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201.
Summary We consider the problem of making inferences about the parameters of a time series model when there is the possibility of a discrete variance change at an unknown time point. For this we obtain the posterior distributions of the parameters and of the variance ratio. 相似文献
202.
Summary In this paper it is investigated whether robust estimation procedures for the parameters of a regression model are also applicable when the observations are generated by the errors-in-variables model. Specifically, attention is paid to bounded-influence estimators, i.e. estimators that are constructed in such a way that the influence of a single observation on the outcome of the estimator is bounded. Both the classical errors-in-variables model and models with contaminated observational errors are considered.The authors are indebted to a referee for his valuable comments on an earlier version of this paper. 相似文献
203.
204.
This article contrasts the characteristic structural and control profiles of educational organizations with those of technical organizations. A group of primary and secondary schools and the operating units of an industrial firm differed both in structural variables and in three activities of control: buffering, smoothing, and forecasting. the article suggests that educational organizations emphasize modes of control that operate on components peripheral rather than central to the organization's technical core. 相似文献
205.
206.
Group decision-making: Head-count versus intensity of preference 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper puts forth a framework for reshaping the group decision-making process. The proposed framework extends from the usual one-issue-at-a-time decision-making to one that involves several related issues simultaneously. Weaknesses of the traditional majority voting mechanism are first identified, and then a different voting method that takes each individual voter's sentiment into account is discussed. Specifically, a decision-maker is asked to express his/her intensity of preference for the issues encountered. Three hierarchical structures—benefits, costs, and risks—are developed to evaluate the alternatives. Due to the nature of pairwise comparisons and synthesis, the proposed method is amenable to consensus building and has higher reliability and consistency. It can be used for candidate selection, e.g. governmental election, when a large population is involved. It is also effective for resource allocation and prioritization when a small group or business is concerned. We believe the proposed approach has potential for resolving deficiencies of the conventional voting mechanism, and can be applied to many real-world problems. Its implementation on the Internet is also discussed. 相似文献
207.
This paper discusses consequences of violating the normal distribution assumption imbedded in Structural Equation Modeling
(SEM). Based on real data from a large sample customer satisfaction survey we follow the procedures as suggested in leading
textbooks. We document consequences of this practice and discuss its impact on decision making in marketing. 相似文献
208.
In this paper we construct all possible orthogonal arrays OA(18,q, 3,2) with 18 runs and 3 ≤ q ≤ 7 columns and present those that are nonisomorphic. A discussion on the novelty and the superiority of many of the designs
found in terms of isomorphism and generalized minimum aberration has been made.
相似文献
209.
Prior research has employed a number of methods to test for speculative bubbles in asset prices, including a method based
on the concept of duration dependence. This study explores whether duration dependence tests for speculative bubbles are sensitive
to specification decisions. Our results question the efficacy of using measures of duration dependence to test for speculative
bubbles. In particular, we find that evidence of duration dependence is sensitive to the method of correcting for discrete
observation of continuous duration, the use of value-weighted versus equally weighted portfolios, and the use of monthly versus
weekly runs of abnormal returns. (JEL C41, G12) 相似文献
210.
Abstract. In this paper we study the first–order efficiency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator obtained from dependent observations. Our conditions are weaker than usual, in that we do not require convergences in probability to be uniform or third–order derivatives to exist.
The paper builds on Witting and Nolle's result concerning the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator obtained from independent and identically distributed observations, and on a martingale theorem by McLeish. 相似文献
The paper builds on Witting and Nolle's result concerning the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator obtained from independent and identically distributed observations, and on a martingale theorem by McLeish. 相似文献