The impact of rights issues of convertible debt in Australian markets

Australian convertible debt issues are rights issues of non-callable securities and are issued in a market characterised by thin trading, significant institutional investor participation rates and a high number of resource firms. However, this study documents a significant negative announcement effect for rights issues of convertible debt, similar to international evidence. An analysis of the determinants of the announcement effect supports variants of the information asymmetry and agency cost hypotheses. The results do not support the convertible debt models of Kim [Kim, Y., 1990. Informative conversion ratios, a signalling approach. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 25, 229–243], Brennan and Kraus [Brennan, M., Kraus, A., 1987. Efficient financing under asymmetric information. Journal of Finance 42, 1225–1243], Green [Green, R.C., 1984. Investment incentives, debt and warrants. Journal of Financial Economics 13, 115–136] but some support is found for Stein's [Stein, J., 1992. Convertible bonds as backdoor equity financing. Journal of Financial Economics 32, 3–22], convertible debt model and Mayers [Mayers, D., 1998. Why firms issue convertible bonds: the matching of financial and real investment options. Journal of Financial Economics 47, 83–102], sequential financing model. However, support is found for Brous and Kini [Brous, P.A., Kini, O., 1994. The valuation effects of equity issues and the level of institutional ownership: evidence from analysts’ earnings forecasts. Financial Management 23, 33–46], equity issue based external monitoring model and Eckbo and Masulis [Eckbo, B., Masulis, R., 1992. Adverse selection and the rights offer paradox. Journal of Financial Economics 32, 292–332], rights issue adverse selection model.     

The impact of maturity regulation on high interest rate lenders and borrowers

The State of Maine recently imposed an additional regulation on the maturity of small loans offered by finance companies, presumably to protect the consumer. The effectively restricted the maturity of these high interest rate loans to 36 months. Within five years, the number of licensees (finance company offices) declined from 116 to 24. Within another five years, all of these lenders had completely ceased operations. Hypotheses on the effect and value to consumers of the regulation are stated operationally and tested empirically. This study includes estimation of the loan companies' cost function, (accounting) profit rates and output and a survey of the individuals directly affected by the demise of the companies. The analysis indicates (1) that the maturity restriction made ordinary operations unprofitable, (2) why this occurred, and (3) that half of the consumers did not obtain funds elsewhere.     

The impact of quantitative easing on the US term structure of interest rates

This paper estimates the impact of the Federal Reserve’s 2008–2011 quantitative easing (QE) program on the US term structure of interest rates. We estimate an arbitrage-free term structure model that explicitly includes the quantity impact of the Fed’s trades on Treasury market prices. As such, we are able to estimate both the magnitude and duration of the QE price effects. We show that the Fed’s QE program affected forward rates without introducing arbitrage opportunities into the Treasury security markets. Short- to medium- term forward rates were reduced ( \(<\) 12 years), but the QE had little if any impact on long-term forward rates. This is in contrast to the Fed’s stated intentions for the QE program. The persistence of the rate impacts increased with maturity up to 6 years then declined, with half-lives lasting approximately 4, 6, 12, 8 and 4 months for the 1, 2, 5, 10 and 12 years forwards, respectively. Since bond yields are averages of forward rates over a bond’s maturity, QE affected long-term bond yields. The average impacts on bond yields were 327, 26, 50, 70, and 76 basis points for 1, 2, 5, 10 and 30 years, respectively.     

The impact of jump risks on nominal interest rates and foreign exchange rates

This article investigates the relationship between the nominal interest rate and inflation and also the forward exchange rate under a general specification of the underlying processes govering the foreign exchange rate. There are three distinct risks that affect the relation between the real rate of interest and the nominal rate namely, consumption risk, diffusion risk, and the existence of jump risks of inflation. Jump risks lower the nominal interest rate because of jump hedging of a nominal bond. The forward exchange rate depends on the expected depreciation of the domestic currency as well as these three risks. As the domestic jump risks increase, the domestic nominal interest rate decreases and the forward exchange rate decreases.     

Analysis of foreign investment impact on the dynamics of national capitalization structure: A computational intelligence approach

Central and Eastern Europe countries are in the political and economic transitional process of merging with the European Union. How has foreign investment already transformed these countries’ economic sectors and how will it affect the national economies in terms of capitalization across economic sectors in the near future? Our prime consideration is portfolio investment impact on the dynamics of respective countries’ capitalization structure in terms of sectorial investment distribution. The proposed method rests on the artificial intelligence approach (neural network method), which is targeted to grasp non-linear dynamics of heterogeneous foreign investment impact on national capitalization structure.     

The impact of interest rates,income, and employment upon regional housing prices

The objective of this article is to identify important differences in the way new housing prices react to local and national economic factors. The study finds that regional housing prices react uniformly to certain national economic factors, such as mortgage rates. On the other hand, local factors such as population shifts, employment, and income trends often have a unique impact on housing prices. The study rejects the hypothesis of a single national housing market in favor of one that allows for broad national trends to be superimposed upon unique regional markets.     

The effects of declining capitalization on equity acquisition by commercial banks

This study examines external equity acquisition by banks with declining capitalization. We observe a nonlinear (quadratic) relationship between equity acquisition and a bank's level of capitalization in which equity acquisition rises as capitalization declines until a threshold level of undercapitalization is reached, below which equity acquisition declines. To the extent that banks falling below this threshold level of capital are deemed unworthy of investment by current or prospective shareholders, their failure to acquire external equity can be interpreted as an indication of potential nonviability.     

Whole of government accounts developments in the UK: conceptual,technical and timetable issues

When published, the UK's much-delayed whole of government accounts (WGA) will provide valuable incremental information on UK public finances. The WGA will complement existing fiscal indicators such as net debt, which excludes public assets other than liquid financial assets, by establishing a more complete picture. Emphasising the relevance of accounting consolidation to the public sector, this article assesses potential uses of WGA and discusses why the UK WGA timetable for publication—originally 2005–06 and now 2009–10—slipped so badly. A series of conceptual and technical issues is examined, including how the WGA boundary is defined; the emphasis the UK places on alignment with the national accounts; and the proposed treatment of taxes paid by entities within the WGA consolidation.     

The impact of reputation on analysts’ conflicts of interest: Hot versus cold markets

During periods of high IPO underpricing, unaffiliated all-star analysts from high reputation banks issue fewer strong-buy recommendations while unaffiliated all-star analysts from low reputation banks do not change their level of optimism. In contrast, unaffiliated non-star analysts from both high and low reputation banks issue more strong-buy recommendations. Consistent with the results on analyst optimism, the market reacts more favorably to strong-buy recommendations by unaffiliated all-star analysts from high reputation banks than other unaffiliated analysts during high IPO underpricing periods. Finally, we find that unaffiliated non-star analysts from low reputation banks reduce their coverage following an SEO if they are not selected as a part of the managing syndicate. Collectively, our results indicate that during periods of high IPO underpricing unaffiliated analysts face conflicts of interest, but personal-level reputation, and to a lesser extent bank-level reputation, plays a role in reducing this bias.     

The good news in short interest

Stocks with relatively high short interest subsequently experience negative abnormal returns, but the effect can be transient and of debatable economic significance. In contrast, relatively heavily traded stocks with low short interest experience both statistically and economically significant positive abnormal returns. These positive returns are often larger (in absolute value) than the negative returns observed for heavily shorted stocks. Thus, the positive information associated with low short interest, which is publicly available, is only slowly incorporated into prices, which raises a broader market efficiency issue. Our results also cast doubt on existing theories of the impact of short sale constraints.     

The economics of interest rates

The paper looks at the behavior of investors in an economy consisting of a production process controlled by a state variable representing the state of technology. The participants in the economy maximize their individual utilities of consumption. Each participant has a constant relative risk aversion. The degrees of risk aversion, as well as the time preference functions, differ across participants. The participants may lend and borrow among themselves, either at a floating short rate, or by issuing or buying term bonds. We derive conditions under which such an economy is in equilibrium, and obtain equations determining interest rates.     

The bright side of market power in Asian banking: Implications of bank capitalization and financial freedom

Using a sample of listed banks in the Asia-Pacific region from 2000 to 2016, this paper documents that higher market power reduces risk taking but increases loan growth and performance in banking. This highlights the "bright side" of bank market power in general. However, the positive effect of market power on bank stability is more pronounced for well-capitalized banks, although their performance tends to decline, and loan growth is unaffected by market power. Hence, bank capitalization plays an important role in strengthening financial stability due to an increase in bank market power. Moreover, banks with higher market power located in countries with a lower degree of financial freedom exhibit lower riskiness, higher loan growth, and better performance. Greater control by authorities in the financial sector is essential, not only to enhance financial stability, but also to boost financial intermediation and bank performance following an increase in bank market power.     

Increasing the number of black chartered accountants in South Africa: an empirical review of educational issues

South Africa has a shortage of black chartered accountants. This situation has arisen due to a combination of political, socio-economic and related educational reasons during the four decades of apartheid rule. In recent years, numerous academic ventures have commenced in an attempt to increase the number of black chartered accountants. This paper reviews and identifies, through an empirically-based exploratory study, the educational issues potentially inhibiting the development of black chartered accountants in South Africa, as well as the academic support structures which have arisen in response to these perceived educational barriers. Both academic support organizations and recently qualified black chartered accountants in South Africa were surveyed through in-depth interviews and structured self-administered questionnaires. This study found, inter alia, that role models, as a motivational factor for black accounting students, were extremely important. Cognitive factors, such as writing skills and the interpretation of numerical data, were identified as areas of primary concern, whilst issues with respect to certain study needs, such as assistance with study skills and examination techniques, also warranted attention. This study also found that the overall approach of academic support organizations to programme structure and design appears to be addressing student needs adequately. Certain improvements, however, are recommended. Of particular concern, is the general lack of studies on the effectiveness of academic support programmes.     

经济学中的利己与利他

长期以来,利己与利他被视为经济学中的两个不同范畴,实质上利他是利己的一种表现形式,利他的本质仍为利己。生产力发展的低级阶段侧重于研究物质福利即物质上的利己,生产力发展的高级阶段侧重于研究人们的精神幸福即精神上的利己。     

The liquidity premium in average interest rates

We extend recent models of liquidity to study how a systematic relationship between monetary shocks and output affects the average real short-term interest rate.     

The pricing of interest rate swaps

Interest rate swaps have become an important tool for financial institutions because they provide a convenient way to reduce interest rate risk. Swaps allow financial institutions to obtain short-term deposits in the local deposit market and then transform these into longer-term liabilities. The growth of swaps has been explosive, with the swap market growing from nothing in 1981 to an estimated $889 billion in 1987. In addition to their role in managing interest rate risk, swaps have become important to financial managers for other reasons, and as a result the swap market is monitored by financial managers as are money and capital markets. Because of its growing importance, an empirical perspective on how swaps are priced is needed. This article develops a simple market model and then estimates the model using data provided by three major swap market participants.     

The positive externalities of IFRS R&amp;D capitalization: enhanced voluntary disclosure

Studies comparing IFRS with U.S. GAAP generally focus on differences in the attributes and consequences of the recognized financial items. We, in contrast, focus on voluntary disclosure resulting from arguably the most significant difference between IFRS and GAAP: the capitalization of development costs—the “D” of R&D—required by IFRS but prohibited by GAAP. Using a sample of Israeli high-technology and science-based firms, some using IFRS and others U.S. GAAP, we document a significant externality of IFRS development cost capitalization in the form of extensive voluntary disclosure of forward?looking information on product pipeline development and its expected consequences. We show that this disclosure is value-relevant over and above the mandated financial information, including the capitalized R&D asset. We also show that the capitalized development costs (an asset) is highly significant in relation to stock prices, and enhances the relevance of the voluntary disclosures.     

The integrated impact of credit and interest rate risk on banks: A dynamic framework and stress testing application

Credit and interest rate risk are the two most important risks faced by commercial banks in their banking book. In this paper we derive a consistent and comprehensive framework to measure the integrated impact of both risks. By taking account of the repricing characteristics of assets, liabilities and off balance sheet items, we assess the integrated impact of credit and interest rate risk on banks’ economic value and capital adequacy. We then stress test a hypothetical but realistic bank using our framework and show that it is fundamental to measure the impact of credit and interest rate risk jointly.     

The capitalization of taxes in bond prices: Evidence from the market for Government of Canada bonds

This paper provides estimates of the extent to which corporate and personal income taxes are capitalized in bond prices. The methodology yields estimates of the degree of tax capitalization, rather than an implied tax rate. This makes it straightforward to identify the marginal investor and test for changes in tax capitalization. The empirical approach also makes it unnecessary to jointly estimate the degree of tax capitalization and the entire yield curve. Corporate taxes are found to have been fully capitalized in pre-tax Government of Canada bond yields during the period 1986–1993. Since 1994, taxes have not been capitalized in yields. These results are consistent with the existence of a marginal investor, but the identity of the marginal investor changed from a financial sector firm to a non-taxed entity in the early 1990s.     

Stochastic durations,the convexity effect,and the impact of interest rate changes

This article shows that the equilibrium models of bond pricing do not preclude arbitrage opportunities caused by convexity. Consequently, stochastic durations derived from these models are limited in their ability to act as interest rate risk measures. The research of the present article makes use of an intertemporal utility maximization framework to determine the conditions under which duration is an adequate interest rate risk measure. Additionally, we show that zero coupon bonds satisfy those equilibrium conditions, whereas coupon bonds or bond portfolios do not as a result of the convexity effect. The results are supported by empirical evidence, which confirms the influence of convexity on the deviation of coupon bond returns from equilibrium.