Too Much Money

Savings. It'asn almostmystical word foreconomists. The more a countrysaves, themore ithasavai-l abletoinves.t And themore itin- vests-incomputers, factori,e sor in- frastructure-tmhoere productiveits economy becomes and the fasterit cangrow. From thisperspectiv,e most e- conomistshavejudgedtheU .S. and found itwanting. With American householdsputtingaway only 0.9% of theirincome in savingsand with politicianaspparentlyhelplessto e- liminatethe federalbudget defici,t theU .S. seemed tobe set…     

On Money and Output in the Euro Area: Is Money Redundant?

This paper examines the relationship between money and future movements in output at business-cycle frequencies in the euro area. Importantly, the evidence suggests that the money stock is found to significantly affect output independent of the real interest rate. This finding supports the argument made by Meltzer (2001) Meltzer, A. H. 2001. “The transmission process”. In The Monetary Transmission Process: Recent Developments and Lessons for Europe, Edited by: Deutsche, Bundesbank. 112–130. London: Palgrave.  [Google Scholar] that the effects of monetary policy actions on the real economy are not fully captured by the short-term real rate.     

Does Money Always Make People Happy?

This paper presents an overlapping generations model with private information, in which the use of fiat money and the rampant moral hazard incentives sustain each other. It is shown that there is a monetary equilibrium, despite the fact that the rate of return on the nonmonetary asset is significantly higher than the rate of economic growth in the nonmonetary case; the valuation of money is not necessarily Pareto-improving, but rather can be harmful to almost all generations; an inflationary policy can improve the welfare of all generations except the initial one. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Number: E41.     

Is there Causal Relationship between Money Supply Growth and Inflation in China? Evidence from Quantity Theory of Money

This study examines the causal relationship between Chinese money supply growth and inflation, using the bootstrap Granger full‐sample causality test and sub‐sample rolling‐window estimation test to determine whether such a relationship in China supports the quantity theory of money. The result indicates that there is a unidirectional relationship from inflation to money supply growth. However, considering structural changes in two series, we find that short‐run relationships using full‐sample data are unstable, which suggests that full‐sample causality tests cannot be relied upon. Then, we use a time‐varying rolling‐window approach to revisit the dynamic causal relationship, and the results show that money supply growth has both positive and negative impacts on inflation in several sub‐periods, and in turn, inflation has the same effects on money supply growth for China. These findings are basically consistent with the modern quantity theory of money from the perspective of money supply and price level. When money supply growth does not outweigh output growth, inflation should not be curbed only by decreasing money supply. It notes that a stable money supply growth is critical to price level stability and economic development in China.     

Analysis on Money Supply and Balance of Payments under the Open Economy

Compared with what they are under close economy, balance of payments and money supply under open economy have their own features in composition, structure, characteristics and targets. A mathematic model of composition and structure of GNP is fabricated in this paper, and then the paper analyzes the impacts upon money supply and exchange rate that open economy has. Finally, the relationship among the independence of monetary policies, the stability of foreign exchange rate and the free circulation is discussed.     

Money, Income and Inflation in Equilibrium – The Case of Greece

The specification of the linear long-run relationship among money, income and the opportunity cost of holding money has been a popular study in economic literature. In the specific case of Greece, numerous articles investigated this relationship using quarterly data, mainly of the period after 1960. The objective of this article is to investigate the same long-run relationship using annual data and covering the historical period between 1858 and 1938. The results of the used cointegration analysis are presented along with the findings of other authors who covered the post war era of the Greek Economy.

Demand for Money in Transition: Evidence from China’s Disinflation

We examine money demand in the Chinese economy during a period characterized by significant disinflation and outright deflation, coupled with strong output growth. Our study establishes a stable money demand system for broad money M2. Inflation affects the adjustment of the system towards equilibrium, and shocks to broad money are found to lead to higher inflation in the context of an impulse response analysis. No evidence of non-linearity in money demand is found for the disinflationary period. The results provide support for the People’s Bank of China’s policy of specifying intermediate targets for money growth. Importantly, our results suggest that movements in the nominal effective exchange rate should be taken into account in a successful implementation of such a policy.

Shadow economy and unemployment rate in USA: is there a structural relationship? An empirical analysis

This article aims to estimate the size of the US shadow economy (SE) using a structural equation approach and to evaluate if a structural relationship exists between the SE and the unemployment rate (UR) in the United States. The size of the SE is estimated to be decreasing over the last two decades. We corroborate the existence of a structural relationship between the SE and the UR by using a simple theoretical model. Furthermore, we extend the Okun's law to estimate the structural relationship between growth rate of official GDP, SE and UR. Our results indicate a significant positive relationship between the SE and the UR.     

Money: Capital Good,Consumers’ Good,or (Media of) Exchange Good?

Is money a producers’ good or a capital good, or is it sui generus, as Mises, Rothbard, and other Austrians have maintained? We argue that all action is either consumption or production, and that exchange is but a form of production. Consequently, all goods are either consumers’ goods or producers’ goods; there is no third possibility. And that among these two money is a producers’ good, not a consumer good.     

An experimental study of the impact of competition for Other People’s Money: the portfolio manager market

In this paper we experimentally investigate the impact that competing for funds has on the risk-taking behavior of laboratory portfolio managers compensated through an option-like scheme according to which the manager receives (most of) the compensation only for returns in excess of pre-specified strike price. We find that such a competitive environment and contractual arrangement lead, both in theory and in the lab, to inefficient risk taking behavior on the part of portfolio managers. We then study various policy interventions, obtained by manipulating various aspects of the competitive environment and the contractual arrangement, e.g., the Transparency of the contracts offered, the Risk Sharing component in the contract linking portfolio managers to investors, etc. While all these interventions would induce portfolio managers, at equilibrium, to efficiently invest funds in safe assets, we find that, in the lab, Transparency is most effective in incentivising managers to do so. Finally, we document a behavioral “Other People’s Money” effect in the lab, where portfolio managers tend to invest the funds of their investors in a more risky manner than their Own Money, even when it is not in either the investors’ or the managers’ interest to do so.     

An Exploration of the Greek Shadow Economy: Can Its Transfer into the Official Economy Provide Economic Relief Amid the Crisis?

We explore the determinants of the Greek shadow economy, its interaction with the official economy, and its relationship with corruption. In doing so, we undertake — for the first time — an interdisciplinary review of economic and political studies on the size and determinants of the shadow economy, tax evasion, undeclared work and, moreover, of their relation with corruption in Greece in order to reveal the extent and complexity of these phenomena. We estimate the size and determinants of the shadow economy via a multiple-indicators-multiple-causes (MIMIC) approach. Our findings indicate that the important determinants are factors related to macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment and GDP growth, and institutional factors, such as tax morale and the rule of law. We also indicate that the shadow economy and corruption are complementary and that the official and the shadow economy substitute each other over the business cycle. An adoption of policy based on these findings would lead to a successful transfer of part of the shadow economy to the official economy, would boost government revenue, and would eventually lead the Greek economy out of the depression that emerged as a result of the sovereign debt crisis.     

Throwing Good Money After Bad? The Impact of the Escalation of Commitment of Mutual Fund Managers on Fund Performance

Numerous prior studies refer to the potential existence of irrational investment behavior among mutual fund managers, such as disposition effect. However, the focus in such studies has been placed on the irrationality of their selling decisions, although similar problems may be inherent in their buying decisions. This study presents evidence that if mutual fund managers do display a tendency to escalate their commitment to losing stocks, there will be negative impacts on the performance of the funds. Managers continue to buy losers not because they judged to choose rationally but rather because of irrational escalation of commitment.     

Depoliticisation,the Management of Money and the Renewal of Social Democracy: New Labour's Keynesianism and the Political Economy of ‘Discretionary Constraint’

Pointing to its radical underpinnings in so-called ‘Open Marxism’ and its theory of the state (one that subsumes the state in the capital relation), this article critically scrutinises Peter Burnham's thesis of ‘depoliticisation’ as a dominant accumulation strategy and regime. The article identifies ambiguities around Burnham's depiction of New Labour in power as committed to depoliticisation. It addresses these by drawing a distinction between regime of accumulation and mode of regulation, characterising New Labour's political economy in terms of the latter as a form of depoliticised Keynesianism framed by ‘discretionary constraint’. Contra-Burnham, the article points to the continued efficacy of Keynesian and social democratic political agency in the context of a dialectic of depoliticisation and repoliticisation focused on the role and power of the state. This dialectic is symptomatic of the contested regulation of capitalism around the defence of the value of money, on the one hand, and its broader management and redistribution, on the other.