中国经济周期波动中冲击构成的实证分析

利用SVAR模型对中国经济周期波动中冲击构成进行分析,同时运用ADF单位根检验、Granger因果关系检验、脉冲响应和方差分解等计量经济方法研究了产出、利率和财政支出与我国宏观经济波动的关系。研究结果表明：利率外生于系统,但产出和财政支出互为格兰杰因果关系;我国的货币政策在长期非中性,它可以直接影响到产出和其他实际变量;产出对源于产品市场的需求冲击和产品的供给冲击的响应均是正向的;经济周期波动中供给冲击所占比重小于需求冲击所占的比重。     

论文化旅游城市综合吸引力的提升——太原模式研究

对文化旅游城市的开发建设应使之兼具观光型传统旅游目的地和体验型现代旅游目的地的特征,文章以太原为研究对象,探讨提升文化旅游城市综合吸引力的路径和模式。在盘点太原的历史文化资源和自然资源,分析其旅游市场客源的基础上,进行旅游区域形象设计,继而通过地区营销组合,将丰厚的历史文化资源与现代的文化创造有机整合包装起来。使历史文化资源转化成现实的文化生产力,必将能极大地带动城市经济的进一步发展。     

Manufacturing productivity in China and India: The role of institutional changes

In this paper we undertake a comparative study of productivity in the manufacturing sector for China and India using data from survey of manufacturing industries for the two countries. We find that productivity of manufacturing industries in China relative to that in India improved substantially over the 1998–2003 period. Specifically, the average total factor productivity (TFP) growth for the manufacturing sector over this period was about 11% higher in China than in India. We document two substantial changes in government policies in China that were not witnessed in India. First, the late 1990s saw an enormous wave of ownership restructuring due to the formal endorsement of private property rights by the Chinese central government. Second, in 1997 a large scale labour retrenchment program was launched to address the long standing problem of labour redundancy in the public sector. Using data from the Chinese survey of manufacturing industries, we quantify the impact of these large scale institutional changes on TFP of Chinese manufacturing industries. We find that these policy changes can explain about 30% of the growth in TFP of manufacturing industries. Hence we conclude that these institutional changes in China can account for a significant part of the gains in productivity of manufacturing industries in China relative to that in India over the 1998–2003 period.     

企业间竞争与合作的伦理探究

企业之间在市场中既可能是竞争对手,也可能是合作伙伴。竞争是企业必须的一种经济策略,而合作则是企业在竞争条件下形成的一种战略性经济策略,无论企业采取何种经济策略———竞争或合作,其中必然涉及伦理问题。因此,在伦理意义上对竞争与合作进行研究与探讨,对企业在市场中取胜具有重要的指导意义与巨大的经济价值。     

Are all investment decisions to subscribe to new stocks mindless?Investor heterogeneity and behavior in the process of subscribing to new stocks

The IPO process is a way for companies to improve their corporate governance and for investors to assess company quality.This paper posits that investor choices...     

深基坑支护技术在房屋建筑施工中的运用策略试析

在我国经济实力不断增强的社会背景下,我国的建筑行业发展十分迅速,在数量、质量上,相较于以往都有了较大的突破.但在实际的施工过程中,由于我国高层建筑数量的逐渐增多,地基的深度逐渐增大,在施工中如果对相关的施工技术没有进行一定的选择,就会对人们后期的使用产生较大的威胁.深基坑支护技术的迅速发展和广泛应用不仅在于它们能够促进我国建筑项目工程施工的有序性和顺利进行,也能充分满足实际的施工服务所需,从而保证我国建筑项目工程的施工整体设计施工服务质量,促进我国建筑工程行业的快速健康稳定发展.     

加强政策事中事后评估的思考

党的十九届四中全会明确提出要强化决策执行、评估、监督,做好政策评估对优化政府职能、推动国家治理体系和能力现代化有积极作用。加强政策运行情况的评估,应从优化评估工作机制、完善和培育评估机构、强化评估结果的应用入手,不断提升评估工作质量,形成适应中国特色社会主义现代化治理体系的事中事后政策评估机制。     

对驰名商标“异化”的另一种认识

驰名商标的异化不仅指认定过程中的反常现象,还包括使用过程中的反常现象。用另一种眼光看,驰名商标的异化并非总是有害的,它还有促进商标法制建设、推动品牌的创造及其价值的发挥、营造良好的品牌文化等积极功能。因此,对驰名商标的异化现象应当区别对待,容忍具有较强正当性的异化现象,对于危害较大的异化现象则应采取多种措施予以消除。     

人口理论视野下的老龄化问题分析

在以生育率降低为核心的人口转变过程中，不可避免地出现了一系列的老龄化问题。传统的计划生育政策直接加剧了我国老龄化的进程，对于现行的计划生育政策的调整势在必行；同时，在退休体制上，弹性退休制的提出将从另一个侧面缓解严峻的老龄化问题。     

Dynamic network design for reverse logistics operations under uncertainty

The design of reverse logistics network has attracted growing attention with the stringent pressures from environmental and social requirements. In general, decisions about reverse logistics network configurations are made on a long-term basis and factors influencing such reverse logistics network design may also vary over time. This paper proposes dynamic location and allocation models to cope with such issues. A two-stage stochastic programming model is further developed by which a deterministic model for multiperiod reverse logistics network design can be extended to account for the uncertainties. A solution approach integrating a recently proposed sampling method with a heuristic algorithm is also proposed in this research. A numerical experiment is presented to demonstrate the significance of the developed stochastic model as well as the efficiency of the proposed solution method.