Valuation and Clean Surplus Accounting: Some Implications of the Feltham and Ohlson Model for the Relative Information Content of Earnings and Cash Flows*

Abstract. This paper provides an analysis of the implications of the Feltham and Ohlson (1995) model for the relationship between unexpected security returns and unexpected earnings and cash flows. A simplified version of the Feltham and Ohlson linear information model is utilized to provide an intuitive explanation of the coefficients in the unexpected returns equation and to show that incremental information content for unexpected free cash flow beyond accounting earnings in the model depends on the existence of positive net present value (NPV) investment opportunities. The paper concludes by arguing that the model provides useful insights into factors that may influence the empirical relationship between security returns and accounting data. Résumé. L'auteur expose les résultats d'une analyse des répercussions du modèle de Feltham et Ohlson (1995) sur la relation entre les rendements imprévus des titres, d'une part, et les bénéfices et les flux monétaires imprévus, d'autre part. Il a recours à une version simplifiée du modèle d'information linéaire de Feltham et Ohlson pour expliquer intuitivement les coefficients de l'équation des rendements imprévus et pour montrer que, dans le modèle, le contenu marginal en information supérieur des flux monétaires disponibles imprévus par rapport aux bénéfices comptables dépend des possibilités d'investissement existantes offrant une valeur actualisée nette (VAN) positive. L'auteur conclut en affirmant que le modèle livre des renseignements utiles quant aux facteurs susceptibles d'influencer la relation empirique entre les rendements des titres et les données comptables.     

IS THE MARKET FAILING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCERS WHO WISH TO MANAGE RISKS?

The variability of producers ‘net income levels is largely a function of variability in output price, yield, and input prices. Yet, the tools available to manage price risk and yield risk are not widely used by producers. Is the market failing to provide agricultural producers with effective risk management tools? To identify producers’ needs, the paper establishes the relative importance of price and yield risk by decomposing the variability of revenues from a sample of crops in California agriculture. The risk tools available to producers of those commodities are compared to producers needs for tools. Results indicate that “market failure” is readily apparent in markets for tools to manage risks. However, the nature of these missing or incomplete markets does not necessarily imply inefficiencies that would justify government intervention.     

An Application of the Hedonic Price Model to the Perth Residential Land Market*

This paper presents the results of an application of the Rosen-Freeman hedonic price model to the Perth (Western Australia) residential land market. A sample of over two thousand market transactions is used to estimate the value of residential land attributes. Major emphasis is given to those particular land attributes that are subject to public regulation and to the policy implications that follow.