新型小农经济发展观

小农经济以其独特的生命力生存于历史近万年,但传统的小农经济与社会主义公有制存在冲突。在社会主义社会大背景中,唯有在科学发展观指导下,对小农经济科学改造,形成新型小农经济—家庭承包经营,才能赋予了它新的生命力,并使其不断完善,走出具有中国特色的农村、农业社会主义现代化道路。     

Overreaction to Fearsome Risks

When risks threaten, cognitive mechanisms bias people toward action or inaction. Fearsome risks are highly available. The availability bias tells us that this leads people to overestimate their frequency. Therefore, they also overreact to curtail the likelihood or consequences of such risks. More generally, fear can paralyze efforts to think clearly about risks. We draw on a range of environmental risks to show the following: (1) Fear leads us to neglect probability of occurrence; (2) As fearsome environmental risks are usually imposed by others (as externalities), indignation stirs excess reaction; (3) We often misperceive or miscalculate such risks. Two experiments demonstrate probability neglect when fearsome risks arise: (a) willingness-to-pay to eliminate the cancer risk from arsenic in water (described in vivid terms) did not vary despite a 10-fold variation in risk; (b) the willingness-to-accept price for a painful but non dangerous electric shock did not vary between a 1 and 100% chance. Possible explanations relate to the role of the amygdala in impairing cognitive brain function. Government and the law, both made by mortals and both responding to public pressures, similarly neglect probabilities for fearsome risks. Examples relating to shark attacks, Love Canal, alar and terrorism are discussed.     

CEPA框架下粤港区域经济一体化趋势及对策

在CEPA框架下,粤港经济合作的目标是实现区域经济一体化,实现全区域产业结构的优化升级。粤港产业合作新趋势主要集中在服务贸易,为此要求推进贸易投资便利化和提高制造业合作层次,促进区域产业互动协调发展。