small open economy. It shows that the time-varying term premium stabilizes GDP without affecting significantly inflation volatility in Poland – a typical open economy with flexible exchange rate. This conclusion is drawn from an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which segmented asset markets and imperfect asset substitutability give rise to the time-varying term premium in the long-term interest rate. Furthermore, the impulse response analysis of the model reveals that the term premium stabilizes GDP when the small economy is hit by shocks that are absent in closed economy models (country risk premium and export preference) which points to the different impact of the term premium on relatively close (large) and open (small) economies.