Managing risk in an unstable world

With emerging markets like China and politically unstable countries like Saudi Arabia figuring more than ever into companies' investment calculations, business leaders are turning to political risk analysis to measure the impact of politics on potential markets, minimize risks, and make the most of global opportunities. But political risk is more subjective than its economic counterpart. It is influenced by the passage of laws, the foibles of government leaders, and the rise of popular movements. So corporate leaders must grapple not just with broad, easily observable trends but also with nuances of society and even quirks of personality. And those hard-to-quantify factors must constantly be pieced together into an ongoing narrative within historical and regional contexts. As goods, services, information, ideas, and people cross borders today with unprecedented velocity, corporations debating operational or infrastructural investments abroad increasingly need objective, rigorous assessments. One tool for measuring and presenting stability data, for example, incorporates 20 composite indicators of risk in emerging markets and scores risk variables according to both their structural and their temporal components. The indicators are then organized into four equally weighted subcategories whose ratings are aggregated into a single stability score. Countries are ranked on a scale of zero (a failed state) to100 (a fully institutionalized, stable democracy). Companies can buy political risk analyses from consultants or, as some large energy and financial services organizations have done, develop them in-house. Either way, a complete and accurate picture of any country's risk requires analysts with strong reportorial skills; timely, accurate data on a variety of social and political trends; and a framework for evaluating the impact of individual risks on stability.     

义乌外贸电子商务发展研究与分析

电子商务飞速发展,已经成为义乌市场新的增长点,在国际贸易综合改革试点背景下,外贸电子商务更是迎来了最佳的发展机会。便捷高效风险可控的外贸电子商务方式有效降低了商户的外贸成本以及国外客户的采购成本,成为义乌电子商务的重要组成部分,但是,物流成本、支付结算、人才等问题又在制约外贸电子商务继续作大作强,本文通过对义乌外贸电子商务公司及传统外贸公司的走访、问卷调查等,对义乌外贸电子商务发展现状进行了分析,并为促进义乌外贸电子商务发展提出了一些建议。     

造船生死劫

<正>船运业萧条,产能过剩,融资成本过高,这些都缠绕着刚刚起步的中国船企。这是一股从海外刮起的寒流。2012年2月1日,直接反映国际间贸易状况的波罗的海干散货指数下跌61%,为1986年8月以来的最低值。全球航运产业链正在经受前所未有的寒潮。数据显示,2011年全国船厂新承接船舶订单量同比下     

不对称槽线及其在三维微波集成电路中的应用

介绍了不对称槽线的特性,分析了以不对称槽线构建的复合环、支线定向耦合器、平 衡功率分配器、多层滤波器、多信道功率分配器等组件的性能。这些组件体积小、重量轻、 频带宽、电压驻波系数小,并且大多数可应用于毫米波段,是三维微波集成电路中的重要组 成部分。研究表明不对称槽线具有优良的特性。     

大学人文社会科学研究能力评估 ——以贵州大学为例

高校是我国人文社会科学研究的主力军。本文从CSSCI收录论文和立项的各级资助项目的角度,双管齐下考察高校人文社会科学的研究能力。     

高效率长寿命太阳能节能照明系统的研究

针对目前市场上的太阳能照明灯存在“低效率、短寿命、高成本”（即“两低一高”）的缺点,提出了“超高亮度LED灯具”、“太阳强光实时自动跟踪装置”、“低光照度时仍能充电的变换器”、“低功耗的LED驱动／集成芯片”和“主辅LED工作模式”等解决方案,经试验,均取得令人满意的效果。     

Severity of alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes in British Columbia: case - control study

The objective of the present study was to compare the injury severity and vehicle damage severity rates of alcohol-related crashes with rates of non-alcohol-related crashes in British Columbia (BC). Injury severity rates and vehicle damage severity rates were taken from 2002 Insurance Corporation of British Columbia traffic collision data. The data were computed in order to compare the differences in injury severity and vehicle damage severity rates of alcohol-related vs. non-alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes. Case - control methods were used in this study to analyse the risk of alcohol-related crashes compared to non-alcohol-related crashes in BC. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI were calculated to estimate relative risks. In the case - control analysis, the risk of fatal collision was increased for those drinking and driving compared with those driving sober (OR 4.70; 95% CI 3.15 - 7.01). Risk of injury collision was increased for those drinking and driving compared with those driving sober (OR 1.32; 95% CI 1.19 - 1.37). Importantly, the risk of vehicle damage severity was increased for those drinking and driving compared with those driving sober (write-off vehicle OR 4.24; 95% CI 3.70 - 4.86, severely damaged vehicles OR 1.98; 95% CI 1.77 - 2.21). The study reinforces existing literature to suggest that current evidence is sufficient to show an increased risk of injury and fatality to drivers and occupants in alcohol-related crashes. This paper not only emphasizes this well-known relationship, but also such consequences as increased vehicle damage severity. The connection between drinking and severity of motor vehicle crashes is popularly believed and has now received substantial scientific support. There is strong justification for injury prevention experts and policy-makers to step up motor vehicle crash injury prevention advocacy by implementing evidence-based policies to reduce rates of alcohol-impaired driving in the province of BC. Most unintentional injuries in BC are related to motor vehicle crashes. Significant improvements can be made in these statistics by: increasing the use of occupant protection (safety belt and child restraint seats); reducing alcohol-related injuries through multiple strategies including corrections in the physical environment, extensive enforcement of drinking and driving laws and health promotion/education.