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101.
Existing evidence suggests that protectionist activity since the financial crisis has been muted, raising the question whether the historically well‐documented relationship between growth, real exchange rates and trade protectionism has broken down. We use a novel and comprehensive dataset that stretches beyond the traditionally considered tariff and trade defense measures to study the responsiveness of trade policies to business cycles and price competitiveness in the time period since the financial crisis. We find that the specter of protectionism has not been banished. Countries continue to pursue more trade‐restrictive policies when they experience recessions and/or when their competitiveness deteriorates. Our results suggest that the global economy continues to be exposed to the risk of a creeping return of trade protectionism. 相似文献
102.
An empirical analysis of inventory turnover behaviour in Greek retail sector: 2000-2005 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Georgios D. Kolias Sophia P. Dimelis 《International Journal of Production Economics》2011,133(1):143-153
In this study we investigate the determinants of inventory turnover. The study is based on an econometric analysis of inventory behaviour using an inventory turnover model. The empirical implementation of the model was conducted on a sample of financial data for 566 Greek retail firms for the period 2000-2005. By employing panel data techniques it was found that inventory turnover ratio is negatively correlated with gross margin and positively correlated with capital intensity and a measure of sales surprise.Decomposing the variance into its components associated with year, firm and retail segment effects, we found that a substantial amount of inventory turns variability is due to segment-wise effects. Moreover, the inventory turnover reaction to different sales changes was also studied. It was estimated that changes in sales bring on bigger changes when firms operate in sales-declined region. These results are useful in identifying methods and applications to improve inventory performance among firms and over time. 相似文献
103.
This paper examines the macroeconomic costs and benefits of adopting a common currency (the yen) for 18 Asian and Pacific countries. Economic theory suggests that the main benefit is enhanced price stability, while the main cost is higher business-cycle volatility if the adopting country’s output is not sufficiently correlated with that of Japan. Using data from 1960–2001, the paper finds that the estimated cost and benefit measures exhibit substantial variability across the countries and are often positively correlated: countries (such as Bangladesh or Nepal) that have a lot to gain from adopting the yen, also have a lot to lose from it; while other economies (such as Singapore, Thailand, or Taiwan) that have little to lose by adopting the yen, have also little to gain by it. The empirical results can be also used to compare net benefits for individual countries, showing, for example, that Korea is a more promising candidate for adopting the yen than Pakistan or Malaysia. 相似文献
104.
Georgios P. Kouretas 《Review of International Economics》1997,5(4):467-477
This paper re-examines the purchasing power parity (PPP) concept for five bilateral Canadian dollar exchange rates. The Johansen cointegration technique is employed. Evidence is found in favor of PPP when wholesale prices are used but not when consumer prices are utilized; whereas, in all but one case, it is not possible to reject the symmetry and proportionality hypotheses. Furthermore, it is shown that the dimension of the cointegration space may exhibit sample dependency, but the estimated coefficients are stable in recursive estimations. Finally, by implementing the multivariate KPSS test for the null hypothesis of cointegration, Johansen's results are overturned. 相似文献
105.
Georgios Karras 《Scottish journal of political economy》2015,62(5):505-517
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1688 to 2009, the results show that UK inflation and its volatility have been positively correlated when inflation exceeds a certain value, but negatively correlated when inflation is below this threshold. The evidence also suggests that the break in the relationship occurs between annual inflation rates of 0.6% and 5.5%, which includes both the 2% inflation target of many central banks, and the 3.5% break point predicted by the New Keynesian model of Coibion et al. (2012). 相似文献
106.
Openness to Trade and the Potency of Monetary Policy: How Strong is the Relationship? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Economic theory suggests that an economy's openness to international trade reduces the ability of monetary policy to affect output. Using quarterly data from the 1960:1–1993:4 period for a set of eight countries (Australia, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Africa, the U.K., and the U.S.A.), this article's empirical results support this theoretical prediction: the more open the economy, the smaller the output effects of a given change in the money supply. This finding, robust across all the different specifications and estimation methods examined, has straightforward implications for stabilization policy. Moreover, it suggests that an economy's net benefit from joining a monetary union is increasing with the economy's openness to foreign trade. 相似文献
107.
Global current account imbalances have been one of the focal points of interest for policymakers during the last few years. Less attention has been paid, however, to the diverging current account balances of the individual euro area countries. In this paper we consider the dynamics of current account adjustment and the role of real exchange rates in current account determination in the EMU countries. After controlling for the effects of income growth, we find the relationship between real exchange rates and current accounts to be substantial in size and subject to nonlinear effects. We find that real exchange rates can offer further insights, beyond the effects of the income catch‐up process, relevant to current account determination in the EMU. 相似文献
108.
The information and communication technology (ICT) industry is one of the most capital intensive among the high-technology industries. ICT business analysis, especially after the industry deregulation, has become a difficult task. Traditional quantitative cost–benefit analysis concerning investment decisions is by no means sufficient for capturing the complexity of the problem in its entirety. This work combines quantitative and qualitative analyses for modeling competitive interactions between players in the ICT business field. The proposed decision analysis model combines real options, game theory, and analytic hierarchy process for analyzing ICT business alternatives under the threat of competition. The proposed model is applied to a real broadband technology business case, showing how it can be formulated and solved. 相似文献
109.
This paper examines the long-term linkages between seven Central and Eastern European (CEE) emerging stock markets and two
developed stock markets, namely the German and the US markets. The stability of the long-run relationships is studied using
recursive cointegration analysis. The results reveal that the financial linkages between the CEE markets and the world markets
increased with the beginning of the EU accession process. Furthermore, the application of the Gonzalo and Granger (J Bus Econ
Stat 13:27–35, 1995) methodology indicates that the examined stock markets are partially integrated, while there is also evidence
that the emerging stock markets of Central and Eastern Europe except for Estonia together with the German and the US stock
markets, have a significant common permanent component, which drives this system of stock exchanges in the long run. Finally,
it is worthwhile to note that the global financial crisis of 2007–2009 caused a slowdown in the convergence process. In addition
we find evidence that the Slovenian stock market exhibits a moderate increase in the transitory component and this may be
attributed to the Slovenian full membership in the euro area. 相似文献
110.
This article formally compares two traditional long‐only commodity indices, Standard & Poor's Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (S&P‐GSCI) and Dow Jones‐UBS Commodity Index (DJ‐UBSCI), with their enhanced versions that exploit signals based on contract maturity, momentum, and term structure. The enhanced indices are found to be useful for tactical asset allocation. With alphas ranging from 2.77% to 5.49% per annum, the maturity‐enhanced indices offer the best abnormal performance after accounting for liquidity risk. Momentum and term structure enhancements also earn a positive, albeit smaller, alpha of 2.10% per annum on average. All the enhanced indices are found to have comparable effectiveness for risk diversification and inflation hedging as their traditional counterparts, making them useful for strategic asset allocation. 相似文献