The exchange value of the dollar and the U.S. trade balance: An empirical investigation based on cointegradon and Granger causality tests

This article performs tests of Granger causality in the relationships between the nominal ad real exchange rates of the dollar and the U.S. trade balance as well as its price and quantity components over the period 1973:IIQ–1989:IIIQ. Our results suggest: (i) weak statistical evidence of unidirectional causality running from the nominal exchange rate to import prices and nominal trade balance (ii) no statistical support for the proposition that the real exchange rate simply “accommodates” changes in the real trade balance, and (iii) strong (no) causal links between the nominal and real exchange rates and export (import) volume. We tentatively conclude that movements in the exchange rate have a rather limited effect on the trade balance and that this effect is more likely to materialize on the export side of the trade balance.     

Evaluating the operational and profitability efficiency of a UAE-based commercial bank

This study investigates the operating and profitability efficiency of 15 branches of UAE-based commercial bank utilising the data envelopment analysis method. The results indicate that efficiency levels among the various branches vary and that there is room for improvement. Profitability efficiency appears to be higher than operational efficiency. Regarding the financial ratios analysis, a consistent effect cannot be obtained and it cannot be determined which branch has an overall position in terms of higher performance. The historical analysis of the branch network performance indicates that management should consider major operational improvement efforts to reduce employees' expenses and other operating expenses combined with an increase in the total loans portfolio. Improvement in both interest and non-interest revenues is required to increase profitability efficiency of the whole branch network.     

Causality nexus of exports,FDI and economic growth of the ASEAN5 economies: evidence from panel data analysis

This paper analyzes the causal relationships between exports, FDI and economic growth among the ASEAN5 countries. We have used a three-stage procedure based on unit root, co-integration and causality tests applied to the panel data from 1981 to 2013. The results reveal that there is a bi-directional causal relationship between FDI and growth in the long run, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship from FDI to exports in the short run. Our results also confirm that the export-led growth (ELG) and FDI-led growth hypotheses hold true in the long and short run. To reinforce the FDI inflows, authorities should continue the progressive reduction of barriers, and increase the sophistication of quality exports to compete in the global market. This paper is the first of its kind to analyze the role of both FDI and exports in the ASEAN5 economies using panel analysis.     

Consistency of a nonparametric estimation of a density functional

LetX be a random variable with distribution functionF and density functionf. Let ? and ψ be known measurable functions defined on the real lineR and the closed interval [0, 1], respectively. This paper proposes a smooth nonparametric estimate of the density functional \(\theta = \int\limits_R \phi (x) \psi \left[ {F (x)} \right]f^2 (x) dx\) based on a random sampleX ₁, ...,X _n fromF using a kernel functionk. The proposed estimate is given by \(\hat \theta = (n^2 a_n )^{ - 1} \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^n \mathop \sum \limits_{j = 1}^n \phi (X_i ) \psi \left[ {\hat F (X_i )} \right]k\left[ {(X_i - X_j )/a_n } \right]\) , where \(\hat F(x) = n^{ - 1} \mathop \sum \limits_{i = 1}^n K\left[ {(x - X_i )/a_n } \right]\) with \(K (w) = \int\limits_{ - \infty }^w {k (u) } du\) . The estimate \(\hat \theta \) is shown to be consistent both in the weak and strong sense and is used to estimate the asymptotic relative efficiency of various nonparametric tests, with particular reference to those using the Chernoff-Savage statistic.     

Domestic demand and ability to export in developing economies: Some preliminary results

This note offers preliminary empirical evidence on the relationship between domestic demand and the ability to export in the developing economies. It utilizes the framework of the ‘Linder Thesis’ and its recent extensions in order to estimate the parameters of this relationship through regression analysis.     

Dilemma of a developing economy

For the past ten years or so the economy of Ghana has been under severe strains. The domestic economic scene has been characterised by stagnation of production, by falling real per capita income, by ever growing inflationary pressures and by rising level of unemployment. On the external front, the economy has remained under severe pressures resulting partly from a chronically weak balance of payments and partly from the massive external debt.     

Can Globalisation and Global Localisation Explain Foreign Direct Investment? Japanese Firms in Europe

This paper uses logit regression on the responses of 383 Japanese manufacturing firms located in the member countries of the European Union to investigate the motives for foreign direct investment. Japan External Trade Organisation (JETRO) data, as published in their 8th Annual Survey (October 1992) classified by industry, were used. The results confirm that decisions leading to FDI cannot be explained by a single factor and, furthermore, different types of FDI are influenced by different combinations of motives.     

How effective is central bank communication in emerging economies? An empirical analysis of the chinese money markets responses to the people’s bank of China’s policy communications

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting - Central banks, in both developed and developing economies, are responding to the increased demand for transparency in monetary policy formulation and...     

Lockup Agreements and Survival of UK IPOs

This paper examines the role of lockup agreements on the survival of 580 UK Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) during the period of 1990–2011. Our accelerated failure time (AFT) survival model shows a statistically and economically significant effect of lockup length on the post‐IPO survival. A 12 month increase in median lockup period increases the (median) survival time by 27%. Furthermore, the failure rates for IPOs with longer lockups are consistently lower than the failure rates for IPOs with shorter lockups regardless of delisting reasons. The results are robust to choice of different survival estimation models, heterogeneity, clustering, and alternative specification of variables. Our results highlight the importance of lockup characteristics on the subsequent survival of newly listed firms and inform recent debate regarding alleged short‐termism in the UK equity market.