Volatility Spillovers and the Risk-Return Relation Between Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets in Brazil

We examine the evidence of mean and volatility spillovers between stock and foreign exchange markets in Brazil with multivariate GARCH models and nonlinear Granger causality tests. We also use a multivariate GARCH-in-mean model to assess the relationship between risk and return in these markets. The results indicate that the stock market leads the foreign exchange market in price formation and that nonlinear Granger causalities from the exchange market to the stock market do occur. Part of these nonlinear causalities are explained by volatility spillovers. We show that exchange rate volatility affects not only stock market volatility but also stock returns.     

Fear Linkages Between the US and BRICS Stock Markets: A Frequency-Domain Causality

Abstract

We employ a spectral causality approach to uncover short-, medium-, and long-run causal relations between the US implied volatility index and the five individual implied volatility indexes of BRICS markets from 16^th March 2011 to 31^st January 2018. We show that the volatility causal relations differ between the short and long run in many cases. Although the results indicate the dominant role played by US uncertainty in shaping uncertainty in all BRICS markets, there is also evidence of a feedback effect from Brazil, Russia, and China to the US that differs across the spectrum. The implications for hedging and risk management practices are explored.     

International Linkages among Stock Markets of Malaysia and Its Major Trading Partners

This study empirically examines the short- and long-run dynamic causal linkages between Malaysia and its major trading partners (the United States, Japan, Singapore, China, and Thailand) based on a two-step estimation, Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) during the period 1992–2008. The study documents that the stronger the trade ties among the countries, the higher the degree of comovements among their stock markets. The Japanese stock market, to some extent, is found to be more important than the United States over these markets. In designing stock market policies, each country should take into consideration of any shocks in its major trading partners.     

Differences Between Two Foreign Exchange Reforms

Different from that in July 12005, this reform in foreign exchange system happens with different economic environment, historical background and expected appreciation. Participants in the industry said frankly that China central bank started the reform again due to pressure from international markets, but it is not possible for RMB to appreciate greatly in a short term.     

中国外汇衍生品市场发展的次序

本文通过对国际外汇衍生品市场的发展特点和趋势的研究,结合我国外汇衍生品的实际发展状况,提出我国进一步发展外汇衍生品市场的设想,并指出外汇衍生品市场发展所需的配套措施及需要注意的问题.     

澳大利亚外汇衍生品市场发展历程探究及其对我国的启示

如何在管理浮动汇率和资本项下人民币不可自由兑换背景下进一步推动我国外汇衍生品市场的发展.是我国目前面临的重要问题.澳大利亚在20世纪80年代外汇自由化改革之前的外汇市场与我国目前的状况十分相似.文章考察了澳大利亚外汇衍生品市场现状与发展历程,发现澳大利亚在岸NDF市场的产生和发展是很有特色且极具借鉴意义的一段历史.文章认为发展以人民币结算的在岸NDF市场是我国当前推进人民币外汇衍生品市场深入发展的一个可行选择.     

基于外汇市场的人民币国际化条件探讨

人民币国际化是人民币走出国门、参与国际货币竞争的过程。外汇市场交易规模巨大,国际货币在外汇市场的竞争因而更加不可忽视。本文在对比主要国际货币在外汇市场竞争的基础上,分析人民币国际化的竞争条件。中国金融条件相对落后,外汇市场存在明显差距。应以金融为着力点,加强外汇市场建设,以"两个平行金融市场"制度等,来推动人民币国际化。     

Analysis on Foreign Exchange Rate Disputes Between China and America

With economic globalization being an unstoppable trend in the contemporary world, one country＇s foreign exchange policy has been playing a significant role in its economic development.     

Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets: A Survey of Empirical Studies

Nowadays foreign exchange interventions occur in emerging market economies, whereas empirical studies on interventions mainly refer to advanced economies. However, interventions in emerging markets are different from those in advanced economies: they occur ‘regularly’ and central banks have considerable leverage, derived from relatively high reserves, some non‐sterilisation, the central bank’s information advantage and capital controls. Consequently, these interventions often successfully impact the level and volatility of exchange rates. Nevertheless, more research on interventions in emerging markets is needed analysing the influence of heterogeneous institutional circumstances, examining the role of central bank communication and using high‐frequency data.     

A Study of Correlation Between International Equity Markets Using Exchange-Traded Funds

ABSTRACT

This study utilized weekly closing prices data from three Exchange-Traded Funds representing American, Japanese and European equity markets. The purpose was to examine the joint impact of any two on the third market. Ishares Russell 3000 (IWV), Ishares MSCI Japan (EWJ) and Ishares S&P Europe 350 (IEV) were used to represent the U.S., Japan, the European stock markets, respectively. While the findings indicate that the interdependences among the three markets are significant, there is still room for international portfolio diversification: for example, Japanese investors can realize diversification benefits by investing both in Europe and in the U.S. European and American investors, on the other hand, can diversify portfolios by investing in Japan. The application of multivariate- autoregressive-moving-aver-ages (MARIMA) to the data confirmed the above findings. Finally, the study supported the hypothesis that the international market correlations increase during times of volatility.     

Teaching International Business Concepts Through the Exchange of Cultural Metaphors

Abstract

The objectives of this paper are (1) to review the concept of cultural metaphors, (2) to propose a specific application of cultural metaphors in the teaching of international business concepts and (3) to report two situations in which this application was used. The paper concludes with recommendations for further development of this teaching methodology. The applications involved the exchange of metaphors between students at a French university and students at a university in the United States, in 2001 and 2004, which they had developed to describe their respective cultures. The courses were in the field of international business management.     

国际货币兑换模型与中国外汇储备结构

一国外汇储备结构不仅要考虑储备货币的收益性和风险性,而且也要考虑其在国际市场上兑换的方便性和交易的低成本性。本文从国际货币兑换结构模型出发,对美-欧-中三国模型进行实证分析,提出对中国外汇储备结构变化的不同考虑。     

国内外食糖市场空间联动与溢出效应研究——基于能源化视角

基于2000-2014年月度频率数据,运用VEC模型、Granger因果关系检验及三元BEKK-GARCH(1,1)模型,从能源化视角探讨国内外两个不同空间层面上的食糖市场彼此之间的价格溢出效应,解析效应类型、作用程度及方向。实证结果表明:就均值溢出效应而言,国内外糖市及能源市场两两之间存在显著的单向均值溢出,且国内外糖市各自与能源市场间的均值溢出要强于国内外糖市之间的效应;就波动溢出效应而言,国内外糖市与能源市场受自身前期价格波动的影响均较大,两两之间也都呈现出显著波动溢出,单双向关系与效应类型不尽相同。在单双向关系方面,能源价格与国际或国内糖价间存在双向波动溢出,国际糖价对国内糖价为单向波动溢出;在效应类型方面,除能源市场对国际糖市仅表现出ARCH型,后者对前者仅为GARCH型,其余价格对自身及彼此之间的波动溢出效应均表现出ARCH与GARCH型兼具的特性。     

Finance and Foreign Exchange

I. Chinese financial system
The present financial system in China is, under the leadership of the People＇s Bank of China and with exclusively Stateowned commercial banks as the main body, a financial institution system allowing simultaneous co-existence, divide the work and coordination of the State policyrelated banks, other commercial banks and various financial institutions.     

外汇远期套期保值在物流外汇风险管理的应用

在企业物流管理买卖外汇时会面临汇率风险。调查玩具企业外汇风险状况,使用外汇远期协议对外汇交易套期保值,使企业掌握外汇远期套期保值策略,有效地规避物流外汇风险,锁定产品收益和原材料成本,把企业经营得更好。     

国际工程承包企业规避外汇风险的方法分析

随着我国“走出去”战略的进一步实施,国际承包企业如何规避外汇风险已成为我国企业经济管理的新内容。企业面临的外汇风险分为交易风险、会计风险和经济风险。企业须根据企业外汇避险的要求,选择适当的避险工具,提高防范风险的能力。     

论国际贸易与国际直接投资关系的发展与变迁

国际贸易和国际直接投资是跨国界配置资源的两种方式 ,都能有力地推动一国经济增长 ,通过对相关理论和各国实践进行考察 ,结合当今跨国公司的活动得出结论 :国际贸易和国际直接投资之间的关系历经了以替代、互补为主的阶段 ,目前表现为在跨国公司全球战略控制下的并重、互动的关系。同时从两方面具体分析了这种互动关系 ,并在此基础上指出国家相关政策应搭配协调 ,以更好地为其经济发展服务。     

金融危机背景下汇市与股市关系实证研究

本文建立了由上证综指、汇率、利率与道·琼斯指数构成的多变量VAR模型,运用Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数与方差分解技术分析了金融危机背景下外汇市场与股票市场关系.实证分析结果表明:我国金融市场上汇率变动对股票价格有明显的短期作用,而股票价格变动对汇率没有影响;美国股市波动对我国股市的短期冲击超过人民币汇率对股市的冲击;我国的利率调整对汇率有短期效应,但对股票价格无影响.     

Foreign Exchange Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility in Zambia

The study analyzes the impact of central bank intervention on the volatility of the exchange rate in Zambia during the period of 1996–2013 Bank of Zambia (BoZ). (1996–2013). Annual Reports . Lusaka , Zambia : Author. [Google Scholar]. The empirical findings reveal a statistically weak negative impact of intervention on exchange rate volatility, suggesting that other policy instruments are required to augment foreign exchange interventions in dampening volatility in the exchange rate.