有序推进规范化融资性票据市场建设的实施路径

近年来,由于金融市场规范化建设步伐滞后于实体经济需求,处于经济运行循环系统末端的中小企业活力难以发挥.为满足日益旺盛的资金需求,中小企业不得不通过其他方式进行融资.隐性融资性票据市场客观上反映了企业现实的融资困境,同时也亟需规范.本文从规范发展融资性票据市场对于企业、商业银行和宏观调控的现实意义出发,系统提出了未来融资性票据市场的整体框架,为服务实体经济的规范化融资性票据市场建设提供了一个有序推进的实施路径.     

银行理财产品对宏观金融过程的影响机制研究

银行理财产品的发展对中国的宏观金融过程产生了重要影响。传统的宏观金融理论已经无法解释当前宏观金融数据的大幅波动。本文在研究银行理财产品对银行资产负债表影响过程的基础上,通过分析其他存款性公司资产负债表的相关实证数据,解释了银行理财产品与宏观金融数据的关系。在宏观金融层面,存量角度的银行理财产品将过去的间接融资还原为直接融资,增量角度的银行理财产品将潜在的间接融资转变成现实的直接融资。银行理财产品的发展正在改变着中国的金融结构,产生的直接结果就是货币增速的下降,甚至是货币绝对量的下降。     

Adäquate Wundauflagen

Wundumgebung und Wundauflagen - Die wundumgebende Haut, sofern sie intakt ist, hat eigentlich keinen direkten Einfluss auf die Wundheilung, da aber die Wundauflagen oder der Sekund?rverband auf der wundumgebenden Haut fixiert wird, ist die Beurteilung und Schutz dieser Hautareale für die Wundheilung von Bedeutung.     

Problemzonen? Nein, Danke!

Zusammenfasung  YOGA bei Gesundheitsproblemen — Yoga bietet viele übungen, die den unteren Rücken, Bauch und Oberschenkel st?rken, dabei Haltung und Aussehen verbessern und Kraft und Selbstvertrauen aufbauen. Und anstatt über Problemzonen zu lamentieren und zu (selbst)kritisch zu sein, ist es allemal besser, seine Energie ins üben zu stecken.     

The meta-crisis of secular capitalism

The current global economic crisis concerns the way in which contemporary capitalism has turned to financialisation as a double cure for both a falling rate of profit and a deficiency of demand. Although this turning is by no means unprecedented, policies of financialisation have depressed demand (in part as a result of the long-term stagnation of average wages) while at the same time not proving adequate to restore profits and growth. This paper argues that the current crisis is less the ‘normal’ one that has to do with a constitutive need to balance growth of abstract wealth with demand for concrete commodities. Rather, it marks a meta-crisis of capitalism that is to do with the difficulties of sustaining abstract growth as such. This meta-crisis is the tendency at once to abstract from the real economy of productive activities and to reduce everything to its bare materiality. By contrast with a market economy that binds material value to symbolic meaning, a capitalist economy tends to separate matter from symbol and reduce materiality to calculable numbers representing ‘wealth’. Such a conception of wealth rests on the aggregation of abstract numbers that cuts out all the relational goods and the ‘commons’ on which shared prosperity depends.     

The Third Vote Experiment: Enhancing Policy Representation of a Student Parliament

Since voters are often swayed more by the personal image of politicians than by party manifestos, they may cast votes that are in opposition to their policy preferences. This results in the election of representatives who do not correspond exactly to the voters’ own views. An alternative voting procedure to avoid this type of election failure is prompted by the approach implemented in internet voting advice applications, like the German Wahl-O-Mat, which asks the user a number of questions on topical policy issues; the computer program, drawing on all the parties’ answers, finds for the user the best-matching party, the second-best-matching party, etc. Under the proposed alternative election method, the voters cast no direct votes. Rather, they are asked about their preferences on the policy issues as declared in the party manifestos (Introduce nationwide minimum wage? Yes/No; Introduce a speed limit on the motorways? Yes/No, etc.), which reveals the balance of public opinion on each issue. These embedded referenda measure the degree to which the parties’ policies match the preferences of the electorate. The parliament seats are then distributed among the parties in proportion to their indices of popularity (the average percentage of the population represented on all the issues) and universality (frequency in representing a majority). This paper reports on an experimental application of this method during the election of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Student Parliament on July 4–8, 2016. The experiment shows that the alternative election method can increase the representativeness of the Student Parliament. We also discuss some traits and bottlenecks of the method that should be taken into account when preparing elections.     

Consensus Among Economists—An Update

In this article, the authors explore consensus among economists on specific propositions based on a fall 2011 survey of American Economic Association members. Results are based on 568 responses and provide evidence of changes in opinion over time by including propositions from earlier studies in 2000 (Fuller and Geide-Stevenson 2003) and 1992 (Alston, Kearl, and Vaughan 1992). Propositions focus on microeconomics, macroeconomics, distributional and international topics, as well as pedagogy. Results indicate a movement toward an overall higher level of consensus, mainly because of a drop in the incidence of no consensus. Especially in the area of distributional propositions, economists display an increased concern with income inequality and potential effects on growth. In the area of macroeconomics, current opinions are more similar to those of the 1992 survey than the 2000 survey.     

城乡统筹建设中金融发展的三个视角

本文对城乡统筹建设中金融发展问题的研究思路进行了总结。从如何实现金融业的城乡统筹发展、金融如何促进经济的城乡统筹、如何建立现代农村金融体系三个问题着手提出三个研究视角,简要分析城乡统筹建设中金融发展问题,为后续更加深入的研究提供参考。     

金融证券化与金融顺周期性

从金融发展的路径来看,经济货币化发展到一定阶段,便是金融证券化的蓬勃发展。在传统的金融体系中,银行信贷也是顺周期的,而金融证券化的蓬勃发展,则进一步放大了这种顺周期性。一方面,金融资产尤其是证券类金融资产总量的不断增加,使得金融市场的运行状况对于整个金融、经济运行起着越来越大的作用。另一方面,金融证券化的发展,对金融资产风险管理、金融体系流动性状况产生了重大影响,这些影响进一步促进了金融体系的顺周期性。因此,我们要将流动性管理的总量调节与健全宏观审慎政策框架结合起来,达到防范顺周期系统性风险积累的作用。     

基于Binary-SADT的可疑金融交易识别方法

针对目前使用静态数据挖掘技术识别可疑金融交易所面临的监测时效性低、数据覆盖面不全的问题,通过分析可疑金融交易的特征,本文提出了基于流数据分类挖掘的可疑金融交易识别算法,即Binary-SADT算法。SADT算法能够动态解决数据流挖掘中的概念漂移,Binary-SADT在SADT的基础上利用二叉排序树处理金融交易数据流中的连续属性,构建并及时更新识别可疑金融交易的分类模型。理论分析和实验结果表明该算法所构建的分类模型符合业内专家总结的可疑金融交易特征,验证了该算法的可行性和有效性。