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Alexander Kerl Oscar Stolper Andreas Walter 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2012,26(2):217-246
In order to fulfill their function as information intermediaries in capital markets, sell-side equity analysts regularly issue
updated forecasts on the stocks they cover. Quite often, the publication of (revised) analysts’ reports is subject to certain
trigger events such as the publication of annual figures or the announcement of an upcoming merger. In this exploratory study,
we develop a two-step procedure to identify the core events that trigger the release of analysts’ reports on companies that
constitute the Dow Jones EuroSTOXX50 index during the three-year period from 2004 to 2006. These can be grouped into Financial Disclosures, Corporate Management, Corporate Strategy, Business Activity, Operating Environment and Share. The results suggest that sell-side analysts attach great importance to non-financial information events when transforming
their earnings estimates into valuation forecasts and stock recommendations. Additionally, we link the information events
identified as reasons of issuance to the summary measures disclosed in the reports in order to investigate the relationship
between the report trigger and associated analyst reaction. Our findings indicate that the forecasting activity of sell-side
analysts is greatly influenced by forward-looking statements made by management, strategy-related news flow, and non-company-specific
information relating to the covered firm’s operating environment. 相似文献
24.
Hamad Alsayed Frank McGroarty 《Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money》2012,22(5):1258-1276
Ours is the first paper to highlight pairs trading as the main price-correcting mechanism by which arbitrage can maintain stock–ADR parity. We show that arbitraging stock–ADR pairs extracts small per-trade profits which accumulate to a substantial aggregate return. The observed strong tendency of pricing disequilibria to mean-revert, along with the two-way convertibility between stocks and ADRs, mean that arbitrageurs face minimal risks toward price divergence. They do, however, face uncertainty about the duration of individual trades. The magnitude of this uncertainty relates directly to the profit target arbitrageurs set after a long/short position is established. This fact can explain why some disequilibria go unexploited. Overall, our work provides evidence against automatically efficient prices, and supports the view that mispricings incentivize arbitrageurs to enforce market efficiency. 相似文献
25.
We compare the out-of-sample performance of monthly returns forecasts for two indices, namely the Dow Jones (DJ) and the Financial Times (FT) indices. A linear and a nonlinear artificial neural network (ANN) model are used to generate the out-of-sample competing forecasts for monthly returns. Stationary transformations of dividends and trading volume are considered as fundamental explanatory variables in the linear model and the input variables in the ANN model. The comparison of out-of-sample forecasts is done on the basis of forecast accuracy, using the Diebold and Mariano test [J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 13 (1995) 253.], and forecast encompassing, using the Clements and Hendry approach [J. Forecast. 5 (1998) 559.]. The results suggest that the out-of-sample ANN forecasts are significantly more accurate than linear forecasts of both indices. Furthermore, the ANN forecasts can explain the forecast errors of the linear model for both indices, while the linear model cannot explain the forecast errors of the ANN in either of the two indices. Overall, the results indicate that the inclusion of nonlinear terms in the relation between stock returns and fundamentals is important in out-of-sample forecasting. This conclusion is consistent with the view that the relation between stock returns and fundamentals is nonlinear. 相似文献
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Andreas Körber 《Heilberufe》2009,61(5):10-13
Ekzeme – eine h?ufig untersch?tzte Gefahr - Untersuchungen zeigen, dass die Lebensqualit?t durch berufsbedingte Hauterkrankungen
genauso eingeschr?nkt wird wie durch einen Myokardinfarkt oder Schlaganfall. Das ist für Pflegende deshalb so bedeutsam, weil
gerade in Pflegeberufen Kontakt zu potenziell Allergie ausl?senden Stoffen besteht. 相似文献
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Andreas Chai 《Journal of Bioeconomics》2011,13(3):181-203
This paper posits that significant changes in 19th century British recreational travel patterns resulted from a change in
the manner in which tourists used entertaining stimuli in order to attain pleasure. Consumers no longer merely viewed arousing
stimuli, but attempted to use them to produce emotional states of being which they could partially modify to intensify pleasurable
feelings (Damasio, Looking for Spinoza: Joy, sorrow, and the feeling brain, William Heinemann, 2003). The impetus for this modification stemmed from an increasing awareness that emotional responses could be to some degree
self-cultivated, as embodied in the Romantic ethos that become popular at the time via the emergence of the paperback novel
and magazine industry (Campbell, The romantic ethic and the spirit of modern consumerism, Blackwell, 1987). By learning how to manipulate and modify mental images in a way that may not necessarily correspond with objective reality,
Romantic tourists learned to elicit pleasure through engaging of their imagination. Such a change in the mode of pleasure
seeking had important long run economic consequences for tourist regions throughout the European continent. 相似文献
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Jonas De Vos Tim Schwanen Veronique Van Acker Frank Witlox 《International Journal of Sustainable Transportation》2019,13(3):180-196
Previous studies have indicated that travel satisfaction - the experienced emotions during, and cognitive evaluation of, a trip - can be affected by travel mode choice and other trip characteristics. However, as satisfactory trips might improve a person's attitude towards the used mode, persons may be more likely to use that same mode for future trips of the same kind. Hence, a cyclical process between travel mode choice and travel satisfaction might occur. In this paper we begin to analyse this process—using a structural equation modelling approach on cross-sectional data—for people who engage in walking and cycling for leisure trips in the Belgian city of Ghent. The focus on walking and cycling reflects recent studies indicating that active travel is often associated with the highest levels of travel satisfaction. Results of this exploratory analysis offer tentative support for the idea of a cyclical process: the evaluation of walking and cycling trips positively affects the respondents' attitude towards the respective mode, which in turn has a positive effect on choosing that mode. 相似文献