外汇管理市县一体化履职模式初探

本文根据县域涉外企业发展新形势和外汇管理业务新特点,指出新时期外汇服务与监管遇到的现实问题,分析产生问题的成因,从外汇多层次服务与合理化监管的角度,提出市县一体化履职模式的构想。     

重新审视外汇间接管理模式下的监管与服务

在外汇管理改革不断深入的新形势下,以数量控制、行政审批为主的外汇管理模式已经不能适应社会经济发展的要求,外汇管理方式发生了转变,从直接监管向间接监管过渡,那么如何适应新形势的需要,有效发挥管理和服务两大职能作用,必将成为今后一个时期外汇管理工作重点研究的内容。一、服务的职能转化——看间接管理模式下的服务     

关于服务贸易外汇监管有效性评估的研究

阐述我国服务贸易外汇监管在有效性评估方面存在的不足,并结合现有的金融监管理论,利用数据包络分析法,对服务贸易外汇监管有效性进行评估,进一步完善服务贸易外汇管理体系,提升服务贸易监管的有效性。     

“望闻问切”服务贸易外汇管理新设想

目前,服务贸易外汇收支管理不均衡、非现场监管手段不足等问题日益突出,有必要重构服务贸易外汇管理框架,在法规制度、构建非现场监管系统、提高现场监管水平等方面加以完善。     

服务贸易非现场监管工作中存在的问题及建议

本文就服务贸易非现场监管工作中涉及政策、法规和监管系统中存在的监管人员素质参差不齐,监管作用收效甚微;服务贸易法规不够完善,管理体制明显滞后;现行的外汇管理法规已不能适应服务贸易的发展;系统操作方面仍存在一定的缺陷等问题进行了深入分析。本文提出了加大非现场监管培训力度,增强监管人员数据分析能力和敏感性;建立系统的服务贸易法规体系,完善服务贸易管理体制;深化服务贸易外汇管理改革,提高服务贸易外汇管理水平;完善系统功能,提高系统使用效率等政策建议。     

陕西省保险外汇业务发展现状及监管对策

为适应我国外汇体制改革的不断深入和服务贸易进一步对外放开的形势要求，促进保险外汇业务健康发展，本文针对陕西省保险外汇业务发展中存在的具体问题，从完善外汇管理政策规定、探索符合市场发展规律的外汇保险监管模式、提高保险外汇人员的综合素质和服务水平等方面提出了建议。     

加入WTO后外汇管理工作中存在的主要问题及政策建议

我国加入WTO后,随着国际、国内经济金融形势的变化以及西部大开发的全面实施,我省对外经济交往更加频繁,规模进一步扩大,外汇管理面临着新的情况和挑战,监管任务更加繁重,变数增多,难度增大.如何适应新形势的要求,进一步完善管理、优化服务是当前外汇工作所面临的迫切任务.为此,我们结合甘肃外汇管理工作的实际,组织相关业务人员对外汇账户管理、进出口核销监管、金融机构外汇业务监管、外汇检查及国际收支统计申报等五个方面开展了深入调研,较为详细地探讨了近年来特别是我国加入世界贸易组织以后,外汇管理工作所面临的问题与挑战,并有针对性的提出相应的政策建议.     

双“管”齐下 相得益彰——探寻制度化、规范化的外汇指定银行监管新思路

2007年,经常项目外汇管理改革持续深入,进出口核销、个人、服务贸易、外汇账户的改革蓝图跃然纸上。在经常项目外汇管理模式日益由事前监管向事后监管转变的过程中,探寻外汇指定银行监管新思路日显重要,同时也迫在眉睫。     

现行资本项目外汇监管机制探讨

本从我国现行资本项目外汇监管机制着手，深层次分析了资本项目外汇监管的现状与存在问题，提出了相应建议与策略。     

服务贸易外汇收支“合理尽职”审查探讨

在经常项目乃至资本项目外汇管理严格按照“法无明令禁止则可为”的思路进行立法和监管的情况下,许多监管难题、难点或可迎刃而解。服务贸易外汇管理改革以后,所有业务均交由金融机构办理。但因种种原因,金融机构在进行“合理尽职”审查过程中存在许多难点,突破这些障碍是承担着法律法规起草任务的外汇管部门需要认真研究并思考的问题。改革后服务贸易外汇收支办理过程客户需求在先。首先是境内机构或境内个人有服务贸易项下业务需求及外汇收支需求。随着我国对外交往和交流的进一步扩大,     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.