基于模糊AHP的国际货运代理评估

企业从事国际贸易,国际货运代理是不可缺少的一个环节.随着供应链思想的深入人心,货运代理企业也利用自身优势向第三方物流企业演化.如何科学客观地选择国际货运代理为自己服务成为企业必须面对的重要问题.本文利用层次分析法为货运代理商的选择建立了指标评价体系,通过专家的决策建立评价指标的三角模糊数,然后使用重心法解模糊化,从而使企业能够选择最合适的货运代理商为自己服务.     

基于系统动力学的国际货运代理问题研究

文中以国际货运代理为研究对象,总结了有关国际货运代理方面的研究文献,并在对国际货运代理的发展现状和存在的问题进行分析的基础上,通过系统的思想对货代系统中各个要素进行分析,构建国际货运代理系统模型,通过对实例的验证,最后对当前国际货运代理存在的问题提出相关的建议。     

国际货运代理的责任和责任风险的防范探讨

随着世界经济一体化,国际多式联运业务的蓬勃兴起,为国际货运代理开拓业务、发挥所长、增长利润提供了机会。但是机遇与挑战并存,利润与风险同在,现在的货运代理人的工作内涵已经发生了显著变化,呈现出多元化和双重职能的特点,这使得货运代理的责任也在发生变化,经营过程中不可避免的遇到一系列竞争和风险。文中从国际货运代理的责任出发,联系我国货运代理企业的服务现状,对货运代理企业的责任风险防范做了简单的论述。     

关于长株潭国际货运代理业发展的探讨

文中从长株潭地区国际货运代理行业的现状入手,分析了长株潭的国际货运代理行业发展现状,从其组织结构、操作流程、管理方法等方面指出行业存在的问题,并提出相应的解决措施.     

基于校企合作的高职《国际货运代理实务》课程改革与实践

在分析《国际货运代理实务》课程性质与目标基础上,以职业能力培养为目标、校企合作为主线,依照项目导向、任务驱动的理念,对课程进行了项目、任务和工作情境的设计,即认识国际货运、国际货运代理销售业务、国际海运、国际空运、国际陆运多式联运与国际物流、国际货运客户服务六个项目。基于校企合作进行了教学组织与改革分析。     

基于模糊多属性群决策的维护方式选择研究

维护方式选择是维护管理中的重要工作之一,合理的维护方式既能达到保障设备的稳定运行,又能同时兼顾其它各个方面的要求。由于对维护方式的评价涉及多个部门、人员和属性,有些指标只是一个模糊的概念,因而采用模糊多属性群决策的方法对维护方式进行优先抉择。本文结合A公司的设备维护方式选择问题,尝试使用模糊多属性群决策折衷算法求解最佳的维护方式。     

《国际货运代理》课程改革探讨

本文通过对国际货运代理的课程理念创新、教学内容重构和教学模式改革的探索，使该门课程更具实践性，并有效衔接国际货运代理资格证书考试，真正让学生通过该课程的学习，与国际贸易的其他知识融会贯通，成为国际货运代理行业基层和业务第一线的技术应用型人才。     

群体决策复合准则在供应商选择中的应用

供应商多属性的本质是供应商选择问题复杂性的主要原因之一,特别是属性为描述性质的模糊数时,有限理性的个体在决策制定过程中受到很大的局限。实际操作过程中,专家评分法运用广泛,在此基础上,文中将其与群决策理论相结合,首先指出了对供应商进行评价时常出现的平局问题,将群体决策复合准则引入到供应商选择过程中,然后建立模型,对其求解,最后结合算例,说明该方法的有效性。     

国际货运代理企业未来发展最佳方案选择

改革开放30多年,我国外贸贸易量迅速增长,国际货运代理行业已成为我国对外贸易运输事业的重要力量。通过对我国国际货运代理业存在问题的分析,提出第四方物流将成为我国国际货运代理企业未来发展的最佳方案选择,并从整合资源、提供多样化服务、提高管理水平、培养高素质的物流人才等四方面给出货代企业发展第四方物流的途径。     

浅析国际货运代理企业的内部控制

2007-2008年环球金融危机以及2011年欧洲债务危机的爆发,国际贸易行业也遭受重创,作为依附于国际贸易而存在的国际货运代理行业也面临着市场竞争的挑战。在此背景下,越来越多的国际货运代理企业逐步认识到加强企业内部控制、不断提升企业管理水平的重要性。为此,笔者针对目前我国国际货运代理企业在内部控制制度建设方面出现的若干问题提出了一些对策与建议,以期达到抛砖引玉的效果。     

The effects of external and internal shocks on total factor productivity

This paper examines structural changes that occur in the total factor productivity (TFP) within countries. It is possible that some episodes of high economic growth or economic decline are associated with permanent productivity shocks; therefore, this research has two objectives. The first one is to estimate the structural changes present in TFP for a sample of 77 countries between 1950 (1960) and 2000. The second one is to identify possible explanations for breaks. Two sources were analyzed: (i) episodes in political and economic history; (ii) changes in international trade – a measure of absorption of technology. The results suggest that about one-third of the TFP time-series present at least one structural break. Downwards breaks are more common, indicating that after a break the TFP has much difficulty to recover. When we investigated factors related with structural change, developed countries presented a break near the first oil shock while the developing countries’ breaks are more spread along the decades. Thus, external strikes seem to be more relevant for developed countries. However, for each country and break date, it was possible to find an event close to the break date endogenously detected. Last, the relevance of international trade, measured by trade share percentage of GDP, seems to be limited to explain abrupt changes in TFP.     

中国贸易产品多样性的测度及动态分析

本文调整了传统测算多样性指数的方法,对我国HS6位编码的进出口产品多样性进行了测度,并使用马尔可夫链模型对其发展趋势进行动态分析。研究表明,我国贸易产品波动尤其是出口产品的波动还将维持在一个较高的水平,劳动密集型产品作为我国贸易优势产品,对我国贸易进一步向竞争更为激烈的资本技术密集型产品领域扩展起到降低风险、稳定发展的作用。进口贸易也将通过调整进口产品结构,促进资本、技术等引进加快我国贸易结构的转型升级。本文的研究拟为评价我国贸易质量、制定贸易转型政策提供有效参考。     

环境规制对我国产业国际竞争力影响分析

随着贸易和投资的发展,贸易与环境的冲突问题日益受到广泛关注。采用环境标准、措施,作为治理、改善环境的手段,会对一国的产业竞争力造成影响。运用环境-竞争力矩阵,分析了环境规制对我国产业国际竞争力的影响,并对我国的环境规制提出了建议。     

江西省加工贸易与环境污染的实证分析

近年来,贸易与环境问题日益得到人们的重视,成为国际社会关注的焦点。文中通过实证分析江西省加工贸易对经济增长和环境污染的影响,试图说明江西省在承接沿海地区加工贸易转移时该如何实现环境与经济协调发展。     

浅析我国在国际贸易中发展电子商务的对策

20世纪90年代以来,随着互联网的应用,电子商务应运而生,成了国际贸易的通行证,给国际贸易带来了新的运作模式。自问世以来,电子商务在全球内的蓬勃发展,对世界经济格局和贸易体制的变化产生了深远的影响,其使国际贸易产生了传统国际贸易所无可比拟的优势,是未来国际贸易的必然趋势。     

Government Makes Exchange Rates Volatile

The foreign exchanges operate in markets that are widely distrusted as unpredictable and destabilising for international trade. Roy Batchelor and Geoffrey Wood argue that history and argument show that it is government that makes the exchanges more volatile, because it adds a range of uncertainty which is the most unpredictable.     

中国服务贸易竞争力影响因素的数理分析

服务贸易对一国经济增长有重要影响,一定程度上决定了一国国际贸易在国际市场上的竞争能力。文章分析了影响服务贸易竞争力的四个因素:外商直接投资、服务贸易开放度、货物贸易发展水平、劳动力素质,对这些影响因素与服务贸易的关系进行了实证检验,提出了促进我国服务贸易发展的七项对策建议。     

Religion and International Trade: Does the Sharing of a Religious Culture Facilitate the Formation of Trade Networks?

A bstract .   Despite interest in the influence of religion on economic activity by early economists like Adam Smith, modern economists have done little research on the subject. In light of the apparent religious fervor in many parts of the global economy, economists' seeming lack of interest in studying how religious cultures enhance or retard the globalization of economic activity is especially surprising. This article makes a contribution toward filling this void by examining how religion affects international trade. Specifically, we examine whether the sharing of religious cultures enables the formation of exchange networks that can overcome the failure or nonexistence of other social and economic institutions necessary for completing complex international transactions. We apply an expanded gravity model of international trade to control for a variety of factors that determine trade, and we use two recently developed regression methods, scaled OLS and nonlinear least squares, to exploit the model to its fullest. We find that the sharing of Buddhist, Confucian, Hindu, Eastern Orthodox Catholic, and Protestant cultures by people in different countries has a significantly positive influence on bilateral trade, all other things equal. The sharing of Roman Catholic culture has a significantly negative influence on bilateral trade, and the sharing of Islamic and Judaic cultures neither promotes nor discourages international exchange. These results suggest that some religious cultures are more conducive than others for forming international trade networks.     

The interplay of effectuation and causation in decision making: Russian SMEs under institutional uncertainty

The institutional context of Russia and the recent regime of foreign trade sanctions makes it a natural laboratory to study change in decision making regarding the international activities of SMEs. This research explores how the increased institutional uncertainty is evaluated, enacted and responded to by SMEs that are heavily involved in relations with international suppliers. This longitudinal multiple-case study reveals that although firms simultaneously use both causation and effectuation in their decision making, an increase of institutional uncertainty boosts effectuation. The study shows that the intensity of both types of decision-making logic varies along the studied period in accordance to changing perceptions of institutional uncertainty. Also, the studied firms use effectuation logic differently enabling us to distinguish two types of effectuation with contrasting performance implications: opportunity-driven effectuation and survival effectuation.     

Mathematical methods of optimization for multi-objective transportation systems

Transportation systems have multi-objective functions and there are multi-factor decision situations. A general mathematical optimization model for such systems is developed which has broad applications for the planning, system design and evaluation of many transportation systems. Three types of solution techniques are discussed. For multi-objective linear programs, a solution is obtained which satisfies the decision maker's preferences and optimization from the decision maker's point of view is considered. A goal programming solution technique is given when goals for the system can be defined. If this is not possible, an overall utility function is defined on the various objective functions and a concept of additive utilities is explored and a parametric programming solution is given.