Non-Walrasian equilibria and the law of one price

We present a market game which features multiple posts for each commodity. We use this framework to illustrate the idea that in non-Walrasian markets, where individual activities influence market clearing prices, there are equilibria where commodities are exchanged simultaneously in two posts at different prices, thus defying the ‘law of one price’. Such equilibria are compatible with an apparent arbitrage possibility, which dissipates whenever individuals try to take advantage of it.     

Trading imbalances and the law of one price

We study trading and prices of Chinese (mainland)/Hong Kong dual-listed shares. Relative prices can diverge by a factor of two and exhibit significant variation over time. Order imbalances explain contemporaneous changes in relative prices at daily and weekly frequencies.     

Time-varying threshold cointegration and the law of one price

A theoretical model of the law of one price which allows for seasonality in transaction costs and supply and demand conditions between markets is developed. Bivariate three-regime threshold vector error correction models are applied to natural gas markets to examine seasonality in threshold levels. Results indicate that there are nonlinear adjustments to the law of one price in seven pair-wise markets (Chicago is used as the base market). In the natural gas sector, dynamic threshold effects relative to the Chicago market vary depending on season, geographical location and whether the market is an excess producing or consuming market.     

Income distribution evaluation and the law of one price

The growing literature on evaluating changes in the distribution of income has led recently to a consideration of the conditions under which such evaluation is possible without reference to existing prices. This paper provides a complete characterization of the class of preferences/social orderings for which this is possible in the case where the law of one price is not assumed— different individuals may face different price vectors. The relationship of this result to those which are known for the one-price case is also briefly considered.     

The law of one price: intranational evidence for Canada

Abstract This study investigates the behaviour of intranational prices for 45 specific consumer goods across 25 Canadian cities. It finds positive roles for distance and provincial borders in intercity price disparities. While sizable, the provincial border effect is an order of magnitude smaller than the estimates for the Canada‐U.S. border. A majority of the intercity relative price series are stationary around small mean values, indicating that long‐run price differences are close to zero. The intercity prices converge at rates considerably faster than the consensus estimates for international prices. In fact, half-lives for intercity price deviations average well under a year. JEL Classification: F15, F31
La loi d'un seul prix : résultats intra‐nationaux pour le Canada Ce mémoire examine le comportement des prix intra‐nationaux de 45 biens de consommation spécifiques dans 25 villes canadiennes. Il semble que la distance et les frontières inter‐provinciales ont un impact sur les différentiels de prix entre villes.Même si l'impact des frontières inter‐provinciales est important, il est beaucoupplus petit que l'impact de la frontière Canada‐ U.S. Une majorité des séries de prix relatifs entre villes sont stationnaires autour de petites valeurs moyennes, ce qui suggère que les différences de prix à long terme s'approchent de zéro. Il est clair que les prix entre villes convergent à des taux considérablement plus rapides que ce qu'on observe au niveau international. En fait les déviations de prix entre villes ont une espérance de vie qui en moyenne est de moins d'un an.     

Domestic market integration and the law of one price in Brazil

This article presents the first assessment of domestic market integration in Brazil using the law of one price. The law of one price is tested using two panel unit root methodologies and a unique data set comprising price indices for 51 products across 11 metro-areas. We find that the law holds for most tradable products and, not surprisingly, nontradable products are found to be less likely to satisfy the law of one price. While these findings are consistent with evidence found for other countries, price convergence occurs very slowly in Brazil, suggesting relatively limited domestic market integration.     

The law of one price and the modelling of disaggregated trade flows

This paper argues that the application of a differentiated good model to disaggregated commodity trade, and in particular to primary commodity trade, is feasible. Price data for as narrowly defined a commodity as wheat are shown to violate the law of one price. An Armington-type model which allows prices of a commodity to vary by supplier is then applied to world wheat trade. Two issues concerning the Armington model are addressed. First, it is shown that the theoretical implications of the model are plausible in the case of a disaggregated commodity. Second, as an example, 1973–1974 wheat trade flows and prices forecast by an Armington-type model are shown to be consistent with actual trade patterns and prices.     

Testing the law of one price in food markets: evidence for Colombia using disaggregated data

This article applies stationarity tests to examine evidence of market integration for a relatively large sample of food products in Colombia. We find little support for market integration when using the univariate KPSS tests for stationarity. However, within a panel context and after allowing for cross-sectional dependence, the Hadri tests provide much more evidence supporting the view that food markets are integrated or, in other words, that the law of one price holds for most products.     

Moore's law and price trends of digital products: the case of smartphones

ABSTRACT

Since the introduction of the iPhone by Apple in 2007 and Google's Android platform in 2009, the two systems have accounted for a total of 90% of the U.S. smartphone market. Apple, however, reaps most of the profit in the industry. In the second quarter of 2016, for example, Apple's iPhone gets 104% of the sector's profit. This suggests that the smartphone market resembles a Stackelberg leadership model. Despite Apple's strong market power, we investigate if the market leader is under pressure to be price competitive. We calculate a quality-adjusted price index for smartphones from 2007 to 2016. Our results show that the average price declines at an average rate of over 27% per year. The price trend is similar to other digit products such as computers, cameras, and portable music players. We observe that the large price decline reflects the effect of Moore's law, which predicts that the capacity of integrated circuits undergoes an exponential growth. The effect of Moore's law is incorporated into the Stackelberg model. We also observe that price trends of other digital products also follow a similar pattern. This suggest that the long-run price trends of digital consumer goods are somewhat independent of the market structures.     

The law of one price: conditional convergence evidence from disaggregated data

This article contributes to the literature on the Law of One Price (LOP) and absolute Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in two ways. First, it uses a novel set of PPP data from the International Comparison Programme for OECD countries and 195 internationally comparable products from 1980 to 1996. Second, it derives and applies a test of conditional σ-convergence, which does not require long-time spans or high frequency data. Between 1990 and 1996 for 10 out of 23 countries, a significant reduction in the variance of the deviations from LOP is found for tradeables, but none in case of nontradeables. For the former, the deviations from LOP close out at half-lives between 2.2 and 6.3 years. However, there are also persistent country-specific deviations from LOP parities.     

The law of one price cannot be rejected: Two tests based on the tradable/nontradable price ratio

In contrast to conventional, disaggregative testing of the law of one price, this study adopts an aggregative approach. Using a tradable/nontradable level of aggregation, a model is developed to test equality of the prices of tradables and nontradables domestically and equality of the price of tradables internationally. The disaggregative approach exhibits biases that lead to rejection of the law of one price. In contrast, the results of the aggregative technique for the law of one price are strongly positive and the limitations of the approach are found not to overcome its findings.     

The law of one price: an examination of price integration between Europe and regional markets in Africa

This study examines the degree of price-integration of equity indices between the major markets of Africa, namely Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Kenya, Nigeria, Namibia and South Africa with the European markets of London and Paris. Vector Autoregressive and Autoregressive Distributed Lag methods reveal that African markets are largely price-segmented. The only markets that are price-integrated have shared economic and financial institutions, such as Namibia and South Africa, and Egypt, Tunisia and France. The evidence suggests that development policy should be focussed on enhancing existing institutions rather than embarking prematurely on regional integration.     

Risk aversion,exchange‐rate uncertainty,and the law of one price: insights from the market for online air‐travel tickets

Abstract We argue that risk aversion driven by exchange‐rate uncertainty causes a wedge between the domestic and foreign prices of a homogeneous good. We test our hypothesis using a unique micro‐data set from a market with minimum imperfections. The empirical findings validate our hypothesis, as accounting for exchange‐rate uncertainty we are able to explain a significant proportion of deviations from the law of one price. Overall, our analysis suggests the possibility of a new solution to the purchasing power parity puzzles.     

An analytical framework for retailer price and advertising decisions for products with temperature-sensitive demand

The demand for weather-sensitive products, such as beverages, ice creams, or chocolate varies with changes in temperature. Yet, retailers lack a framework to adapt the marketing mix elements, such as price and advertising, in line with such changes. We provide a theoretical framework to fill this gap by developing an analytical model to derive the optimal marketing mix when product demand depends on temperature. The model prescribes how price and advertising for different demand characteristics should be set following a temperature change. Integrating the temperature element in the marketing mix offers an original profit-enhancing strategy.     

论一人公司债权人利益的法律保护

一人公司作为一种崭新的经济组织体,受到世界各国许多中小投资者的追捧。原因在于：投资者即能受到有限责任的特殊保护,又能实现一人对公司的绝对控制,从而实现投资者自身利益的最大化。顺应大的发展趋势,我国2005年公司法也引入了一人公司制度。但是,一人公司由于其股东的唯一性、结构的特殊性导致了许多制度与传统的公司法律制度理论相冲突;唯一股东很可能会滥用权力,由此给公司债权人带来极大的风险。因此,如何保护一人公司债权人的利益显得尤为重要。     

The effects of purchasing and price subsidy policies for agricultural products under target zones

A good harvest usually leads to a collapse of agricultural prices since the price elasticity of agricultural products is relatively low. To stabilize the market and protect farmers, many countries have introduced a target zone policy, together with product purchasing or price subsidy strategies. This article analyzes the effect of a target zone with different strategies operating in a coordinated manner. The results show that a target zone policy with agricultural product purchases does not necessarily stabilize agricultural product wholesale prices, but is able to stabilize manufacturing product prices, if the price effect is smaller than the sum of the wealth and asset effects for agricultural products and the price effect is larger than the interest rate effect for manufacturing products. On the contrary, a target zone policy with an agricultural product price subsidy will generate the “honeymoon effect” for agricultural product wholesale prices, but will result in unstableperformance of manufacturing product prices.     

Revisiting the oil price and stock market nexus: A nonlinear Panel ARDL approach

In this paper, we re-examine the relationship between oil price and stock prices in oil exporting and oil importing countries in the following distinct ways. First, we account for possible nonlinearities in the relationship in order to quantify the asymmetric response of stock prices of these two categories to positive and negative oil price changes. Secondly, in order to capture within group differences, we allow for heterogeneity effect in the cross-sections by formulating a nonlinear Panel ARDL model which is the panel data representation of the Shin et al. (2014) model and also analogous to the non-stationary heterogenous panel data model. Thirdly, we evaluate the relative predictability of the linear (symmetric) and nonlinear (asymmetric) Panel ARDL models using the Campbell and Thompson (2008) test. Our results depict that stock prices of both oil exporting and oil importing groups respond asymmetrically to changes in oil price although the response is stronger in the latter than the former. This finding is further corroborated by the out-of-sample forecast results suggesting that the inclusion of positive and negative oil price changes in the predictive model for stock prices will produce better forecast results only for the oil importing countries. Our results are robust to different oil price proxies, lag structure and in-sample periods. Overall, the dichotomy between oil exporting and oil importing countries has implications on oil price-stock nexus.     

技术壁垒对出口产品价格梯度影响的模型构建与实证分析

技术壁垒一旦形成并且实施,壁垒对进口产品就产生了明显的数量控制机制和价格控制机制的双重作用.即它既具有配额的数量控制作用,又形成了一种特殊的价格调节作用,其作用类似于关税但有其特殊性,是一种复合机制.本文研究分析了技术壁垒引致出口产品价格变化的空间梯度场模型,并根据模型实证分析了技术壁垒对我国出口产品价格梯度的影响,提出了积极应对这种技术壁垒,提高我国出口产品国际竞争力的措施.     

Getting fourteen for the price of one! Understanding the factors that influence land value and how they affect biodiversity conservation in central Brazil

Biodiversity policies are suffering an implementation crisis; the roots are deeply entrenched in the unfair competition between the public and private interests for suitable versus available land. In this article we propose a value-based equivalence method for compensation for the 20% compulsory reserves in the Taquari River sub-catchments, as legally required for central savannas of Brazil. Using regression techniques we analyzed 106 land deals in the Pantanal's watershed and identified the most significant variables influencing land value. We argue that the commonly used area-for-area, compensation mechanism, where 1 ha of compulsory reserve is missing, requires another hectare protected in the same catchments, instead of counteract habitat loss, is in fact harmful to biodiversity, stimulating progressive habitat destruction. We identified the economic forces behind deforestation and habitat fragmentation in the central savannahs of Brazil and proposed a market-based approach to counteract these forces using tools already available in environmental economics. We suggest that a dollar-for-dollar reference to determine land equivalence and compensation can better counter-balance the incremental losses from habitat destruction, while providing objectivity and transparency for trading alternatives.