Risk analysis of new maize technology in Zaire: a portfolio approach

Risk associated with the adoption of new maize technology and the impact of mandatory cotton production on traditional farmers in the Kasai Oriental Region of Zaire are evaluated within a portfolio context using a quadratic programming model. Seasonal net returns for farm plans including four levels of maize technology in combination with staple food crops are evaluated, with and without mandatory cotton production. The results indicate that cropping systems that include new maize technology are risk-efficient relative to local maize varieties while mandatory cotton production is not risk-efficient at the prevalent price and yield levels in the farming system.     

Third world strategies for regulating drug advertising and marketing

In the pharmaceutical area, third world countries have been particularly subjected to excessive pricing and manipulative marketing practices by multinational corporations. Sri Lanka has gained some experience in curbing abuses by establishing a State Pharmaceuticals Corporation. It has been able to achieve substantial price cuts for pharmaceuticals and to adapt to changing economic and political circumstances. The control of advertising and marketing practices remains a problem but has been tackled in Sri Lanka by an Act of 1980. Until similar laws are enacted greater attention should be given to the individual patient by doctors becoming more circumspect in prescribing drugs.

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Strategien der Länder der Dritten Welt zur Regulierung des Vertriebs und der Werbung von Arzneimitteln

Zusammenfassung Länder der Dritten Welt sind für multinationale Unternehmen auf dem Arzneimittelsektor ein bevorzugtes Objekt für Ausbeutung durch überhöhte Preise oder manipulatives Marketing. Der Autor, mit diesen Problemen an leitender Stelle persönlich vertraut, beschreibt Versuche in Sri Lanka, Mißbräuche ausländischer Unternehmen durch Errichtung einer staatlichen pharmazeutischen Gesellschaft (State Pharmaceuticals Corporation) zu bekämpfen.Das Unternehmen hat wesentliche Preisreduzierungen für Arzneimittel erreicht und sich an geänderte wirtschaftliche und politische Verhältnisse anpassen können. Werbung und Vertriebsmethoden werden neuerdings in Sri Lanka — wie in anderen Ländern der Dritten Welt — durch ein Gesetz von 1980 kontrolliert, das allerdings für homöopathische und ähnliche Produkte nicht gilt. In der Zukunft kommt es darauf an, den individuellen Patienten durch eine vorsichtigere Verschreibung von Arzneimitteln mehr Aufmerksamkeit zu widmen.

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D. C. Jayasuriya is Attorney-at-Law and Senior State Counsel. His address is 40/12, Swarnadisi Place off Koswatte Road, Nawala, Sri Lanka.     

WIFE'S EMPLOYMENT—ITS INFLUENCE ON MAJOR FAMILY EXPENDITURES

This study was undertaken to examine the influence of wife's employment on major family expenditures. Tobit analysis of data from the 1972–73 Consumer Expenditure Surveys found no relationship between wife's employment and outlays on twelve categories of expenditures. Family income had the greatest overall influence on the expenditure categories examined. Therefore, it appears that the absolute amount of income was more important than its sources in determining expenditures.     

Do Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts Encourage Managers to Improve the Firm's Cash Flows? Evidence from Tax Planning

Recent research finds that analysts' cash flow forecasts have meaningful financial reporting ramifications, but, to date, the identified effects are unlikely to yield meaningful cash flow benefits. This study examines whether analysts' cash flow forecasts encourage managers to enhance the firm's cash flow position through tax avoidance activities. We evaluate the change in cash tax avoidance after analysts begin issuing cash flow forecasts relative to a propensity score matched control sample of firms without cash flow forecasts. Consistent with analysts' cash flow forecasts encouraging tax avoidance that enhances the firm's cash flow health, we find a negative association between cash tax payments and analysts' cash flow coverage. Additional analysis suggests this association is driven primarily by strategies to permanently avoid rather than to temporarily defer tax payments and that increased cash tax avoidance activity represents a nontrivial component of the overall increase in reported operating cash flows after the initiation of analysts' cash flow coverage.     

Measuring the dynamics of APEC output connectedness

We examine the dynamics of output connectedness of Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) economies using time‐varying, region‐specific, generalised connectedness measures. We find that the connectedness of APEC economies with the rest of the world is quite substantial, with the 2008–09 Global Financial Crisis increasing the connectedness measures above their precrisis levels. The USA, China, and Korea are shown to be systemically important and to dominate APEC’s real activities, while outside the APEC region the roles of India and the UK are also non‐negligible. These results suggest that the majority of APEC economies are considerably open to output shocks from the dominant economies such that policymakers in APEC must be continuously conscious of headwinds originating from these sources.