银行卡跨境支付国际收支统计研究

近年来,随着我国经济稳步增长、自然人跨境往来频繁,加之电子商务的蓬勃发展以及中国银联国际化步伐的加快,银行卡跨境使用规模大幅攀升。汇兑统计制度废止后,如何完善银行卡跨境使用所涉及的国际收支申报制度成为当前亟待解决的问题。为此,笔者对银行卡跨境使用所涉及中外资银行、卡组织等机构进行了广泛调研,从现     

人民币卡跨境业务改进建议

统一申报影响了各地区国际收支数据的完整性和准确性。目前人民币银行卡交易信息由中国银联总公司向外汇局上海分局进行国际收支间接申报，统计在国际收支平衡表旅游支出项下；购汇也由中国银联总公司向工行上海分行统一购汇，工行上海分行负责这一块业务的银行售汇数据的统计，统计在旅游支出项下。这导致实际上产生在不同地区各发卡行的交易     

“银联杯”以赛代训迎奥运

2007年12月26日,由中国银联北京分公司、北京市商业联合会、北京市总工会、北京市妇联联合举办的“第三届‘银联杯’商业服务业收银员银行卡知识、技能竞赛”在北京成功举行,来自北京市近50家商业企业的120名优秀收银员选手参加了银行卡基本知识、银行卡受理等全方位银行卡业务竞技。本次竞赛的获奖选手将按程序申报“首都劳动奖章”、“三八红旗奖章获得者”、“经济技术创新标兵”、“北京市商业服务明星”等荣誉。获得一等奖前三名选手将代表北京地区参加全国总决赛。     

银行卡——农业银行发挥县域商业金融主渠道的重要载体

一、银行卡是名副其实的电子结算工具我国银行卡产业近几年一直在高速发展。据中国银联统计,截止2005年末,我国银行卡总量达9.59亿张。从银行卡结构来看,国内市场存量借记卡为9.19亿张,占比达95.89%,信     

基层农行在国际收支间接统计申报中存在的问题及对策

基层农行在国际收支间接统计申报中存在的问题及对策蔡卫红基层农行在国际收支间接统计申报工作中存在的问题主要有：１、对统计申报工作的重视不够。统计申报的数据及报表有时不能及时传递；在统计申报工作涉及几个部门时，协调不当造成错、漏、重复申报；统计申报人员的...     

银行卡交易报文中清算日期的年号处理

随着地区网范围的扩大和银行卡业务的增加,对银行卡交易的统计、分析等监管要求逐步加强。但是目前大部分地区网(如广东银联)的银行卡交易报文中的清算日期无年号,仅有月日。如果银行卡交易流水中不     

发挥国际收支统计申报预警功能的障碍及对策

从1996年1月1日起，我国开始实施《国际收支统计申报办法》，办法实施以来，国际收支统计申报从间接申报扩大到直接投资申报、汇兑业务申报、境内金融机构直接申报等多种类型，从手工申报发展到电子申报，从单纯的数据申报工作提升到对数据查询核对管理工作，同时国际收支统计申报操作比较规范，统计水平逐渐提高，但是由于申报操作规程、系统程序设计、功能开发等方面存在一些问题，     

国际收支统计申报存在的问题

国际收支统计申报中存在五大问题亟待解决。一是政策法规理解上存在不一致。新旧版《通过金融机构进行国际收支统计申报的业务操作规程》都要求银行解付或贷记入账后进行申报或统计,各银行理解为,涉外收入只要没有解付入账,就不需要统计和申报。二是银行服务创新造成申报主体申报义务流     

成都市银行卡消费市场特征及发展策略

据不完全统计,目前已在成都市开展银行卡业务的银行及非银行金融机构有16家,各银行发行的银行卡超过30余种,持卡人数量达1682万人,受理银行卡的特约商户达2700余家,2004年银行卡刷卡交易额突破100亿元,并且以超过50%的增幅逐年递增。为了进一步促进成都市银行卡业务的快速高效发展,本文对成都市银行卡消费市场的特征进行分析和研究,并对如何拓展银行卡消费市场进行初步分析。     

基层国际收支统计申报亟待完善

统计申报“千头万绪” 基层部门国际收支统计申报工作是指将境内居民与非居民发生的每一笔收支都进行申报、统计、汇总并及时上报上级部门。目前我国开展的国际收支统计申报工作是间接申报，涉及申报主体(客户)、外汇指定银行、外汇管理部门三方人员，要素较多，要素之间逻辑关系严格、复杂，经常反复出现各种各样的问题，     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.