Evaluation of inventory management: Efficiency can affect success

In many manufacturing companies, top management analyzes inventories only when financial trouble is at hand. The average amount of money committed to inventories is about three times the amount held in cash. It is rare that a member of top management gives the sustained attention to inventories that he gives to the company's cash position. A troubled company can take important steps in retrenching by evaluating its inventory management. However, this evaluation can be a part of the continuing analysis of the company's operations, in most cases as an outgrowth of auditing services. The resulting efficiencies can have a favorable effect on the company's success and growth—especially if money formerly tied up in inventories is freed for investment in other resources.     

Confidence intervals for batch properties based on both sampling and analytical variance

Summary If different random samples are taken from a heterogeneous batch and each sample is analysed once or in replicate, the average result is a point estimation of the true but unknown mean of the batch property concerned. In this paper, formulae are given for the numbers of degrees of freedom, which are necessary for interval estimations based on both the sampling and the analytical variance. It is essential to distinguish between situations in which estimates of the variances are available and in which they are not.     

Cross Validation Calibration Based Shrinkage – Revisited for the Construction of Prognostic Indices

The use of shrinkage methods for the construction of prognostic indices has been paid increasing attention in the literature on medical statistics in the last years. One approach for the construction of a shrinkage factor is cross validation calibration as suggested by van H ouwelingen and le C essie (1990). We investigate this approach in more detail. First we try to clarify why shrinkage factors constructed by cross validation calibration tend to be smaller than 1. Second we explain why use of this shrinkage factor can result in an improvement of the average prediction error. Third we investigate the possible gain for constellations relevant in medical research by means of a simulation study, focusing on the dilemma, that the improvement on average has to be paid by distinct deteriorations for some patients. Finally we conclude that it is necessary to rethink the choice of loss functions in constructing prognostic indices before recommendations about the use of shrinkage methods can be made.     

Import Competition, Employment Risk, and the Job-Search Outcomes of Trade-Displaced Manufacturing Workers

This study examines the underlying relationships that exist among import competition, employment risk, and worker earnings. In addition, we consider how such competitiveness and risk experienced on a prior job will affect, under both equilibrium and disequilibrium interpretations of the labor market, alternative postdisplacement job-search outcomes. Econometric models of predisplacement earnings and postdisplacement outcomes (jobless duration, reemployment, and earnings) provide insights on these relationships and in turn on the comparative job-search success of trade-displaced and "other" displaced workers.