从合作金融走向社区银行——基于杭州联合银行个案分析的农村合作银行发展的思考

本文从社区银行的定义和特点出发,以杭州联合农村合作银行为例,在对农村合作银行从合作金融走向社区银行的必要性和可行性进行分析的基础上,提出了社区银行是农村合作银行谋取进一步发展的现实选择。但从中长期发展来看,农村合作银行转型为社区银行的道路还很长,必须厚积薄发,全面根治。最后文章就如何使农村合作银行快速、稳健地从合作金融走向现代化社区银行提出了对策和建议。     

西部民营经济发展的战略思考

作为西部经济新的主要增长点—民营经济,在西部经济发展中起着越来越重要的作用。但由于诸多原因,西部民营经济同东部民营经济发展的差距不是在缩小,而是在扩大。如何使西部民营经济持续、快速、健康发展,提升西部经济发展水平,缩小地区间差异,本文在充分认识西部民营经济发展问题及深入分析问题原因的基础上,从战略的高度提出了一些促进西部民营经济发展的策略。     

Option to acquire or divest a joint venture

This paper develops a model for assessing options in joint ventures. The model is used specifically to examine the option to acquire or divest a joint venture, both in the case where the acquisition/divestiture price is specified ex ante in the initial contract and in the case where the price is to be negotiated ex post. The results derived from the model show how the value of the option and each partner's pay‐off from the venture vary with the structure of the option and how the presence of the option may affect the structuring of the joint venture. The main theoretical insights are stated in 12 potentially testable propositions, and possible ways to operationalize some of the propositions for empirical testing are also explored. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Market timing: Recent development and a new test

Henriksson-Merton's market timing test suffers nontrivial size distortion when the event forecast is autocorrelated. A new test is suggested to detect the dependence of two autocorrelated binary time series. It complements the existing tests due to better test power.     

东南亚深海油气勘探开发形势及对外合作前景

东南亚地区是世界重要的具有深海油气潜力的地区之一,约有100多个深海沉积盆地。2003-2008年,在东南亚发现的新增探明油气可采储量近96亿桶油当量（包括陆地和浅海）。目前在大于200米水深的海域中,近5年新增探明储量最多的国家为马来西亚（17．8亿桶）和印度尼西亚（5．54亿桶）,占东南亚地区这一时期总的新增探明可采储量的24．3％。目前东南亚的深海油气活动规模较小,但深海油气资源潜力不容忽视。该地区深海勘探开发因受边界利益争端等政治问题的影响,存在一定的不确定性和复杂性,这是其对外合作的一个制约因素。我国与东南亚国家的深水合作勘探和开发还处于起步阶段,我们应充分利用地缘优势,适时进入,为我国能源供应多元化提供保障。     

试论新形势下的档案收集工作

在新形势下应正确认识和把握档案收集工作的地位和作用,阐述当前档案收集工作面临的新情况、新问题,提出做好档案收集工作的对策。     

‘The Re Tea Corporation principle and junior creditors’ rights to participate in a scheme of arrangement – a view from Singapore'

This paper examines the application of the principle derived from Re Tea Corporation's case in recent schemes of arrangement to break negotiation deadlocks between senior and junior creditors of a financially distressed company. This paper argues against an overly technical application of the principle in Re Tea Corporation's case which might work injustice towards junior creditors by effectively shutting them out of a restructuring. This paper further explores how the holdout problem, which led to the formulation of the Re Tea Corporation principle in the first place, could be addressed while balancing the competing interests of junior claimants in a scheme of arrangement. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Predicting the Loss Given Default Distribution with the Zero-Inflated Censored Beta-Mixture Regression that Allows Probability Masses and Bimodality

Journal of Financial Services Research - We propose a new procedure to predict the loss given default (LGD) distribution. Studies find empirical evidence that LGD values have a high concentration...     

“惩一”必然“儆百”吗?——监管处罚间接威慑失效研究

上市公司监管在提升上市公司质量、改善资本市场资源配置效率方面发挥着重要作用,本文基于高管联结的情景考察监管处罚间接威慑的有效性及其实现机理.研究发现,监管处罚发生后,违规公司财务错报明显减少,而其违规高管联结的未违规公司财务错报反而明显增加.深入研究发现,监管处罚发生后,违规高管更可能从未违规公司离职;但同时,积极发表否定意见的独立董事也主动从未违规公司离职,审计师对于未违规公司中高企的执业风险未有效调整审计决策.由此,上述公司治理的负面变化超过了正面调整,最终导致监管处罚间接威慑失效.最后,监管处罚间接威慑失效导致这些未违规公司的公司价值受到减损.综上表明,监管处罚要实现“惩一儆百”的治理效果,有赖于上市公司内外部治理机制的协调配合.这对于监管层完善上市公司监管制度以提升上市公司质量、深化资本市场改革具有重要启示.