Einzelbesprechungen

Ohne ZusammenfassungÜbersetzt von Hans Fried, Wien.     

Affordable and middle-class housing on Johannesburg's mining sites: a cost–benefit analysis

This paper examines the redevelopment of former gold mining land close to the downtown area of Johannesburg for affordable and middle-income housing. This could provide savings for out-of-pocket costs, time saving for commuting costs and better property appreciation. However, the properties may be costly to remediate and may still pose some health risks from exposure to radon. A cost–benefit analysis examined these issues from the perspective of the home occupant. The present value of the net benefits over a 20-year study period indicated very positive cost–benefit ratios, in excess of five units of benefit for each unit of cost, suggesting that the affordable and middle-income housing markets would see the area as desirable, could price the additional risk and would accept housing modified to reduce the potential health risks. The policy implications supported the release of former mining land for housing on a careful case-by-case basis.     

THE "VEREENIGING VOOR DE STATISTIEK", 1857–1892

This paper deals with the history of the nineteenth century Dutch statistical society: "Vereeniging voor de Statistiek", founded in 1857. In the second half of the nineteenth century the society flourished and had a considerable amount of members. It played a very active role for the establishment of a central official statistical bureau: "Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek". These activities ended with success in 1892. Then the society changed its name and did no longer engage itself with statistics. Members of the statistical society thought of statistics as facts about society, mostly numerical, but not always. They hoped to discover the laws which ruled society, by means of statistics. In that way the social sciences would improve.     

A Complete Analysis of Full Pareto Efficiency in Financial Markets for Arbitrary Preferences

This paper provides a complete analysis of the necessary and sufficient conditions for financial markets to achieve fully Pareto-efficient allocation of aggregate wealth through trade in economies with arbitrary preferences. We show that full Pareto efficiency obtains only if the market structure of contingent claims spans the information partition of a minimal aggregate wealth statistic and a Halmos-Savage sufficient statistic for the beliefs of the traders. All the known allocation efficiency results in the literature due to Arrow, Hakansson, John, Ross, and others are unified by this result.     

A Monte Carlo investigation of the accuracy of multivariate CAPM tests

In a multivariate regression model relating individual returns to the market return, CAPM implies non-linear restrictions on the parameters. Several asymptotically valid tests of these restrictions have been suggested. The existing Monte Carlo evidence shows that some of these tests are unreliable for reasonable sample sizes, but does not indicate well which tests are reliable. This paper reports the results of an extensive Monte Carlo experiment. Shanken's CSR test and Jobson and Korkie's corrected likelihood ratio test are quite accurate in all cases we consider.     

Adjusting for the intervalling effect bias in beta: A Test using Paris Bourse Data

This paper uses a sample of daily returns data from the Paris Bourse to test the predictions of and adjustment procedures implied by the Cohen-Hawawini-Maier-Schwartz-Whitcomb (1983a,b) model of the intervalling effect bias in OLS beta estimates. CHMSW show that the bias diminishes asymptotically to zero as the differencing interval increases and that the sign of the bias depends on a stock's relative value of shares outstanding. We employ the three-pass regression procedure of CHMSW (1983b), but we test a broader set of second pass functional forms and use the Box-Cox (1964) transformation model to verify our chosen form. The CHMSW adjustment procedures are compared with that of Scholes-Williams (1977), and the latter is shown to contain a significant intervalling effect bias.