Estimating Consumer Losses From Unavailable Advertised Grocery Specials

Supermarkets regularly advertise food specials to provide information on new products and seasonal products, to induce new customers to the store and to retain old customers by good price / quality relationships. But how important are the purchase of advertised food specials to food shoppers? Do they realize significant savings from buying advertised specials? If advertised specials are not available, how much do consumers lose? These questions are addressed in this article through the use of a Monte Carlo simulation, based on a comprehensive conceptual model of the determinants of unavailability.     

OCCUPATIONAL ATTAINMENT OF MEN IN BRITAIN

The occupational attainment of men aged 33 is examined usinglongitudinal cohort data. We find that family background andearly child development has a much stronger effect on occupationalattainment than found in previous studies for Britain. Testsin maths and reading taken at age 7, 11, and 16 provide importantinformation regarding the likelihood of occupational success.Our results appear to be insensitive to whether we measure attainmentusing mean earnings or occupational status. Failure to controlfor unobserved person-specific fixed effects causes significantdownward bias in estimated returns to educational qualificationsacquired after age 23.     

DID INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC FORCES CAUSE THE GREAT DEPRESSION?

This paper reviews and assesses international explanations for the depth and duration of the Great Depression. Many of the conclusions are negative. The U.S. Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 came too late to account for the 1929 downturn and fails to explain the severity of the contraction in the U.S. The competitive devaluations of the 1930s redistributed the Depression's effects across countries but did not worsen it overall. The deflationary consequences of the liquidation of foreign exchange reserves were minor. Domestic central bank policies and their failure to be coordinated internationally must bear the major responsibility for the Depression.