FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN INDONESIA: FIFTY YEARS OF DISCOURSE

The topic of foreign direct investment (FDI) has been prominent in assessments of economic development in Indonesia during the past 50 years. In this article I review Indonesia's FDI record in a historical perspective; the current urge to control FDI inflows and the need to augment domestic savings and facilitate technology transfers are not at all new in Indonesia. I draw in particular on the discourse on FDI in this journal, the Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, giving special attention to contributions by this journal to the international literature on FDI and its impact. The article demonstrates that the relation between FDI and economic growth has been less straightforward in Indonesia than elsewhere in Southeast Asia. Although FDI has grown in a restrictive investment climate, on occasion it has failed to do so despite more liberal conditions. This may be attributed to the sustained role of natural resources in determining Indonesia's attractiveness as a host country of FDI.     

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Enough to Account for China＇s Growth？

One of the missing pieces preventing us from understanding recent Chinese economic development is the role played by openness and capital accumulation in this process. The question is whether the sharp economic＇ growth that the Chinese economy has experienced is another case of export-led growth due to the open-door policy or whether, on the contrary, this growth has been caused by high domestic savings and investment rates （and the consequent capital accumulation）. To answer this question, we employed an empirical framework of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. The empirical results show that both investment （in physieal capital and R＆D） and exports, as well as the exchange rate policy, are relevant factors in explaining China＇s long-run economic growth over the past 4 decades.     

浙江省科技投入与经济增长的灰色关联分析

根据2002-2009年浙江省的统计数据,以灰色关联度分析方法为基础,对浙江省科技投入的三个指标R＆D经费投入、科技人员投入和政府财政科技拨款与经济增长进行关联性分析。结果表明,三者对浙江省经济增长有正相关的关系,且科技人员投入对经济增长的影响更大一些。     

西部地区投资增长及其结构优化:重庆例证

西部地区经济发展的核心是经济增长问题,而区域投资是西部地区经济增长的原动力。从重庆市投资增长对经济增长的贡献率、各投资主体的投资效率和区域经济中重要领域的基本建设投资状况出发。全面考察重庆市区域投资领域的现状和存在的问题。通过与发达地区的对比分析和效率分析表明,“十一五”期间重庆应拓宽融资渠道,增加投资总量.进一步明确投资增长和结构优化的实施路径。     

Relationship between foreign capital flows,domestic investment and savings in the SADC region

The importance of foreign capital in the domestic economy cannot be underestimated as it bridges the gap between domestic capital demand and supply. Given this background the paper studies the relationship between the different types of foreign capital flows in the Southern Africa Development Region (SADC) region – foreign direct investment (FDI), remittances, cross border bank flows (CBF), overseas development assistance (ODA) – and domestic savings and investment, employing the panel cointegration test and the dynamic ordinary least squares method (DOLS). The empirical results reveal that there is a strong positive relationship between domestic investment and domestic savings, FDI and remittances. These findings indicate that FDI remittances help in overcoming the limits on the domestic capital formation in the SADC region through permitting a rate of investment which is in excess of that which can be generated by domestic savings. Important policy implications on attracting foreign capital flows are discussed in the paper.     

析WTO体制下综合性多边投资协定的缔结问题

国际投资领域目前仍没有一部全球性的综合性多边投资协定,这给国际投资法的发展带来了诸多不利影响。而在WTO体制下能否缔结一部综合性的多边投资协定,始终是WTO成员方关注的一个焦点。笔者对此持乐观态度,并认为WTO体制下综合性多边投资协定的成功缔结必须遵循一定的原则。     

浅析创业板市场的证券公司直接投资业务

随着中国创业板市场的条件和时机日渐成熟,创业板将于近期在深交所正式推出,多层次资本市场的快速发展对投融资的需求将会日益旺盛,这将为证券公司直接投资的发展带来了新的重大机遇而从国际投行业市场的发展历程来看,直投业务将是投资银行未来发展的方向。因此,必须改变国内券商以传统业务为主的发展模式,以创业板市场为主体,大力发展直投业务,拓宽盈利渠道,提升管理水平和核心竞争力,促进资本市场的进一步完善与发展。     

我国居民储蓄与股市联动效应及对策

文章通过对我国股市与居民储蓄相关性的实证剖析,论证了居民储蓄与股市价量的联动效应,解释了影响储蓄与股市联动效应的因素。探讨了合理分流储蓄、推动投资渠道多元化、加强监管、保持政策调控持续性等促进股市稳健发展的对策建议。     

西部科技投入与经济增长的关联分析

本文以西部2000～2005年科技投入与GDP为基础数据,运用灰色关联分析方法分析了科技投入与经济增长之间的关系,结果表明:R&D经费支出和科技人员投入与经济增长均有正相关关系,其中R&D经费支出对经济增长的影响较为显著。     

基于DEA模型的共享经济概念股票投资价值评价研究

应用DEA方法,建立了全面反映共享经济概念股票投资价值的指标体系,选取C2R模型,通过对上海证交所具有共享经济概念的13家上市公司股票进行实证分析,得到DEA效率指数与有效投影,以及股票价格、每股净资产和每股收益对样本公司DEA有效性的影响,计算了股票的相对投资价值,评价上市公司是否为技术有效和规模有效,为评判创新型商业模式的上市公司股票投资价值提供了一种新的途径。     

Global value chains and servicification of manufacturing: Evidence from firm-level data

Recent literature on global value chains (GVCs) has mainly focused on manufacturing firms’ global sourcing and investment strategies. Our question here is that, if the manufacturing firms established foreign manufacturing plants and engaged in sourcing inputs and exporting outputs, have they changed their domestic employment composition toward service workers? This is what we call servicification of manufacturing firms in this paper. To answer this question, using Korean firm-establishments matched data, we examine changes in the shares of service employment in manufacturing firms from 2008 to 2013, when those firms are participating in both import-and-export and foreign direct investment (i.e., GVC firms). We find that the two-way trading firms that own manufacturing plants in foreign countries—and particularly in nearby foreign countries—have changed their domestic employment structures to increase the number of service workers they employ. Moreover, the relatively greater increase in the share of R&D workers than of wholesale-and-retail workers serves as further evidence of the servicification of domestic manufacturing. Overall, our findings suggest that Korean firms who engage in GVCs through both trade and foreign direct investment have reorganized domestic labor structure to be able to provide high value-added headquarter services for their manufacturing plants that are closely located in foreign countries.     

西部新农村公路建设主体分析

西部新农村建设重点在于基础设施建设，特别是农村公路建设。政府主导作用正确发挥是推动新农村公路建设的基础，村民自治组织承担核心协调作用是保障新农村公路顺利建设的关键，村民建设主体地位得到保障是决定新农村公路建设取得成效的核心。     

住宅投资与经济周期牵扯:自OECD国家生发

我国住宅投资存在住宅投资增长迅速、住宅投资结构和来源地区差异明显,以及住宅投资的波动较大三个特征。从国际横向对比、住房自有率和整体空置率、住宅资本和非住宅资本收益率三个维度探讨我国住宅投资规模膨胀问题,进一步研究发现,文化规范、高储蓄率、二元土地制度和租买选择机制的缺失助长了住宅的过度投资。结果表明,我国的住宅投资很可能已经过度,但依然有必要通过大规模的保障房建设来解决住宅供给的结构问题。     

新时期新疆农户农业投资及影响因素分析

农业在新疆经济发展中占有重要地位，增加农业投入是保证农业持续增长的关键因素之一。在农户已成为农业投资主体的新时期，文章从投资额变化、投资结构、农户投资行为的角度分析了新疆农户的农业投资特征，并找出了影响新疆农户农业投资的七大因素：资金、农业生产资料的价格、农户文化水平、固定资产的特性、土地资源和水资源、农业生产的双重风险、农户的价值观，以期为国家制定支农政策提供依据。     

后金融危机时代我国居民家庭金融投资风险及其防范

随着我国国民经济的快速增长和我国居民财富的不断积累,金融资产已经成为居民家庭资产的重要组成部分。但在目前后金融危机时代背景下,受我国金融市场制度不健全、国民投资行为不规范、个人承担风险能力较弱等因素的影响,家庭金融投资无疑包含着较高的风险和存在着较多的问题,因此,本文结合后危机时代背景,针对我国居民家庭金融投资中存在的问题,提出了防范家庭金融投资风险的思路和对策。     

The quantity approach to financial integration: The Feldstein-Horioka criterion revisited

This paper applies the Feldstein-Horioka criterion, that is, the role of savings-investment correlations, to assess the degree of financial integration in the European Community. We establish a link between the Feldstein-Horioka criterion and three other criteria for financial integration: the covered, uncovered, and real interest parity condition. Subsequently, we evaluate the Feldstein-Horioka criterion for financial integration on the basis of its underlying assumptions. The paper performs both cross-section and time-series analyses of savings-investment correlations. The time-series analysis relies on the concept of cointegration. Our major finding is that the Feldstein-Horioka criterion—contrary to what is usually found in world financial markets—is able to explain an increasing degree of financial integration in the European Community.Symbols S gross national savings - I gross domestic investment - C total private and government final consumption expenditure - M import of goods and services - X export of goods and services - Y gross domestic product - CA current account of the balance of payments - GNP gross national product - NCT net current transfers from the rest of the world - NFI net factor income from the rest of the world - FCF gross fixed capital formation - ST increase in stocks - S_p gross national savings by the private sector - S_g gross national savings by the public sector - I_p gross domestic investment by the private sector - I_g gross domestic investment by the government sector - corrected for a nonzero value of the statistical discrepancy     

Capital or knowhow: The role of foreign multinationals in Sino-foreign joint ventures

China's success in attracting foreign direct investment has been cast in doubt as mainly a transfer of capital, not knowhow, because its financial system is incapable of allocating domestic savings and hard-earned foreign reserves to domestic enterprises. To shed light on this debate, we examine the determinants of equity sharing in Sino-foreign joint ventures with the premise that the roles of foreign direct investment (in transferring capital or knowhow) should be reflected in equity sharing between multinational firms and local firms. Our empirical analysis offers strong evidence for foreign direct investment as a transfer of knowhow, but limited support for foreign direct investment as a transfer of capital, which points to the need for further reform in China's financial system.     

住宅价格影响因素实证分析——基于广东省21个城市

房价问题一直是社会关注的热点问题。本文通过数据回归的方法展现了广东住宅价格的变化状况,分析了影响广东省住宅价格格局和住宅价格的因素。最后得出了结论:近几年广东省住宅价格平稳增长;住宅价格呈现出以珠三角为核心区域逐级向周围降低的分布格局,但是也有两个特例城市;影响广东省住宅价格的显著因素是人均可支配收入、居民储蓄、建筑成本、房地产投资占固定资产投资、外商投资、人均GDP和滞后二期的住宅价格。     

教育投入对经济增长的回归分析

教育水平将直接反映在区域经济可持续性发展竞争力的差异上。研究教育投入对区域经济增长的贡献,能为区域的教育发展及经济政策的制订提供更为科学及有效的依据。论题基于投入产出生产函数建立的思路,构建教育经济函数模型,以漳州市历年的相关数据,对漳州市改革开放以来教育投入与经济增长之间进行定量的线性回归分析,结论是:应把教育投入视为未来漳州推动区域经济持续增长的第一要素给予高度重视。并针对漳州目前现状问题提出相应的对策建议。     

The Chinese electricity industry: supply capacity and its determinants with reference to OECD countries

Empirical evidence suggests that China has benefited from foreign direct investment (FDI). An important question that remains unanswered is whether China has benefited more from FDI than other countries in general, and other transition and developing countries in particular. This paper investigates this issue by performing a meta-analysis on a sample of 67 country-specific studies yielding 137 observations that have gauged the link between FDI and measures of economic growth. The results suggest that the impact of FDI is, on average, more positively significant for China than for the full sample of countries, but that the difference between China and other transition economies is less clear.