Commodity currencies

This paper looks at real exchange rate behavior by focusing on three OECD economies (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) where primary commodities constitute a significant share of their exports. For Australia and New Zealand especially, we find that the US dollar price of their commodity exports (generally exogenous to these small economies) has a strong and stable influence on their floating real rates, with the magnitude of the effects consistent with predictions of standard theoretical models. However, after controlling for commodity price shocks, there is still a purchasing power parity puzzle in the residual. The results here are relevant to developing commodity-exporting countries as they liberalize their capital markets and move towards floating exchange rates.     

Modernization in Mainland China:

A bstract . After 1949, mainland China, a developing socialist country, adopted an inward-looking policy with emphasis on self-reliance and economic independence. However, in their drive for economic reform that began in 1978, mainland China drifted to the new doctrine of "taking self-reliance as the principal means and external assistance as a subsidiary." A version of the two-gap model is constructed to test the hypothesis that both domestic capital accumulation and foreign capital inflows affect economic development in mainland China , the latter being an indicator of modernization. Due to insufficient data, pooled cross-section and time-series data for the period 1984–1986 are employed. The quantitative evidence suggests that foreign capital inflows, instead of domestic capital accumulation, have importantly affected the modernization drive of mainland China. The recent political turmoil in mainland China has slowed down foreign capital inflows which in turn may retard its modernization.     

联合基数确定法: 一个激励相容的财务学范本

委托代理制是企业机制设计理论的重要内容，科学界定委托人代理人之间的权利关系，合理分享剩余权，是形成激励相容机制的重要环节，本文介绍的利润基数联合确定法是杭州商学院院长胡祖光教授的国家自然科学基金课题成果，它为解决委托人与代理人之间的信息不对称，激励代理人的自动努力，提供了值得借鉴的财务解决方法，同时，该方案宽泛的约束条件（见两则案例），为不同所有制企业提供了具有弹性的激励方案。     

美国注册会计师行业面临的困境及对我国的启示

随着美国大批跨国巨头财务丑闻纷纷落马，美国知名会计师事务所也因参与或涉嫌造假，出具虚假审计报告而被接二连三地曝光，美国整个注册会计师行业面临着诚信危机。通过回顾美国注册会计师行业的发展历程及我国注册会计师行业现状的透视，从四个方面提出了美国注册会计师行业给现状同样不容乐观的中国注册会计师行业的启示：(1)加强注册会计师行业诚信意识的培育，并明确诚信责任；(2)完善注册会计师行业相关制度的建设并严格执行；(3)合理规范与调整会计师事务所业务范围；(4)加快整合步伐，积极锻造自身的品牌。     

供应链管理模式下零库存理论及其在企业中的应用

主要分析了影响企业库存管理的因素，介绍了实现企业零库存的主要方法，针对目前国内企业的库存现状，提出了实现零库存的库存控制理论、实施方法和途径及在实现过程中应注意的问题。     

From T-Bills to Stocks: Seasonal Anomalies Revisited

This paper employed eleven data series which consist of stocks, bonds, bills, equity premiums, term premiums, and various default premiums to investigate whether January seasonality reported in existing literature is robust across different states of the economy as this has important trading implications. For the periods 1926–1990, small stocks, small stock premiums, low grade bonds, and default premiums (spread between high grade, low grade and government bonds) reveal January seasonality and that the seasonality is robust across different states of the economy except for low grade bond returns and default premiums. January seasonality for low grade bond returns and low grade bond default premiums are primarily driven by results found during periods of economic expansion. Overall, January seasonality is more evident during the economic expansion periods although the magnitude of default premiums is larger during periods of economic contraction. Furthermore, prior findings of strong summer equity returns are primarily driven by the results found during the periods of economic contraction. It is also found that equity returns are generally higher during periods of economic expansion.     

中国当前的财政政策及趋势

中国自1998年到2004年间实施的积极财政政策,对保持经济平稳增长,缓解通货紧缩,优化经济结构,促进就业和促进区域经济均衡发展等方面发挥了积极的作用。随着中国宏观经济形势的变化,以及考虑到防范公共风险,积极财政政策应作相应的调整。2005年,中国实施了稳健的财政政策(也就是经济学意义上的中性财政政策),其政策核心是适度减少财政赤字和长期建设国债的规模,并对财政分配结构进行调整。中国未来一段时期特别是“十一五”前期应继续实施稳健的财政政策。     

基于胜任力结构的企业家才能分析

一、企业家才能的相关理论在西方经济学界,人们认为劳动、资本、土地、企业家才能四部分构成了生产要素,在这四种生产要素中企业家才能则是其灵魂性的要素。企业家才能是指企业领导的经营管理和创新能力,包括创新能力、合作精神、敬业精神、竞争意识、冒险精神、自信、判断能力     

构建中型商业银行竞争优势策略研究

随着商业银行主体意识和危机意识的不断增强．“营销管理”也不断被商业银行所采纳、运用，逐步渗透到其经营活动中。从而形成了新一轮竞争的特点。规模不同、地位不同的竞争个体，其营销战略选择是不一样。正是基于此，本文把我国商业银行划分为三类：国有商业银行、中型商业银行和地区性商业银行。国有商业银行特指四大国有商业银行；中型商业银行是指全国性的新兴股份制商业银行：地区性商业银行是指其他机构网点仅限于当地的银行机构。     

民族地区投融资机制的构建与经济可持续发展

金融日益成为现代经济的核心，资本形成对经济增长具有重要作用。民族地区作为一个金融抑制较为严重的地区，在经济社会发展的历史进程中，必须通过投融资机制创新为资本形成创出更为广阔的空间，充分发挥金融对于促进民族地区经济可持续发展的重要作用。