多层次模糊综合评价在种子期风险投资项目评价中的应用

本文基于对国内外风险投资项目评价的理论研究及实践总结,通过分析种子期风险投资项目特征,建立了种子期风险投资项目评价指标体系。此外,文中在将多层次模糊综合评价方法应用于风险投资项目评价的过程中,采用了一种新的权重判定法———G1法（序关系分析法）[1],克服了传统层次分析法中存在的不足之处。     

基于绩效管理的企业文化塑造

企业文化是绩效管理体系设计和运作的前提,绩效管理可以产生维持和优化企业文化的效果,两者相辅相成。重视两者的结合,将绩效管理渗透于企业文化之中,会使企业文化在企业的发展中发挥更大的作用,为企业创造更大的效益。研究企业文化和绩效管理的关系,找出它们的结合点,分析我国企业绩效文化塑造的必要性,探索基于绩效管理的企业文化塑造的具体内容和途径,建立优秀的企业绩效文化,对我国企业具有重要的现实意义。     

The sophistication of exports: Is China special?

Recent studies have found that China is “special” in exporting highly sophisticated goods not comparable with its income level. In this paper we identify two measurement biases that account for this “China is special” observation. First, product quality has not been fully considered in the measurement of sophistication, which has caused an overestimation of the sophistication of China's exports. Second, the average income of China has been used to measure the export capability of China, which has caused an underestimation of China's capability of exporting sophisticated goods. After correcting the two measurement biases, China appears much less as an outlier in the cross-country comparison of the sophistication of exports.     

我国行政诉讼被告补证制度之检讨

我国现行行政诉讼被告补证制度的创设在一定程度上迎合了当前行政诉讼规范被告举证行为的需要,但由于制度本身立法的缺陷、配套行政程序法律制度及理念环境的缺失,该制度在司法实践中凸现了诸多问题,违背了创设的初衷,制约了行政诉讼证据制度的发展。这其中既有制定理念不成熟的因素,亦有实务操作中的失误,而更多的是暴露了行政法律体系的缺失。     

重庆直辖前后农村居民消费与收入纵向对比实证分析

本文运用Keynesian的绝对收入假设消费函数模型,充分考虑重庆直辖前后的差异,将消费与收入的数据分为直辖前和直辖后两个阶段分别进行协整检验并建立误差修正模型,然后对两个阶段所表现出的显著差异进行纵向对比分析,最后提出当前形势下刺激农村居民消费扩大的政策建议。     

Countermeasures of adaptation to climate change： establishment and application for implementation matrix

In the conceptual framework of adaptation policy assessment to climate change, adaptation measures can be categorized as two groups：facilitation and implementation. Facilitation measures refers to activities that enhance adaptive capacity, while implementation refers to activities that actually avoid adverse climate impacts on a system by reducing its exposure or sensitivity to climatic hazards, or by moderating relevant non-climatic factors. This paper aims to establish a matrix of implementation measures of adaptation to climate change, through four different ways how adaptation can influencc the relevant elements of climate change. reducing the exposure, reducing the sensitivity, alleviating the adverse impacts and reducing the negative non-climatic factors, and then further discuss the particular implementation measures of adaptation to climate change, through application studies on the selected sub-systems, intend to organize the disordered implementation measures in existent, and put forward some new measures under the guidance of this matrix, which could enrich and promote the system and content of implementation measures of adaptation.     

Capitalization of Flood Insurance and Risk Perceptions in Housing Prices: An Empirical Agent‐Based Model Approach

Federally regulated or insured lenders in the United States are mandated to require flood insurance on properties that are located in areas at high risk of flooding. Despite the existence of this mandatory flood insurance requirement, take‐up rates for flood insurance have been low, and the federal government's exposure to uninsured property losses from flooding remains substantial. Meanwhile, the value of capital at risk varies significantly with flood events and changing risk perceptions, which necessitates mechanisms that stabilize these dynamics. In this article we discuss how a scenario of complete insurance uptake, under various risk attitudes, affects the value of properties in the 100‐year and 500‐year flood zones. Our results indicate that an increase in flood insurance uptake may provide such a mechanism by lowering the value of capital at risk in the flood zone consistently, independent of homeowners' risk attitudes. We apply an empirical adaptive agent‐based model to examine the capitalization of insurance costs, risk premiums, and their interaction in housing prices. Our approach combines widely‐used empirical hedonic analysis with the computational economic framework. We highlight the usefulness of our method in capturing the marginal implicit price of homeowners' preferences that may change over time and separately assess the effect of various factors and policies on property values, illustrating the agent‐based modeling as a valuable complement to traditional hedonic analysis.     

对外开放条件下的金融安全问题

我国近几年外贸顺差的连创新高,并且进、出口增长的走势与世界经济的联动性日益明显,我国的实体经济已经越来越融入全球经济的大环境当中。同时,我们外贸结构的升级也正在以更快的步伐前进,我国双边贸易的高速增长仍将维持一段时间。中国股市在经历了“2.27”暴跌之后,全球各主要股市随后也遭到重挫。笔者并不认为目前中国的股市对于全球市场有如此巨大的影响,但是全球石油美元的流动以及日元利差交易的变化情况已经逐渐受到国内投资者的重视,中国资本市场已经成为了全球市场的重要一环。在国内实体经济、虚拟经济与世界联动性不断增强的背景下,我们应该更加关注外部因素对于国内经济稳定性的影响,同时也要从其他国家的历史发展经验当中吸取金融安全监管方面的教训。     

论新形势下党加强理想信念教育的战略举措

加强理想信念教育,历来是中国共产党的优良传统。但在新形势下,社会活力增强,社会的结构、组织形式、利益格局也都发生了深刻变化,人们思想活动的独立性、选择性、多变性、差异性明显增强。由此理想信念教育的重要性增强,其教育的难度增加。对此,中国共产党必须给予高度重视,并要深入思考和回答事关社会主义兴衰成败的重大理论和实践问题,重视加强对青少年和大学生的理想信念教育,特别注重对党员领导干部的理想信念教育,用中国特色社会主义共同理想凝聚全社会的力量。