THE IMPACT OF ANTISMOKING POLICIES IN KOREA ON QUIT SUCCESS AND SMOKING INTENTIONS

In 2001 and 2002, the Korean government dramatically increased cigarette taxes, anti‐smoking advertisements, and smoking prohibitions as part of an anti‐smoking campaign. This paper examines the impacts of these policy changes by modeling quit success and smoking intentions pre‐ and post‐policy and attributing model differences to anti‐smoking policies. Model results provide evidence that national anti‐smoking policies increased both quitting success and intention to quit. However, the impacts of these policies are uneven throughout Korean society. Females and those who exercise for health maintenance experienced higher quit success. Heavy smokers and high frequency alcohol drinkers stated they are less likely to quit smoking post‐policy. One impact of national anti‐smoking policies is reduced provincial differences among Koreans in both quit success and intention to quit. Future anti‐smoking policies should address the different needs of these groups. (JEL D12, I19)     

浅谈水平营销对中国旅游业的影响与应用

水平营销是一种创造性的思考,是市场营销理论的最新突破,它是在传统的营销理论越来越不能适应发达市场的背景产生的,它可以使市场营销活动逃出垂直营销和层次营销的怪圈并最终取得胜利。水平营销运用创新思维对产品做适当改动来产生新用途、新情境、新目标市场以开创新类别,从而重组市场。在旅游业中,探索新的旅游市场需求,吸引非潜在目标群体,改变旅游市场需求情景。     

国有企业对我国经济增长贡献的实证分析

对国有企业和我国经济增长的相关性的实证分析表明,国有及国有控股企业工业增加值的增长与GDP之间存在双向的因果关系,我国国有企业对经济增长的贡献巨大。不能片面强调国有企业从竞争性领域退出,要通过全员激励约束机制建设推动国有企业改革的深化。     

CONSUMER DURABLES AND THE INTEREST RATE

This paper investigates the relationship between consumption of a durable good and the interest rate. According to the standard Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH), a rise in the interest rate is expected to decrease durables consumption, and the magnitude of the interest rate effect should meet certain restrictions. This implication of the PIH is tested using US data. Empirical results of this paper indicate that, although durables consumption is negatively correlated with the interest rate, the magnitude of the estimated effect is substantially smaller than requested by the standard theory. This suggests that the influence of monetary policy on durables expenditure may not be as large as previous authors claim. In attempts to explain the small effects of the interest rate, frictions such as adjustment costs and liquidity constraints are examined. [E21]     

昆明市本土养生旅游需求研究

追求健康是21世纪人类的主题,休闲文化性旅游是旅游业发展的必然趋势,养生旅游作为旅游发展中的一种新业态,将旅游与养生相结合,迎合了人们追求健康以及休闲旅游的契机,已成为世界旅游发展的时尚潮流和新趋势。我国养生旅游起步相对较晚,但市场需求大,开发前景广阔。以云南省昆明市为例,采用实地调查的方式对养生旅游市场进行需求研究,在此基础上分析昆明市养生旅游市场需求特征及其存在的问题,并对昆明市养生旅游的未来发展提出了相关建议。     

The Walk‐down to Beatable Analyst Forecasts: The Role of Equity Issuance and Insider Trading Incentives*

It has been alleged that firms and analysts engage in an "earnings‐guidance game" where analysts first issue optimistic earnings forecasts and then "walk down" their estimates to a level that firms can beat at the official earnings announcement. We examine whether the walk‐down to beatable targets is associated with managerial incentives to sell stock after earnings announcements on the firm's behalf (through new equity issuance) or from their personal accounts (through option exercises and stock sales). Consistent with these hypotheses, we find that the walk‐down to beatable targets is most pronounced when firms or insiders are net sellers of stock after an earnings announcement. These findings provide new insights on the impact of capital‐market incentives on communications between managers and analysts.     

Collocation的语篇衔接功能

人们对collocation的认识已由语义层次的“习惯搭配”发展到语篇层次的“词汇同现”。collocation在语篇结构中的衔接作用:通过语义联想使词汇同现,相互联系,形成词汇套,具有连句成篇的功能;通过语义场使词汇同现,形成以“场”为纽带的词汇套,具有连句成篇的功能。     

发展中国家核心产业链与核心技术链的协同发展研究

本文认为发展中国家经济追赶战略的实现,应依靠产业和技术的协同发展,尤其是核心产业链和核心技术链的协同发展。本文界定了核心产业链和核心技术链的概念;在分析发达国家和发展中国家技术与产业协同发展模式的基础上指出发展中国家技术与产业协同发展的起步模式是“产业发展拉动技术进步”,而非“技术进步推动产业发展”的一般模式;重点研究基于追赶战略的发展中国家核心产业链与核心技术链的协同发展机制,并结合案例来说明。     

独生子女伤残预防与扶助标准差别化探讨——基于苏州市吴中区193个样本的思考

在实证分析苏州市吴中区独生子女致残原因的基础上,着重探讨从源头上降低独生子女不幸伤残风险的预防措施.提出目前独生子女特别扶助制度存在的不足.建议建立独生子女伤残家庭特别扶助金的长效保值机制,并在特别扶助制度中将中度残疾和重度残疾加以区分,提高重度残疾家庭扶助金标准;政府担负起解决伤残独生子女就业的主导作用,加大对他们就业的扶持力度.