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41.
42.
Walter Andersson 《Scandinavian actuarial journal》2013,2013(1-2):44-53
Abstract A set of observations contains N elements, and the two measures x and y are observed for each element. Searching the ? best value ? of y as dependent on x, we put 相似文献
43.
44.
Walter Meyer-Kahlen 《保险科学杂志》1993,82(4):459-489
45.
We study the performance of conditional asset pricing models and multifactor models in explaining the German cross‐section of stock returns. We focus on several variables, which (according to previous research) are associated with market expectations on future market excess returns or business cycle conditions. Our results suggest that the empirical performance of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) can be improved when allowing for time‐varying parameters of the stochastic discount factor. A conditional CAPM using the term spread explains the returns on our size and book‐to‐market sorted portfolios about as well as the Fama‐French three‐factor model and performs best in terms of the Hansen‐Jagannathan distance. Structural break tests do not necessarily indicate parameter instability of conditional model specifications. Another major finding of the paper is that the Fama‐French model – despite its generally good cross‐sectional performance – is subject to model instability. Unconditional models, however, do a better job than conditional ones at capturing time‐series predictability of the test portfolio returns. 相似文献
46.
The mutual fund theorem (MFT) is considered in a general semimartingale financial market S with a finite time horizon T, where agents maximize expected utility of terminal wealth. The main results are:
Financial support from the Austrian Science Fund (FWF) under the grant P19456, from Vienna Science and Technology Fund (WWTF)
under Grant MA13 and by the Christian Doppler Research Association (CDG) is gratefully acknowledged by the first author. The
research of the second author was partially supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant DMS-0604643. 相似文献
(i) | Let N be the wealth process of the numéraire portfolio (i.e., the optimal portfolio for the log utility). If any path-independent option with maturity T written on the numéraire portfolio can be replicated by trading only in N and the risk-free asset, then the MFT holds true for general utility functions, and the numéraire portfolio may serve as mutual fund. This generalizes Merton’s classical result on Black–Merton–Scholes markets as well as the work of Chamberlain in the framework of Brownian filtrations (Chamberlain in Econometrica 56:1283–1300, 1988). Conversely, under a supplementary weak completeness assumption, we show that the validity of the MFT for general utility functions implies the replicability property for options on the numéraire portfolio described above. |
(ii) | If for a given class of utility functions (i.e., investors) the MFT holds true in all complete Brownian financial markets S, then all investors use the same utility function U, which must be of HARA type. This is a result in the spirit of the classical work by Cass and Stiglitz. |
47.
In many situations, governments have sector-specific tax and regulation policies at their disposal to influence the market
outcome after a national or an international merger has taken place. In this paper we study the implications for merger policy
when countries non-cooperatively deploy production-based taxes and firms may be partly owned by foreigners. We find that when
foreign firm ownership is low in the pre-merger situation, non-cooperative tax policies are more efficient after a national
merger, and smaller synergy effects are needed for this type of merger to be proposed and cleared. In contrast, cross-border
mergers dominate when the degree of foreign firm ownership is high initially. These results suggest a link between increasing
international portfolio diversification and the rising share of cross-border mergers. 相似文献
48.
To navigate turbulent business environments, organizations have to develop foresight capacities that enable them to anticipate probable futures, respond rapidly to emerging changes, and support future oriented action. However, there are remaining barriers that impede a wider implementation of foresight. In particular, the necessities to deal with the future, anticipate change, enhance participation and reduce costs and complexity call for new methods to improve current foresight activities. In this paper, we introduce prediction markets to the field of foresight. Prediction markets are a structured approach to collect and aggregate information from groups and have recently gained attention in forecasting. Prediction markets go beyond simple forecasting and can contribute to foresight by providing advantages in terms of continuous and real-time information aggregation, motivation of participation and information revelation as well as cost-efficiency and scalability. We suggest four promising fields of application for prediction markets to enhance foresight: (1) continuous forecasting and environmental scanning, (2) combining with deliberative approaches, (3) continuous idea generation and (4) expert identification. We conclude by considering prediction markets as a nascent and promising method for foresight and advocate for further research. 相似文献
49.
Prof. Dr. Andreas Gadatsch 《Business & Information Systems Engineering》2009,1(3):254-262
In the first part the paper depicts central IT controlling terms and selected IT controlling concepts of the last decade.
In the second part a performance oriented IT controlling concept describes central processes of the IT controlling concept
by using a three step life cycle model in terms of a reference model. Finally some important results from a current survey
concerning the development of IT controlling in German speaking countries are given. Based on these facts the paper describes
the needs for action in academia and practice: The role of the IT controller has been established in German speaking countries,
but there is disagreement concerning targets, tasks and processes of IT controlling, cost oriented tasks and reporting are
dominating the practitioner’s work, established economic methods of IT controlling are not consistently used in companies.
This article is also available in German in print and via http://www.wirtschaftsinformatik.de: Gadatsch A (2009) WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK.
doi: 10.1007/11576-009-0166-x. 相似文献
50.
Andreas Kuhn 《Empirica》2010,37(2):215-236
This paper describes subjective wage inequality and the demand for redistribution in Austria using individuals’ estimates
of occupational wages from the International Social Survey Program. Although these estimates differ widely across individuals,
the data clearly show that most individuals would like to decrease wage inequality, relative to the level of inequality which
they perceive to exist. The empirical analysis also shows that the demand for redistribution is strongly associated not only
with variables describing self-interested motives for redistribution, but also with perceptions of and social norms with respect
to inequality. Further, the demand for redistribution is a strong predictor for whether an individual is supportive of redistribution
by the state. On the other hand, however, I find almost no evidence for an empirical association between the demand for redistribution
and individuals’ party identification. 相似文献