Impact on Target Firm Risk-Return Characteristics of Domestic and Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions in Emerging Markets

Using a large sample of partial cross-border mergers and acquisitions from emerging countries, we show that these acquisitions significantly reduce the risk of the target firms and that the risk reduction is directly related to the changes in the international shareholder base and the strength of the investor right protection of the acquirer. We also find that these acquisitions are value creating because we see improvements in both the short-term and long-term risk-adjusted stock performance in target firms during the postacquisition period.     

The Impact of Dividends, Debt and Investment on Valuation Models

The reliability of a basic earnings and equity model of value is tested using 8,287 cases drawn from UK industrial and commercial firms reporting during 1987–1995. A respecification of this model is used to investigate the value relevance of dividends, capital structure and capital expenditure. Both the dividend and capital expenditure signals appear to be significant and the impact of the former is surprisingly strong. There is no convincing evidence that equity value is affected by the level of debt. Further investigation of dividends confirms that they are less influential in large firms or in firms with high return on equity.     

The Effect of Cross-Border Acquisitions on Shareholder Wealth — Evidence from Switzerland

We analyze the wealth effects of 114 domestic and international acquisitions announced by Swiss corporations between 1990 and 2001. We find no difference between national and cross-border mergers. This may indicate that the international capital markets are highly integrated and is in contrast to recent empirical findings on a prevailing segmentation of capital markets within Europe. We also analyze the role of professional advisors in Swiss M&A transactions. Our results indicate that the expenses for professional advice might outweigh the potential benefits.     

跨国公司并购对我国经济发展的影响和对策

随着中国逐步融入WTO以及新一轮的经济增长,跨国公司在我国的并购活动日趋活跃。跨国并购一方面给国内经济发展带来急需的资金、技术、市场及先进的管理方法,推动我国产业结构的升级和企业竞争力的提升;另一方面,也不可避免地带来一些负面影响,如并购过程中垄断倾向的滋生、国有资产的流失、宏观调节力度下降以及投机性并购行为的存在等。针对跨国公司并购活动产生的负面影响,本文尝试提出了一些积极的应对措施。     

Impact of Acquisitions on Thrift Performance

This study focuses on the risk and return performance of savings and loans that were active acquirers during the early and mid-eighties relative to that of non-acquirers. Acquirers took on more risks than nonacquirers, but were less profitable. Separating acquirers by the health of their acquisitions, acquirers of both healthy and troubled associations or of troubled associations only were more highly leveraged and saw their profitability erode over the post-acquisition period. These results suggest that the problems of integration are compounded when there are multiple acquisitions over a relatively short period of time and when the acquired association is unhealthy.     

并购对企业R&D投资的挤出效应研究——基于并购前后资产负债率变动的视角

创新是企业内涵式的增长方式,并购是企业外延式的增长方式。在资源有限的情况下,企业如何在这两种战略之间进行权衡?本文以2007-2018年沪深A股上市公司为研究样本,发现如果并购引起企业资产负债率增加,则会对并购后的R&D投资形成"财务侵占",从而对研发产生负面影响;这种抑制作用在主并企业存在融资约束的情况下会更加显著;按企业特征划分,这种抑制作用主要存在于小企业和民营企业。研究结果为基于边界条件的并购如何影响企业创新绩效提供了实证证据,同时也为企业进行相关战略变更和投资决策提供了有益参考。     

浅析准则变化对资产评估业务开拓的影响

2008年后,我国新会计准则的实施范围扩大到了所有的中央国有企业。2008年7月1日后,资产评估准则中的7项新准则也正式实施。会计准则与评估准则的更新与我们的资产评估工作关系密切。本文将从开拓市场的需求出发,探讨准则中的几项重要变化对我们业务的影响。     

The Impact of Fundamentals on IPO Valuation

We examine how initial public offering (IPO) valuation has changed over time by focusing on three time periods: 1986-1990, January 1997 to March 2000 (designated as the boom period), and April 2000 to December 2001 (designated as the crash period). Using a sample of 1,655 IPOs, we find that firms with more negative earnings have higher valuations than do firms with less negative earnings and firms with more positive earnings have higher valuations than firms with less positive earnings. Our results suggest that negative earnings are a proxy for growth opportunities for Internet firms and that such growth options are a significant component of IPO firm value.     

私募基金非上市股权投资估值方法的运用研究

伴随着私募基金的飞速扩张,私募基金的股权投资问题相应凸显。股权估值作为基金运作的关键仍存在许多问题,2018年出具的《私募投资基金非上市股权投资估值指引(试行)》旨在引导私募基金估值向着更加规范化和专业化的方向发展。本文从私募基金非上市股权投资估值的角度出发,搭建能用于私募基金估值的框架,并且从估值目的、估值对象、估值条件及估值价值类型对估值方法进行适用性分析。本文通过梳理私募基金投资非上市股权估值的要素、股权投资估值技术的参数,提出适用于私募基金非上市股权投资估值的分阶段评估的框架,框架通过研究企业所处的生命周期划分为初创期、成长期、成熟期。最后,对私募基金投资非上市公司股权估值方法进行总结并提出建议。     

Valuation Implications of Investment Opportunities and Earnings Permanence

This study investigates the value-relevance of accounting earnings in the presence of investment (growth) opportunities after making two theoretical and methodological research design refinements. First, we test for the incremental effect of growth on firms earnings response coefficients after controlling for the extent of transitory earnings under the assumption that the value-relevance of earnings with respect to growth should be stronger when earnings are more permanent. Second, we perform comprehensive factor analysis using market-based and accounting-based measures to construct a composite proxy for investment opportunities. We find that firms investment opportunities and the relative permanence of current earnings affect the value-relevance of those earnings. Additionally, we find that the interaction between permanent earnings and investment opportunities produces an even stronger price response to earnings.     

私募股权投资并购退出模式及策略分析

私募股权投资并购退出是当前国内逐渐兴起的新趋势,既符合市场经济由自由竞争发展到集中整合阶段的客观需求,又具有优化产业结构的时代使命。但并购退出在国内总体还处于萌芽阶段,进一步的发展空间还受到不少限制,本文尝试探索符合国内并购退出的几种模式,并有针对性地提出了发展并购退出的初步策略与建议。     

Competitive and Information Effects of Cross-Border Stock Listings

We examine the effect of 269 cross‐border listings on rivals in the listing and domestic markets and find that U.S. rivals experience significant gains whereas domestic rivals do not. Both competitive and information effects are important in explaining the reaction of U.S. rivals. Regarding the competitive effects, the reaction of rivals is less favorable when listings originate in developed countries and more favorable when listing firms do not have prior operating presence in the United States. Regarding the information effects, the reaction is less favorable when listings are combined with equity offerings and more favorable when the listing is the first to occur within an industry.     

The Impact of Taxes on Discount Bond Valuation and Risk

If the effective tax rates on ordinary income and capital gains are identical, the assumption of independence or dependence between ordinary income and capital gains tax rates is shown to have no impact on discount bond valuation or risk. However, even if the effective tax rates are identical, the shape and the sensitivity of the bond valuation and risk functions with respect to taxes are not identical under the alternative assumptions. A mathematical and numerical analysis of the sensitivity of changes in the discount bond valuation and risk functions with respect to income tax rates is provided. Comparisons between the sensitivities of changes in the discount bond valuation and risk functions and taxes under conditions of dependence or independence between ordinary income and capital gains tax rates are made.     

另类投资对保险公司投资绩效的影响研究——来自我国上市保险公司的证据

随着保险投资新政出台,我国保险企业的投资渠道拓宽,其中以非上市股权和债权投资为代表的另类投资日趋增加。采用我国上市保险公司为研究标的,以其投资组合为研究对象,采用Va R和RAROC模型,以相关金融市场数据来界定不同投资类别的收益与风险,计算保险公司的投资绩效,研究结果表明,另类投资加入,明显提升了保险公司的投资组合绩效。     

权证对投资者投资偏好影响的实证研究

金融衍生产品的出现提高了证券市场信息传递的速度，知情交易者通过对衍生品的投资提高传递的效率。本文通过对我国权证市场和相应标的股票市场交易高频数据的研究，探讨知情交易者在权证市场出现后是否改变了投资的对象。实证结果表明，尽管有部分知情交易者投资了认购权证，但是并没有证据表明知情交易者偏好认沽权证。造成这一结果的原因可能是权证制度自身的缺陷。     

从吉利收购沃尔沃看知识产权评估在跨国并购中的作用

跨国并购包括跨国兼并和跨国收购,是指一国企业（又称并购企业）为了达到某种目标,通过一定的渠道和支付手段,将另一国企业（又称被并购企业）的所有资产或足以行使运营活动的股份收买下来,     

跨境资本宏观审慎政策对货币政策有效性的影响及其协调搭配研究

通过在开放经济背景下构建具有宏观审慎监管的DSGE框架,分析跨境资本宏观审慎政策的有效性及其如何影响货币政策有效性,进一步模拟分析不同类型跨境资本宏观审慎政策与货币政策搭配的效果。模拟结果显示:(1)在政策抵御外部冲击方面,跨境资本宏观审慎政策能有效降低跨境资本流动增速、抑制汇率风险;(2)在影响货币政策有效性方面,跨境资本宏观审慎政策与货币政策联合使用会增强货币政策有效性,其中价格型跨境资本宏观审慎政策更能提升货币政策有效性;(3)在政策协调搭配方面,面对国外利率冲击,数量型跨境资本宏观审慎政策与货币政策搭配使用时经济波动程度与社会福利损失均较小,然而面对技术冲击,两者搭配反而会增加社会福利损失,不利于经济稳定。研究结论对于政策当局有效制定跨境资本宏观审慎政策和货币政策以稳定经济、金融体系具有重要的理论启示。     

美元汇率周期及对中国跨境资金流动的冲击

美元汇率周期长期取决于美国经济与世界经济相对强弱,中短期则取决于美欧经济强弱对比和利差。全球资产配置活动对美元需求的变化是美元汇率周期中短期走势的重要影响因素,政治、军事等重大事件则是美元汇率周期的主要非经济扰动因素。美元汇率周期主导全球资本流动规模和方向,对中国跨境资金流动有着显著影响。