Terrorist threats,information disclosures,and consumer sovereignty

This paper proposes the use of consumers’ preferences in formulating policies for keeping secret information about terrorist activities and threats that might compromise future security. We report the results from two surveys indicating that support for government secrecy varies across situations depending on the threat and context. A majority of respondents preferred full disclosure of some information related to terrorist threats regardless of the consequences for specific industries or future threats, in particular threats involving attacks on commercial airlines. However a majority of respondents were willing to allow government authorities to withhold information about the details of threats to the financial system and to buildings if revealing the information might compromise future investigations. While the public generally recognizes the importance of keeping some information secret, a democratically elected government should seek to understand the preferences of its citizens on important policy issues related to public safety and security.     

Stability of Canadian refinery response to petroleum product prices

The proportion of gasoline in a barrel of crude oil varies in response to changes in relative product prices. This response is found to be significant and stable using the Cooley—Prescott varying parameter technique on Canadian data for 1956–77. When the price of gasoline increases by 1% its share increases by 0.28%. Kerosene and gasoline are found to be substitutes in production while gasoline and residual fuel oil are found to be complements. The US has a different response function with heavier rather than lighter products as substitutes for gasoline in the production process. These variations are attributed to differences in energy product markets and government policies.     

Canadian Manager Perceptions of the US Exchange Listings: Recent Evidence

This study reports recent evidence of Canadian manager perceptions of the benefits and costs of listing in US markets, their attitudes toward listing in the US market, and their opinions regarding the importance of using alternative reporting and disclosure requirements, such as Canadian GAAP or international standards, in lieu of US GAAP for US listings. Manager perceptions of firms listing in the US ("listers") are compared to those of firms that have not listed in the US ("nonlisters") as well as to listers' perceptions collected prior to the implementation of the Multijurisdictional Disclosure System (MJDS). Our results do not unambiguously support expectations that implementation of the MJDS would result in cost savings for Canadian listers. We find strong similarities in the perceived benefits of listing as previously reported, but in a significantly higher proportion of our post–MJDS sample. Responses from listers and nonlisters reflect differences between the two populations. Listers appeared concerned with US GAAP reconciliations and disclosure requirements while non–listers are more concerned with the overall difficulty of listing, the costs of listing, and US litigation. Most strongly, however, nonlisters perceive it as unnecessary to list in the US market. Contrary to expectations, we find that US accounting disclosure and reporting requirements are not perceived to be barriers to US market entry for Canadian firms, but instead appear to be post–entry irritants. Finally, we also find evidence that perceptions of nonlisters differ between those firms that list on the Vancouver Stock Exchange and those that list on the Toronto Stock exchange. This suggests that future studies may require finer partitions than on a national basis.     

Education: High Potential Not Yet Realized

Knowledge is not easily plucked from the stream of existence and social scientists have to offer the sobering suggestion that while 'What matters is what works', what matters first is how we find out what works. If a blind lurching from one good idea to yet another fashion is to be avoided, the task of finding out what works must be central. The widespread use of systematic monitoring (performance indicators) in education in England provides the kind of data stream needed to make it likely that the occasional dramatic outcome will be noticed, particularly by teachers. This article explains the problems and possibilities of using evidence-based information to improve education.     

International Finance: Pushing the Statistical Envelope to Meet the Challenges of Globalization

This paper treats three key areas where statisticians are pushing the envelope to meet the challenges of providing the basis for sound analysis and thus for sound policy in pursuit of assuring prosperity and preventing financial crises. In one area, the challenge is to provide comprehensive and timely data on foreign direct investment. In another area, the challenge is similar-to provide comprehensive and timely data on public debt. Moreover, a whole new area of statistics, dealing with the health of the financial sector, is being developed in recognition that one country's financial health or sickness affects its neighbors and many others in a world of complex global ties.     

High Performance Work Systems and Employee Experience of Work in the Service Sector: The Case of Aged Care

In spite of the growing body of research on high performance work systems (HPWS), there is little evidence on their application in the service sector. It is commonly argued, however, that occupational segmentation in services is a barrier to HPWS. Analysis of data from aged‐care workers indicates that: HPWS have positive outcomes for workers; highly skilled nurses are no more likely than lowly skilled personal care workers to be subject to HPWS; and in some cases, HPWS are associated with more positive outcomes for low‐skilled than high‐skilled workers. These findings suggest that HPWS may well be widely applicable in service settings.     

The link between output and contracts under hyperinflation

In the conventional Keynesian model, nominal wage contracts (acting as a friction) transmit monetary shocks to real variables. In contrast, the new classical or real business cycle theory claims that firms and workers ignore the behavior of the actual real wage and instead generate an efficient level of employment (hence, output) based on a shadow real wage. Using Brazilian data covering a period during which the economy suffered hyperinflation and wage contracts were indexed by the government, results show that these fixed nominal wage contracts did not generate a nonneutrality of money as proposed by the Keynesian model. Instead, results support the view that contracts cannot propagate nominal shocks.     

Trends in U.S. economics majors: Why the decline in the 1990s?

This paper identifies factors that are important in explaining recent trends in undergraduate economics majors. The decline in economics majors during the 1990s has caused concern in the profession because the declining trend had been attributed to a general decrease in student interest in the economics major. This study uses least squares regression techniques to explain trends in economics bechelor degrees granted by 20 New Jersey colleges and universities during the 1979–2000 period, with implications for the national level. The results show that trends in economics majors are primarily a function of demographic trends, business cycle conditions, and the desire to attend post-graduate professional school. None-the-less, the authors conclude that the declining trend in economics majors in the 1990s is still cause for concern because understanding economic principles is important in the development of a globally competitive workforce.