农村“三权”抵押贷款试点突破、障碍及深化路径——以福建省三明市为例

金融部门推动农村"三权"制度改革,允许农民将农村土地承包经营权、农民住房财产权及林权作为抵押物,向金融机构申请抵押贷款,该举措对于克服农村金融服务的制度性缺陷、解决农民贷款担保难问题、促进农村产业结构战略性调整等具有重要意义。本文以福建省三明市为例,总结梳理农村"三权"抵押贷款试点的创新实践,分析"三权"抵押贷款试点推进中的制约因素,并阐明进一步深化农村"三权"抵押融资创新的路径安排。     

农村"三权"抵押贷款发展困境与对策 ——以湖南省永州市为例

农村"三权"抵押贷款是指农村土地承包经营权、农村居民房屋和林权这三类资产到金融机构进行抵押获得的贷款.农村"三权"抵押贷款是农村金融服务中较为薄弱的环节,是一块难啃的"硬骨头".本文通过对湖南省永州市农村"三权"抵押贷款业务现状的分析,探寻制约其发展的现实困境,并在此基础上提出相关对策建议.     

溧阳市“两权”抵押贷款推进情况调查

农村承包土地的经营权和农民住房财产权(统称"两权")抵押贷款是落实农村土地的用益特权,赋予农民更多财产权、深化农村金融改革创新的一项重大举措。本文主要介绍溧阳作为苏南较发达经济区域县级市、在未纳入全国农村承包土地经营权抵押试点(县、市)情况下,如何围绕"两权"抵押贷款推进工作要求,结合本地农村经济发展实际,推进溧阳地区"两权"抵押贷款工作。     

重庆市开县试水农村“三权”抵押贷款

农村金融是现代农村经济的核心,长期以来,"农民贷款难"一直是个老大难问题。破解农村金融"失血"难题,激活农村巨额沉睡资产,增加农民财产性收入,是推进城乡统筹发展的破题之举。2011年4月以来,开县试水以农村土地承包经营权、农村居民房屋和林权(简称农村"三权")抵押融资为核心的农村金融制度创新,出台了《农村金融服务创新暂行办法》,引导银行和相关部门针对银行服务、资产评估、抵押登记、风险分     

农村“三权”抵押贷款问题研究--基于安徽省宣城市的案例分析

现行法律关于宅基地使用权、土地经营权、林权等农村“三权”抵押贷款的规定存在一定限制,在抵押物处置、评估手段等方面仍面临亟待解决的问题。安徽省宣城市在全国率先开展农村“三权”抵押贷款试点,为推进新型城镇化建设和社会主义新农村建设提供了有益经验。文章以宣城市243户农户的调查问卷为样本,通过Logistic回归模型分析影响农户参与农村“三权”抵押贷款意愿的各种因素,并就进一步推广“三权”抵押贷款提出有关法律政策建议。     

农村土地经营权抵押贷款风险形成及防范机制探索

农村土地经营权抵押贷款这一新型融资模式的出现拓宽了农业生产资金的渠道来源,有效地解决了农业融资难的问题.然而,随着农村土地经营权贷款在全国范围的逐步展开,信用风险、农村土地处置风险等不利因素也日益凸显出来,制约了抵押贷款业务的进一步推广.为此,以抵押贷款流程为主线对农村土地经营权抵押贷款面临主要风险进行分析,找到相应的解决方案具有重要的现实意义.     

“三权”抵押贷款政策运用及风险管理对策研究

农村金融发展缓慢成为制约农村建设和农民创业的瓶颈,以2011年《重庆市人民政府办公厅关于开展农村土地承包经营权居民房屋和林权抵押贷款及农户小额信用贷款工作的实施意见（试行）》（渝办发[2011]11号）为契机,标志着农村土地承包经营权、居民房屋和林权（以下简称农村“三权”）抵押贷款作为农村信贷融资的重要金融工具,为农村金融市场注入了鲜活血液。     

农村“两权”抵押贷款业务的调查与思考——以广西田东县为例

2015年中央1号文件提出开展农村土地承包经营权抵押贷款和农民住房财产权抵押贷款试点。作为全国农村金融综合改革的第一个试点县,广西田东县率先在全区探索开展农村"两权"抵押贷款业务,取得一些有益做法和工作成效,但也面临一些制约因素,亟待出台配套政策措施予以解决。     

“土地承包经营权抵押贷款”创新试验探究——以宁夏回族自治区同心县为例

本文以宁夏回族自治区同心县为例,通过对宁夏回族自治区同心县开展农地承包经营权抵押贷款介绍,分析了我国西部农村金融需求以发展型农户为特征。结合理论与实证的分析对农地承包经营权抵押贷款供需进行分析,探讨农地承包经营权抵押贷款开展的可行性及其与传统的小额信贷模式相结合的优势所在,并在此基础上针对当前存在的问题提出相关的建议。     

农村综合产权抵押贷款创新路径探讨——以湖南衡阳为例

一、创新基本情况 2013年衡阳市委、市政府主导了＂一流转五服务（进一步推进土地承包经营权合理流转和农业科技、农业信息、农村金融与风险防范、农民素质提升、农村市场运行五服务）＂创新实践,人行衡阳中支积极响应号召,引导金融机构开展以农村土地承包经营权、林权、居民房屋产权等＂三权＂为主要内容的农村综合产权抵押贷款产品和服务模式创新,有效缓解农村抵押不足难题。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.