A Note on a Framework for Valuation Ratios Based on Fundamentals*

Valuation ratios divide stock price by accounting metrics such as earnings, earnings growth, and book value. This study adapts the general valuation framework in Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005) and Ohlson (2005) to present a unified approach for developing valuation ratios based on fundamentals, referred to as fundamental valuation ratios. One starts with a valuation model that is driven by an accounting metric a and its abnormal growth, then divides the valuation model by a to get a fundamental valuation ratio. For any valuation ratio, one can find a corresponding fundamental valuation ratio, as long as the valuation model is based on the same metric a as the valuation ratio denominator.     

从中国经济与产业发展前景看石油安全

一、中国经济与产业发展面对更为严峻的能源约束21世纪头二十年是中国经济与产业发展的重要战略机遇期,同时也将面临许多新的重要变化和挑战。在城镇化水平不断提高、居民消费结构发生明显变化、工业化步入关键时期的大背景下,中国经济与产业发展对能源的依赖程度将加深,从而面对较以前更为严峻的能源约束。(一)城镇化产生大量新增能源需求“十一五”时期中国经济发展目标是在优化结构、提高效益和降低消耗的基础上,实现2010年人均国内生产总值比2000年翻一番。考虑人口增长因素“,十一五”时期国内生产总值年均增长率只要达到7.5%左右,即可…     

一种新型高速数字锁相环的研究

本文针对传统方法实现的数字锁相环(DPLL)工作速率低的问题,通过对一种典型的DPLL的分析,找出影响其工作速率的主要因素,研究并提出了一种全新的高速实现方法,并在实验室进行了数据传输位同步提取实验。     

Taxation, growth, and the spirit of capitalism

This paper uses a general two-sector model of endogenous growth to examine how the spirit of capitalism affects the relation between public finance and growth. The spirit of capitalism is defined as acquisitive personal objectives. We find that if the spirit of capitalism is present, an increase in the share of government spending in output reduces the long-run growth rate. The negative relationship between fiscal spending and growth is consistent with empirical evidence.     

The determinants of bilateral trade

Abstract.  In this paper we present a monopolistic competition model that incorporates asymmetric trade barriers and international differences in production costs. The model implies a highly non‐linear bilateral trade equation. Estimation of this equation yields parameters for the elasticity of substitution and trade costs that are more reasonable than those found in previous studies. A simulation indicates that trade liberalization will shift trade from rich countries to poor countries and from within continental trading partners with preferential trade agreements to intercontinental trading partners. JEL Classification: F1     

Do Gold Market Returns Have Long Memory?

This study examines the long memory behavior in gold returns during the post-Bretton Woods period using a new rescaled range technique. Unlike the conventional rescaled range analysis, the new rescaled range analysis is robust to short-term dependence and conditional heteroscedasticity found in the gold data. Statistical results suggest that the long memory behavior in gold returns is rather unstable. When only few observations corresponding to major political events in the Middle East, together with the Hunts event, in late 1979 are omitted, little evidence of long memory can be found.     

Comparing the Accuracy of the Minimum-Variance Grid Method to Multiple Regression in Appraised Value Estimates

The adjustment-grid method and the multiple-regression method are the two most frequently used techniques in the sales comparison approach. This paper demonstrates that although both techniques provide unbiased estimators, the minimum-variance grid estimator should result in a smaller standard deviation than the multiple-regression estimator. A technique is also derived to estimate the confidence interval or to perform hypothesis tests for the minimum-variance grid estimator.     

上市公司资产减值方向信息含量研究——来自沪深两市2003年的经验证据

我国新颁布的《企业会计准则第8号——资产减值》规定,存货等已确认的资产减值不得转回。针对新准则对资产减值单向计提的规定,本文从资产减值准备计提方向研究上市公司资产减值的信息含量,发现资产减值的计提方向存在信号显示作用。这表明资产减值准备方向传递了公司未来前景的信息,全面取缔资产减值准备的转回将减少资产减值的部分信息含量。     

Anticipated Environmental Policy and Transitional Dynamics in an Endogenous Growth Model

This paper makes a new attempt toinvestigate how an anticipatedenvironmental policy governs the transitionaldynamics of an economy when pollutionexternality is taken into account. Themodeling strategy we use is an AK technologyendogenous growth framework with an endogenousleisure-labor choice. It is found that, unlikeinelastic labor supply framework, a rise inpublic abatement expenditure will stimulate thebalanced economic growth rate. It is alsofound that public abatement technology plays animportant role in determining the transitionaladjustment of the economic growth rate inresponse to a pre-announced environmentalpolicy.     

刘勰《知音》的理论辨析

在被誉为"体大思精"的<文心雕龙>中,专文论及文学的批评与鉴赏问题的只有两篇,即<指瑕>和<知音>,其中<指瑕>主要探讨了文章在用词、文义、比拟、语音等方面的毛病,而因其在概念的厘定和指认诸问题上存在较多的偏颇和疏漏之处,在多个方面已被后世的文论家如纪昀、黄侃等质疑.<知音>提出了对作品采取"六观"说的鉴赏(批评)方法和对鉴赏者(读者)"操千曲而后晓声,观千器而后识器"的修养要求.<知音>因影响深远的"六观"说的提出,并且在理论上又具有比<指瑕>更为圆融的自洽性而占据了重要的位置.